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Cafeteros vs Motilones del Norte Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 02:05
Final 84-72
24-23 18-11 14-21 28-17
Position#3
Record11-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game67.7
Cafeteros 🏆
Colombia
vs
Motilones del Norte
Colombia
Position#6
Record7-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game74.5
ColombiaLBPLBP - Quarter-finals· Coliseo Ruben Dario Quintero
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Cafeteros v Motilones del Norte
15 Jun 2023
CAFE84
MOTI72
14 Jun 2023
CAFE81
MOTI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Motilones del Norte winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
65-50
65
50
+15
59avg 75
A17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
55-63
55
63
-8
46avg 75
A18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
88-51
88
51
+37
82avg 75
H27/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 75
H27/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
106-64
106
64
+42
112avg 75
A03/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 75
A04/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
99-73
99
73
+26
90avg 75
H07/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
69-67
69
67
+2
52avg 75
H09/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 75
A12/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
68avg 75
H15/06
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
14-7
16-15
19-7
16-19
14-10
13-17
12-17
25-12
19-18
19-9
25-12
19-20
24-18
20-14
27-29
31-16
27-11
29-13
19-24
15-15
28-22
22-24
25-20
35-15
25-27
23-14
16-17
18-16
16-16
22-16
13-19
19-22
14-23
24-21
23-18
25-20
16-19
11-12
29-25
151.3Avg total
82.3Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.667.7150.4+14.979%
Season at home (7)88.365.9154.1+22.4100%
Season away (7)77.069.6146.6+7.457%
Last 10 (10)82.369.0151.3+13.380%
Last 5 (5)83.876.2160.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.885.2166.0-4.50%
vs Similar (4)80.269.2149.5+11.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.474.2161.6+13.182%
This opponent (Motilones del Norte) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Motilones del NorteColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorte
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
63-92
63
92
-29
44avg 63
A25/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 63
A26/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
58avg 63
A28/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
60avg 63
A30/05
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
90-52
90
52
+38
79avg 63
H02/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 63
H02/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
72avg 63
H06/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
78-54
78
54
+24
75avg 63
H07/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
66avg 63
H12/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
61avg 63
A15/06
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
15-17
6-21
20-30
22-24
32-28
14-25
20-21
22-24
15-22
21-20
16-17
19-19
25-25
18-24
17-21
20-12
19-9
30-15
21-16
22-15
20-15
21-22
21-17
15-13
19-20
24-17
21-11
18-18
18-21
26-5
16-10
22-19
23-14
21-24
18-23
20-25
19-16
12-11
25-29
155.4Avg total
79.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.474.5149.9+0.939%
Season at home (9)75.772.2147.9+3.456%
Season away (9)75.176.8151.9-1.722%
Last 10 (10)79.575.9155.4+3.650%
Last 5 (5)80.269.0149.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.784.6160.3-8.914%
vs Similar (16)73.675.1148.8-1.544%
vs Weaker (7)83.160.0143.1+23.1100%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
CafeterosMotilones del Norte
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H27/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
58-27
58
27
+31
A03/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
60-42
60
42
+18
H07/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A12/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H15/06
LBP
76.3Avg total
41.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.237.679.8+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.738.083.7+7.773%-
Last 30 away (15)38.837.276.0+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)41.634.776.3+6.990%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.081.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.244.584.8-4.225%-
vs Similar (4)38.035.273.2+2.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.436.880.1+6.668%-
This opponent (Motilones del Norte) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Motilones del NorteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A25/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A26/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A28/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/05
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H02/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H02/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H06/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H07/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H12/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A15/06
LBP
78.7Avg total
40.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.636.974.5+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.235.571.7+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.138.377.4+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.078.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.274.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.341.780.0-3.414%-
vs Similar (16)36.139.075.1-2.944%-
vs Weaker (7)40.627.367.9+13.3100%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.0
49.5%
48.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.4
29.6%
31.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.714.2
65.4%
66.7%14.2
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Motilones del Nortetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Motilones del Norte: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.7
48.2%
48.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.0
32.8%
31.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.412.7
73.0%
66.7%12.7
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cafeteros
WLWWWWWWLW
Motilones del Norte
LWWWWWLLLL
#3
League position
#6
+15.6
Net rating
+5.6
100.6
Offensive rating
105.9
85.0
Defensive rating
100.2
47.5%
Effective FG%
48.6%
40.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
18.2%
Turnover %
14.0%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.6%
3-point %
32.8%
50.0%
Assist %
48.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 105.9Defence85.0 · 100.2Shooting47.5% · 48.6%3-point %29.6% · 32.8%Ball care18.2% · 14.0%Off. rebounds32.4% · 26.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Cafeteros   ■ Motilones del Norte
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cafeteros wins
1
Motilones del Norte wins
DateGameScore
15/06/23Cafeteros v Motilones del Norte81-76
12/06/23Motilones del Norte v Cafeteros84-80
23/10/21Motilones del Norte v Cafeteros62-68
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/23HMotilones del Norte81-76
12/06/23AMotilones del Norte80-84
09/06/23HCimarrones del Choco69-67
07/06/23HCimarrones del Choco99-73
04/06/23ASabios de Manizales90-81
03/06/23ASabios de Manizales106-64
27/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands90-81
27/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands88-51
18/05/23ACimarrones del Choco55-63
17/05/23ACimarrones del Choco65-50
Motilones del Nortelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/23ACafeteros76-81
12/06/23HCafeteros84-80
07/06/23HBucaros78-54
06/06/23HBucaros79-61
02/06/23HCorsarios Cartagena84-69
02/06/23HCorsarios Cartagena90-52
30/05/23ATitanes de Barranquilla79-89
28/05/23ATitanes de Barranquilla74-83
26/05/23APiratas de Bogota88-98
25/05/23APiratas de Bogota63-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%100%57%
Points / game82.688.377.0
Allowed / game67.765.969.6
Point differential+14.9+22.4+7.4
Avg total150.4154.1146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Motilones del Norte
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL39%
HomeWWWWW56%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%56%22%
Points / game75.475.775.1
Allowed / game74.572.276.8
Point differential+0.9+3.4-1.7
Avg total149.9147.9151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Titanes de Barranquilla1613381%83.568.1+15.4
2 Cafeteros1411379%82.667.7+14.9
3 Caribbean Storm Islands1310377%72.864.3+8.5
4 Piratas de Bogota1812667%78.671.3+7.2
5 Bucaros1710759%75.570.0+5.5
6 Motilones del Norte1871139%75.474.5+0.9
7 Cimarrones del Choco145936%66.270.1-3.9
8 Sabios de Manizales121118%64.986.2-21.2
9 Corsarios Cartagena160160%53.084.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cafeteros2418142884
Motilones del Norte2311211772
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