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Cairns Marlins vs Brisbane Capitals Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 75-111
16-22 19-28 16-30 24-31
Position#12
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game98.3
vs
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game79.0
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Cairns Marlins v Brisbane Capitals
17 May 2025
CAIR75
BRIS111
14 Apr 2023
CAIR91
BRIS86
23 Jul 2021
CAIR97
BRIS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Marlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Capitals winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns MarlinsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H09/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H15/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H21/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H28/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
75-129
75
129
-54
A05/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A06/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H12/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
84-111
84
111
-27
A03/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
101-99
101
99
+2
A09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A10/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
22-19
30-19
12-26
19-30
22-17
25-16
24-29
30-20
28-23
22-13
18-29
16-25
20-25
24-20
27-15
21-29
24-29
6-46
24-25
31-30
21-19
13-20
26-25
30-21
34-15
16-14
15-37
21-20
24-40
23-30
16-21
18-35
22-22
32-22
29-20
26-24
23-21
21-24
19-16
184.9Avg total
90.0Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.398.3189.7-7.067%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)91.398.3189.7-7.067%
Last 10 (10)90.094.9184.9-4.960%
Last 5 (5)92.095.2187.2-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)88.898.4187.1-9.641%
vs Similar (9)91.688.9180.4+2.767%
vs Weaker (4)92.583.5176.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern District
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A05/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
W
105-98
105
98
+7
H06/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H12/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H20/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
103-76
103
76
+27
A27/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A02/08
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A03/08
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A03/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A10/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A16/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
13-19
25-17
21-21
29-23
20-33
25-19
31-23
25-22
24-19
24-14
18-17
27-21
27-19
24-17
20-24
27-23
29-26
22-12
25-15
19-30
28-19
15-19
17-23
18-22
18-22
22-31
22-27
18-20
17-30
14-19
15-14
21-13
19-25
26-19
23-26
9-22
23-15
31-19
19-15
170.9Avg total
86.9Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.379.0157.3-0.767%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)78.379.0157.3-0.767%
Last 10 (10)86.984.0170.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)78.886.0164.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.394.4182.7-6.129%
vs Similar (10)88.286.8175.0+1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.885.4177.2+6.469%
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
Cairns MarlinsBrisbane Capitals
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H09/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H15/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H21/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H28/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A05/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A06/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
64-36
64
36
+28
H12/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A03/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/05
NBL1 North
96.0Avg total
47.8Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.348.294.5-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.047.496.4+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)43.949.092.9-5.138%-
Last 10 (10)47.848.296.0-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)50.049.499.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)45.451.596.9-6.135%-
vs Similar (9)46.843.890.6+3.067%-
vs Weaker (4)49.044.293.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern District
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A05/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H06/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H12/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H20/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A27/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A02/08
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A03/08
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A03/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A10/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A16/05
NBL1 North
87.9Avg total
43.0Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.788.2+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.842.590.3+5.367%-
Last 30 away (18)42.244.686.8-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)43.044.987.9-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.681.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.948.693.4-3.729%-
vs Similar (10)43.741.084.7+2.770%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.843.288.1+1.654%-
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cairns Marlins wins
1
Brisbane Capitals wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25ALogan Thunder89-85
09/05/25AGold Coast Rollers101-99
03/05/25ATownsville Heat84-111
12/07/24HIpswich Force95-87
06/07/24ARockhampton Rockets91-94
05/07/24AMackay Meteors75-129
28/06/24HMackay Meteors87-85
21/06/24HSouth West Metro Pirates98-85
15/06/24HGold Coast Rollers90-92
09/06/24HRockhampton Rockets90-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/25ATownsville Heat82-71
10/05/25ASouthern District89-83
03/05/25ANorthside Wizards64-83
03/08/24AMackay Meteors80-102
02/08/24AMackay Meteors79-91
27/07/24ADarwin Salties103-76
20/07/24HRockhampton Rockets98-81
12/07/24HNorthside Wizards91-72
06/07/24HGold Coast Rollers105-98
05/07/24ASouthern District78-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Marlins
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
Home--
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %67%-67%
Points / game91.3-91.3
Allowed / game98.3-98.3
Point differential-7.0--7.0
Avg total189.7-189.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
Home--
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %67%-67%
Points / game78.3-78.3
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential-0.7--0.7
Avg total157.3-157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors220100%100.589.5+11.0
2 Gold Coast Rollers32167%95.091.7+3.3
3 Ipswich Force32167%85.785.7+0.0
4 Brisbane Capitals32167%78.379.0-0.7
5 Cairns Marlins32167%91.398.3-7.0
6 Townsville Heat42250%92.883.8+9.0
7 Sunshine Coast Phoenix21150%84.078.0+6.0
8 Northside Wizards21150%88.082.5+5.5
9 South West Metro Pirates31233%88.092.0-4.0
10 Southern District31233%91.097.7-6.7
11 Logan Thunder41325%92.591.0+1.5
12 Rockhampton Rockets2020%73.094.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Marlins1619162475
Brisbane Capitals22283031111
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