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Caen vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 64-98
22-28 18-21 12-26 12-23
Position#15
Record12-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#8
Record11-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game80.5
FrancePro BRound 21· Palais des Sports Caen la mer
Other2024-25
Meetings · Caen v Pau-Orthez
31 Oct 2025
CAEN89
POR85
24 Jan 2025
CAEN64
POR98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#8
W
85-76
85
76
+9
97avg 88
A05/11
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
73-90
73
90
-17
81avg 88
H08/11
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
70-65
70
65
+5
87avg 88
A15/11
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 88
H29/11
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
83-63
83
63
+20
103avg 88
A06/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
94avg 88
A14/12
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
76-84
76
84
-8
92avg 88
H21/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
79-73
79
73
+6
93avg 88
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
69-75
69
75
-6
72avg 88
H10/01
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
97avg 88
A17/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
22-20
20-18
25-18
20-28
19-24
17-17
17-21
18-14
17-9
17-17
18-25
19-18
19-18
18-19
23-18
24-9
26-22
16-12
17-20
25-24
21-22
24-14
7-29
18-16
15-25
20-26
23-17
20-16
18-18
16-17
25-22
22-19
17-16
21-13
9-27
20-18
21-13
12-24
19-17
153.1Avg total
76.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.578.7156.2-1.260%
Season at home (10)78.678.6157.2+0.060%
Season away (10)76.478.8155.2-2.460%
Last 10 (10)76.976.2153.1+0.760%
Last 5 (5)75.879.0154.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.082.9159.9-5.939%
vs Similar (4)75.872.0147.8+3.875%
vs Weaker (2)81.068.0149.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#16
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
79avg 87
H12/11
French Cup
Orleans
#4
L
68-78
68
78
-10
82avg 87
H15/11
Pro B
ASA
#5
W
83-78
83
78
+5
93avg 87
A29/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
72-76
72
76
-4
89avg 87
H06/12
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
84-67
84
67
+17
98avg 87
H13/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
72-77
72
77
-5
82avg 87
A20/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
W
89-87
89
87
+2
97avg 87
H27/12
Pro B
Paris
#1
L
78-107
78
107
-29
no box
H07/01
French Cup
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
107avg 87
A10/01
Pro B
Nantes
#17
W
73-70
73
70
+3
86avg 87
H17/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
16-19
15-24
13-15
13-18
16-24
15-14
24-22
18-19
29-20
16-17
20-22
19-19
14-23
17-20
22-14
20-16
21-8
29-17
14-26
23-21
22-23
16-18
11-15
26-17
17-27
23-23
23-20
35-32
18-27
14-31
11-17
24-15
20-35
25-20
15-14
13-19
22-22
20-17
18-12
163.0Avg total
81.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.780.5161.2+0.255%
Season at home (11)77.678.1155.7-0.555%
Season away (9)84.483.4167.9+1.056%
Last 10 (10)81.181.9163.0-0.860%
Last 5 (5)82.086.8168.8-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.084.6166.6-2.657%
vs Similar (13)78.679.6158.2-1.054%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.077.5156.5+1.550%
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
CaenPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A05/11
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H08/11
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A15/11
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H29/11
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A06/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A14/12
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H21/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/01
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A17/01
Pro B
76.8Avg total
39.9Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.475.5-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.738.577.2+0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)36.038.274.2-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.976.8+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.476.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.641.178.7-3.539%-
vs Similar (4)37.231.268.5+6.075%-
vs Weaker (2)44.032.576.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H12/11
French Cup
Orleans
#4
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H15/11
Pro B
ASA
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H06/12
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H13/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A20/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H27/12
Pro B
Paris
#1
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H07/01
French Cup
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A10/01
Pro B
Nantes
#17
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H17/01
Pro B
83.6Avg total
41.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.379.8+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.238.177.3+1.147%-
Last 30 away (13)42.240.883.0+1.354%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.083.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.047.691.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.942.184.0-0.329%-
vs Similar (13)40.239.779.8+0.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.136.876.9+3.450%-
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.420.6
46.4%
52.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.2
29.2%
33.6%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.416.1
71.9%
73.2%16.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.1
44.6%
52.3%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.0
37.3%
33.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.816.3
71.5%
73.2%16.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caen
WLWLLWWWLW
Pau-Orthez
WWLWLWLWLW
#15
League position
#8
+0.3
Net rating
-0.3
98.2
Offensive rating
104.5
97.9
Defensive rating
104.8
45.6%
Effective FG%
49.3%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.8%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.2%
3-point %
37.3%
60.1%
Assist %
64.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 104.5Defence97.9 · 104.8Shooting45.6% · 49.3%3-point %29.2% · 37.3%Ball care18.2% · 16.8%Off. rebounds32.3% · 27.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Caen   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Caen wins
0
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
05/11/24Pau-Orthez v Caen76-85
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25APoitiers78-74 OT
10/01/25HASA69-75
27/12/24AFos-sur-Mer79-73
21/12/24HChalons-Reims76-84
14/12/24AOrleans77-89
06/12/24AChartres83-63
29/11/24HVichy79-73
15/11/24AEvreux70-65
08/11/24HRouen73-90
05/11/24APau-Orthez85-76
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HNantes73-70
10/01/25AAix Maurienne98-93 OT
07/01/25HParis78-107
27/12/24HBoulazac89-87
20/12/24APoitiers72-77
13/12/24HEvreux84-67
06/12/24HHyeres-Toulon72-76
29/11/24AASA83-78
15/11/24HOrleans68-78
12/11/24HStrasbourg94-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caen
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeWLWLL60%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game77.578.676.4
Allowed / game78.778.678.8
Point differential-1.2+0.0-2.4
Avg total156.2157.2155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %15%20%10%
Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeLLWWW55%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%55%56%
Points / game80.777.684.4
Allowed / game80.578.183.4
Point differential+0.2-0.5+1.0
Avg total161.2155.7167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)83% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %10%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boulazac2016480%81.874.2+7.6
2 Orleans2015575%85.579.9+5.6
3 Roanne2014670%87.582.3+5.2
4 Ada Blois2013765%88.381.0+7.4
5 Aix Maurienne2012860%90.386.5+3.8
6 Caen2012860%77.578.7-1.2
7 ASA2011955%87.281.9+5.2
8 Poitiers2011955%84.581.8+2.6
9 St. Chamond2011955%85.584.0+1.6
10 Pau-Orthez2011955%80.780.5+0.2
11 Rouen20101050%84.379.0+5.3
12 Antibes20101050%78.779.1-0.4
13 Denain-Voltaire2091145%81.180.8+0.2
14 Vichy2081240%77.879.0-1.2
15 Chalons-Reims2081240%81.586.5-5.0
16 Fos-sur-Mer2071335%75.680.8-5.2
17 Hyeres-Toulon2071335%74.681.0-6.5
18 Evreux2061430%78.585.2-6.7
19 Nantes2051525%81.486.1-4.7
20 Chartres2041620%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caen2218121264
Pau-Orthez2821262398
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