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Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 84-83
24-15 20-23 17-22 23-23
Position#4
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game99.0
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#8
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game88.0
AustraliaNBLRound 5· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans
02 Jan 2027
ILLA v CAIR
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
ILLA100
CAIR110
03 Jan 2026
ILLA96
CAIR78
06 Dec 2025
ILLA76
CAIR93
03 Jan 2025
ILLA105
CAIR108
18 Jan 2024
ILLA92
CAIR93
26 Oct 2023
ILLA84
CAIR83
02 Jan 2023
ILLA89
CAIR96
18 Feb 2022
ILLA79
CAIR54
12 Feb 2022
ILLA87
CAIR81
03 Feb 2017
ILLA90
CAIR73
30 Oct 2016
ILLA83
CAIR98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
A19/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
86-103
86
103
-17
no box
H21/01
NBL
Perth
#6
L
86-106
86
106
-20
no box
A27/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
63-87
63
87
-24
no box
H04/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
81-96
81
96
-15
65avg 68
H30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
113-106
113
106
+7
85avg 68
H07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
73-103
73
103
-30
62avg 68
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
80-89
80
89
-9
60avg 68
A14/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
91-101
91
101
-10
67avg 68
H20/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
12-21
19-15
20-26
20-24
28-26
19-23
19-30
25-25
30-25
23-34
8-22
30-21
20-13
9-29
22-28
15-25
20-21
12-22
16-19
24-26
15-25
25-23
17-22
26-26
34-29
22-27
31-24
19-24
10-31
25-26
19-22
25-23
15-16
20-15
20-35
22-29
29-30
12-18
28-24
179.0Avg total
83.2Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.699.0186.6-11.420%
Season at home (3)95.0101.0196.0-6.033%
Season away (2)76.596.0172.5-19.50%
Last 10 (10)83.295.8179.0-12.620%
Last 5 (5)87.699.0186.6-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)82.094.3176.3-12.28%
vs Similar ◀ (5)72.891.2164.0-18.40%
vs Weaker (1)113.0106.0219.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#8
L
96-99
96
99
-3
no box
H30/01
NBL
Perth
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
no box
A03/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H09/02
NBL
Perth
#6
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
H12/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
87-95
87
95
-8
no box
A15/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
H17/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
64-79
64
79
-15
no box
A19/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 83
A30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 83
H05/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 83
A07/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
29-25
24-25
19-24
30-16
19-21
15-19
20-15
16-25
21-21
18-19
24-22
25-19
27-24
19-16
20-19
26-25
33-25
10-27
18-18
27-19
27-22
17-14
22-27
26-20
13-28
19-14
6-17
25-22
18-24
18-31
26-21
22-20
21-18
23-19
21-23
26-18
17-20
27-18
19-30
171.2Avg total
85.7Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.788.0175.7-0.367%
Season at home (1)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)88.092.0180.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)85.785.5171.2+0.250%
Last 5 (5)84.085.0169.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.290.0178.2-1.840%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.984.5169.4+0.450%
vs Weaker (11)91.585.5177.0+6.182%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
Illawarra HawksCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A19/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H21/01
NBL
Perth
#6
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A27/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H04/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H07/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H20/10
NBL
92.0Avg total
44.6Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.747.689.3-6.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.148.991.9-5.827%-
Last 30 away (15)40.346.486.7-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.647.492.0-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.851.895.6-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)41.847.489.2-5.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.247.284.4-10.020%-
vs Weaker (1)60.055.0115.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#8
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H30/01
NBL
Perth
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A03/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/02
NBL
Perth
#6
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H12/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A15/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H17/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A19/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A30/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H05/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/10
NBL
90.9Avg total
47.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.842.988.6+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.942.286.2+1.762%-
Last 30 away (14)47.943.691.4+4.364%-
Last 10 (10)47.243.790.9+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.286.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)51.647.699.2+4.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.842.885.6+0.043%-
vs Weaker (11)46.940.887.7+6.191%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.421.2
46.7%
50.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.0
34.7%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.614.4
73.5%
73.8%14.4
They take 74.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.3 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.7
56.7%
50.9%45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.39.0
38.6%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.7
71.0%
73.8%14.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/3 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LLLWLLLLLW
Cairns Taipans
WWLLWLWLWL
#4
League position
#8
-13.9
Net rating
-0.4
105.9
Offensive rating
105.6
119.8
Defensive rating
106.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
57.1%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
22.8%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.7%
3-point %
38.6%
45.5%
Assist %
50.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 105.6Defence119.8 · 106.0Shooting48.8% · 57.1%3-point %34.7% · 38.6%Ball care16.4% · 22.8%Off. rebounds31.7% · 27.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Illawarra Hawks wins
6
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
13/01/23Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks89-84
02/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans89-96
10/12/22Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks102-101 OT
18/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans79-54
12/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans87-81
29/01/22Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks75-94
03/02/17Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans90-73
22/01/17Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks85-79
17/12/16Cairns Taipans v Illawarra Hawks99-82
30/10/16Illawarra Hawks v Cairns Taipans83-98
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/23HMelbourne United91-101
14/10/23AAdelaide80-89
12/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers73-103
07/10/23HSouth East Melbourne113-106
30/09/23HSydney81-96
04/02/23HTasmania JackJumpers63-87
02/02/23HNew Zealand Breakers81-91
27/01/23APerth86-106
21/01/23HBrisbane Bullets86-103
19/01/23ANew Zealand Breakers78-76
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23ABrisbane Bullets89-86
05/10/23HSouth East Melbourne87-80
30/09/23ANew Zealand Breakers87-98
19/02/23ASydney64-79
17/02/23HSydney93-82
15/02/23ASydney87-95
12/02/23HPerth91-78
09/02/23HTasmania JackJumpers79-87
03/02/23APerth84-71
30/01/23HAdelaide96-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game87.695.076.5
Allowed / game99.0101.096.0
Point differential-11.4-6.0-19.5
Avg total186.6196.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game87.787.088.0
Allowed / game88.080.092.0
Point differential-0.3+7.0-4.0
Avg total175.7167.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United76186%87.779.9+7.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers64267%91.383.7+7.7
3 Sydney64267%97.392.3+5.0
4 Cairns Taipans32167%87.788.0-0.3
5 South East Melbourne74357%92.489.1+3.3
6 Adelaide83538%85.088.0-3.0
7 Brisbane Bullets62433%85.790.3-4.7
8 Perth62433%87.892.7-4.8
9 New Zealand Breakers41325%88.892.5-3.8
10 Illawarra Hawks51420%87.699.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks2420172384
Cairns Taipans1523222383
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