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Cafeteros vs Motilones del Norte Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 01:20
Final 81-76
25-20 16-19 11-12 29-25
Position#3
Record10-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game67.1
vs
Position#6
Record7-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game74.1
ColombiaLBPLBP - Quarter-finals· Coliseo Ruben Dario Quintero
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Cafeteros v Motilones del Norte
15 Jun 2023
CAFE84
MOTI72
14 Jun 2023
CAFE81
MOTI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Motilones del Norte winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
101-54
101
54
+47
103avg 76
H14/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
65-50
65
50
+15
59avg 76
A17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
55-63
55
63
-8
46avg 76
A18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
88-51
88
51
+37
82avg 76
H27/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 76
H27/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
106-64
106
64
+42
112avg 76
A03/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 76
A04/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
99-73
99
73
+26
90avg 76
H07/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
69-67
69
67
+2
52avg 76
H09/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 76
A12/06
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
29-15
31-7
21-14
16-21
14-7
16-15
19-7
16-19
14-10
13-17
12-17
25-12
19-18
19-9
25-12
19-20
24-18
20-14
27-29
31-16
27-11
29-13
19-24
15-15
28-22
22-24
25-20
35-15
25-27
23-14
16-17
18-16
16-16
22-16
13-19
19-22
14-23
24-21
23-18
151.1Avg total
84.3Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.867.1149.8+15.777%
Season at home (6)89.564.2153.7+25.3100%
Season away (7)77.069.6146.6+7.457%
Last 10 (10)84.366.8151.1+17.580%
Last 5 (5)88.873.8162.6+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.683.6161.2-6.00%
vs Similar (4)80.269.2149.5+11.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)87.774.1161.8+13.581%
This opponent (Motilones del Norte) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Motilones del NorteColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorte
Date
Competition
Bucaros
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
44avg 63
A17/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
63-92
63
92
-29
44avg 63
A25/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 63
A26/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
58avg 63
A28/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
60avg 63
A30/05
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
90-52
90
52
+38
79avg 63
H02/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 63
H02/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
72avg 63
H06/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
78-54
78
54
+24
75avg 63
H07/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
66avg 63
H12/06
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
22-22
17-21
15-20
22-24
15-17
6-21
20-30
22-24
32-28
14-25
20-21
22-24
15-22
21-20
16-17
19-19
25-25
18-24
17-21
20-12
19-9
30-15
21-16
22-15
20-15
21-22
21-17
15-13
19-20
24-17
21-11
18-18
18-21
26-5
16-10
22-19
23-14
21-24
18-23
155.5Avg total
79.4Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.474.1149.5+1.241%
Season at home (9)75.772.2147.9+3.456%
Season away (8)75.076.2151.2-1.225%
Last 10 (10)79.476.1155.5+3.350%
Last 5 (5)83.063.2146.2+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.785.2160.8-9.517%
vs Similar (16)73.675.1148.8-1.544%
vs Weaker (8)83.460.4143.8+23.0100%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
CafeterosMotilones del Norte
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H14/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H27/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
58-27
58
27
+31
A03/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
60-42
60
42
+18
H07/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A12/06
LBP
76.5Avg total
42.4Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.579.8+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.837.783.5+8.173%-
Last 30 away (15)38.837.276.0+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)42.434.176.5+8.390%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.682.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.683.4-1.840%-
vs Similar (4)38.035.273.2+2.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.536.780.1+6.867%-
This opponent (Motilones del Norte) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Motilones del NorteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucaros
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A17/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A25/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A26/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A28/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/05
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H02/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H02/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H06/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H07/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H12/06
LBP
79.2Avg total
41.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.674.4+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.235.571.7+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.537.777.1+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.179.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.231.270.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.241.880.0-3.717%-
vs Similar (16)36.139.075.1-2.944%-
vs Weaker (8)41.127.868.9+13.4100%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.8
51.4%
48.8%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.6
30.8%
31.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.114.3
67.8%
66.7%14.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Motilones del Nortetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Motilones del Norte: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.2
51.3%
48.8%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.3
32.5%
31.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.013.5
75.0%
66.7%13.5
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cafeteros
LWWWWWWLWW
Motilones del Norte
WWWWWLLLLL
#3
League position
#6
+20.7
Net rating
+5.9
103.9
Offensive rating
108.4
83.1
Defensive rating
102.5
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.3%
40.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
18.5%
Turnover %
13.9%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.8%
3-point %
32.5%
52.0%
Assist %
46.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 108.4Defence83.1 · 102.5Shooting49.4% · 50.3%3-point %30.8% · 32.5%Ball care18.5% · 13.9%Off. rebounds32.7% · 25.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Cafeteros   ■ Motilones del Norte
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cafeteros wins
1
Motilones del Norte wins
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/06/23AMotilones del Norte80-84
09/06/23HCimarrones del Choco69-67
07/06/23HCimarrones del Choco99-73
04/06/23ASabios de Manizales90-81
03/06/23ASabios de Manizales106-64
27/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands90-81
27/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands88-51
18/05/23ACimarrones del Choco55-63
17/05/23ACimarrones del Choco65-50
14/05/23HSabios de Manizales101-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/06/23HCafeteros84-80
07/06/23HBucaros78-54
06/06/23HBucaros79-61
02/06/23HCorsarios Cartagena84-69
02/06/23HCorsarios Cartagena90-52
30/05/23ATitanes de Barranquilla79-89
28/05/23ATitanes de Barranquilla74-83
26/05/23APiratas de Bogota88-98
25/05/23APiratas de Bogota63-92
17/05/23ABucaros75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%100%57%
Points / game82.889.577.0
Allowed / game67.164.269.6
Point differential+15.7+25.3+7.4
Avg total149.8153.7146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Motilones del Norte
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW41%
HomeWWWWW56%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%56%25%
Points / game75.475.775.0
Allowed / game74.172.276.2
Point differential+1.2+3.4-1.2
Avg total149.5147.9151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Titanes de Barranquilla1613381%83.568.1+15.4
2 Cafeteros1310377%82.867.1+15.7
3 Caribbean Storm Islands1310377%72.864.3+8.5
4 Piratas de Bogota1711665%79.272.1+7.2
5 Bucaros1710759%75.570.0+5.5
6 Motilones del Norte1771041%75.474.1+1.2
7 Cimarrones del Choco135838%66.870.4-3.6
8 Sabios de Manizales121118%64.986.2-21.2
9 Corsarios Cartagena160160%53.084.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cafeteros2516112981
Motilones del Norte2019122576
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