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Cairns Taipans vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 87-80
26-20 25-22 18-19 18-19
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#7
Record4-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game92.3
AustraliaNBLRound 5· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Sydney
27 Jan 2027
CAIR v SYDN
upcoming
13 Nov 2026
CAIR v SYDN
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
CAIR92
SYDN106
29 Nov 2024
CAIR75
SYDN81
07 Dec 2023
CAIR83
SYDN86
28 Oct 2023
CAIR87
SYDN80
17 Feb 2023
CAIR93
SYDN82
28 Nov 2022
CAIR94
SYDN88
21 Apr 2022
CAIR77
SYDN87
13 Mar 2022
CAIR77
SYDN86
09 Dec 2016
CAIR78
SYDN86
05 Nov 2016
CAIR64
SYDN57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Perth
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
no box
A03/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H09/02
NBL
Perth
#6
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
H12/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
87-95
87
95
-8
no box
A15/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
H17/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
64-79
64
79
-15
no box
A19/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 80
A30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 80
H05/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 80
A07/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
72avg 80
A26/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
19-21
15-19
20-15
16-25
21-21
18-19
24-22
25-19
27-24
19-16
20-19
26-25
33-25
10-27
18-18
27-19
27-22
17-14
22-27
26-20
13-28
19-14
6-17
25-22
18-24
18-31
26-21
22-20
21-18
23-19
21-23
26-18
17-20
27-18
19-30
15-24
23-20
22-17
23-23
168.4Avg total
84.4Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.587.0173.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Season away (3)86.389.3175.7-3.033%
Last 10 (10)84.484.0168.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)82.085.4167.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)84.586.0170.5-1.550%
vs Similar (15)84.884.5169.3+0.347%
vs Weaker (11)91.585.5177.0+6.182%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
A05/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
H10/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
A12/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H15/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 93
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 93
A06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
102avg 93
H08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
113-102
113
102
+11
113avg 93
A13/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
99-86
99
86
+13
98avg 93
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 93
H22/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-9
13-21
23-11
24-33
22-24
21-23
24-12
24-9
12-18
15-21
25-15
18-26
11-22
24-14
21-20
21-13
26-24
25-15
23-25
22-17
19-18
21-30
17-16
15-16
32-22
25-26
18-24
34-28
29-25
27-17
29-25
28-35
28-26
22-16
20-20
29-24
25-36
20-21
23-18
27-30
174.8Avg total
90.3Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.392.3189.7+5.067%
Season at home (3)101.097.0198.0+4.067%
Season away (3)93.787.7181.3+6.067%
Last 10 (10)90.384.5174.8+5.870%
Last 5 (5)97.694.6192.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)85.882.9168.7+2.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)98.690.5189.1+8.268%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
Cairns TaipansSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A03/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/02
NBL
Perth
#6
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H12/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A15/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H17/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A19/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H05/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A26/10
NBL
88.8Avg total
45.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.587.5+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.942.286.2+1.762%-
Last 30 away (14)46.142.888.9+3.457%-
Last 10 (10)45.743.188.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.884.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)49.045.894.8+3.250%-
vs Similar (15)42.542.985.3-0.440%-
vs Weaker (11)46.940.887.7+6.191%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A05/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H10/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A12/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H15/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A13/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H22/10
NBL
86.6Avg total
43.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.245.392.4+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.646.594.1+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)46.743.990.6+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)43.842.886.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)49.647.497.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.144.586.5-2.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)50.145.795.8+4.463%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.0
55.7%
50.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.2
33.7%
33.9%24.8
🏀 Free throws24.216.8
69.1%
73.8%16.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.8
58.5%
50.9%45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.211.7
33.2%
33.9%35.0
🏀 Free throws22.516.3
72.6%
73.8%16.3
They take 74.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/6 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
LWWLLWLWLW
Sydney
LWWWLWWLWW
#8
League position
#7
-1.2
Net rating
+5.9
105.0
Offensive rating
115.0
106.2
Defensive rating
109.0
53.7%
Effective FG%
54.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.7%
3-point %
33.2%
51.2%
Assist %
62.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 115.0Defence106.2 · 109.0Shooting53.7% · 54.4%3-point %33.7% · 33.2%Ball care20.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.9% · 32.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cairns Taipans wins
7
Sydney wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23AIllawarra Hawks83-84
07/10/23ABrisbane Bullets89-86
05/10/23HSouth East Melbourne87-80
30/09/23ANew Zealand Breakers87-98
19/02/23ASydney64-79
17/02/23HSydney93-82
15/02/23ASydney87-95
12/02/23HPerth91-78
09/02/23HTasmania JackJumpers79-87
03/02/23APerth84-71
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers95-105
15/10/23HPerth99-86
13/10/23ABrisbane Bullets113-102
08/10/23HAdelaide109-100
06/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers72-80
30/09/23AIllawarra Hawks96-81
15/03/23HNew Zealand Breakers77-69
12/03/23ANew Zealand Breakers70-80
10/03/23HNew Zealand Breakers91-68
05/03/23ANew Zealand Breakers81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game86.587.086.3
Allowed / game87.080.089.3
Point differential-0.5+7.0-3.0
Avg total173.5167.0175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game97.3101.093.7
Allowed / game92.397.087.7
Point differential+5.0+4.0+6.0
Avg total189.7198.0181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United87188%88.080.1+7.9
2 Sydney64267%97.392.3+5.0
3 South East Melbourne85362%93.890.5+3.2
4 Tasmania JackJumpers74357%90.084.6+5.4
5 Cairns Taipans42250%86.587.0-0.5
6 Brisbane Bullets73443%85.488.7-3.3
7 Adelaide83538%85.088.0-3.0
8 Illawarra Hawks62433%87.096.3-9.3
9 Perth72529%86.691.4-4.9
10 New Zealand Breakers51420%91.094.6-3.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans2625181887
Sydney2022191980
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