PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sydney vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 99-86
28-26 22-16 20-20 29-24
Position#7
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game90.8
Sydney 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#3
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game92.0
AustraliaNBLRound 3· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sydney v Perth
06 Dec 2026
SYDN v PERT
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
SYDN102
PERT81
11 Mar 2026
SYDN105
PERT104
15 Feb 2026
SYDN102
PERT84
19 Oct 2025
SYDN94
PERT72
02 Feb 2025
SYDN97
PERT104
21 Jan 2024
SYDN98
PERT104
15 Oct 2023
SYDN99
PERT86
07 Jan 2023
SYDN108
PERT87
19 Feb 2022
SYDN98
PERT95
30 Jan 2022
SYDN96
PERT81
08 Apr 2021
SYDN69
PERT73
28 Mar 2021
SYDN65
PERT89
23 Feb 2021
SYDN106
PERT113
15 Mar 2020
SYDN96
PERT111
08 Mar 2020
SYDN86
PERT88
28 Dec 2019
SYDN85
PERT98
10 Nov 2019
SYDN104
PERT85
27 Jan 2019
SYDN68
PERT88
06 Dec 2018
SYDN77
PERT72
21 Jan 2018
SYDN84
PERT56
06 Jan 2018
SYDN68
PERT76
07 Jan 2017
SYDN74
PERT80
19 Nov 2016
SYDN83
PERT72
10 Feb 2016
SYDN103
PERT77
13 Dec 2015
SYDN69
PERT87
18 Dec 2014
SYDN78
PERT74
16 Nov 2014
SYDN66
PERT85
02 Mar 2014
SYDN81
PERT85
27 Oct 2013
SYDN72
PERT82
24 Feb 2013
SYDN71
PERT97
30 Dec 2012
SYDN61
PERT95
20 Jan 2012
SYDN75
PERT76
11 Feb 2011
SYDN84
PERT98
29 Dec 2010
SYDN78
PERT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
H19/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
87-95
87
95
-8
no box
H03/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
A05/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
H10/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
A12/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H15/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 93
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 93
A06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
102avg 93
H08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
113-102
113
102
+11
113avg 93
A13/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
28-13
14-19
17-6
23-30
20-24
27-22
17-19
21-9
13-21
23-11
24-33
22-24
21-23
24-12
24-9
12-18
15-21
25-15
18-26
11-22
24-14
21-20
21-13
26-24
25-15
23-25
22-17
19-18
21-30
17-16
15-16
32-22
25-26
18-24
34-28
29-25
27-17
29-25
28-35
168.8Avg total
87.5Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)97.590.8188.2+6.875%
Season at home (1)109.0100.0209.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)93.787.7181.3+6.067%
Last 10 (10)87.581.3168.8+6.270%
Last 5 (5)93.486.4179.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.380.1163.4+3.256%
vs Weaker (21)98.090.0188.1+8.067%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
106-86
106
86
+20
no box
H27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
no box
A29/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H03/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
96-84
96
84
+12
no box
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
W
106-99
106
99
+7
no box
A09/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
A12/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
101-95
101
95
+6
94avg 79
H29/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
99-110
99
110
-11
87avg 79
A01/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
70avg 79
H06/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-88
81
88
-7
64avg 79
H13/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
25-30
34-23
22-8
21-32
33-25
25-18
15-27
16-30
21-19
19-15
15-20
16-21
24-15
29-21
27-27
18-22
29-29
18-25
41-23
19-25
24-27
16-19
19-20
25-26
25-19
27-21
24-29
28-24
21-22
12-38
38-26
28-17
16-14
20-29
18-15
17-22
18-17
17-21
29-28
182.8Avg total
91.4Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.892.0182.8-1.250%
Season at home (3)88.086.0174.0+2.067%
Season away (1)99.0110.0209.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)91.491.4182.8+0.050%
Last 5 (5)88.291.8180.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)95.594.5190.0+1.067%
vs Similar ◀ (18)90.193.6183.7-3.444%
vs Weaker (6)97.095.2192.2+1.850%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
SydneyPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H19/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H03/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A05/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H10/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A12/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H15/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A13/10
NBL
85.6Avg total
43.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.791.8+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.645.593.1+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)46.543.990.4+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.285.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.842.690.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.943.384.2-2.433%-
vs Weaker (21)49.745.395.0+4.462%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A29/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H03/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A12/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H29/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A01/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H13/10
NBL
91.0Avg total
44.9Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.646.593.1+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.343.188.4+2.264%-
Last 30 away (16)47.849.497.2-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)44.946.191.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.686.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.546.290.7-1.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)46.447.493.8-1.039%-
vs Weaker (6)49.344.093.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.0
55.3%
50.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.513.2
39.6%
33.9%39.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.2
69.7%
73.8%13.2
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.8
53.5%
50.9%45.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.8
32.5%
33.9%29.2
🏀 Free throws21.215.5
72.9%
73.8%15.5
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WWLWWLWWLW
Perth
LWLWLWWLLW
#7
League position
#3
+7.4
Net rating
-0.9
114.2
Offensive rating
110.5
106.9
Defensive rating
111.4
57.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.9%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.6%
3-point %
32.5%
63.1%
Assist %
49.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 110.5Defence106.9 · 111.4Shooting57.2% · 51.6%3-point %39.6% · 32.5%Ball care17.4% · 14.9%Off. rebounds29.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Sydney   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sydney wins
6
Perth wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Perth v Sydney96-84
20/01/23Perth v Sydney111-104
07/01/23Sydney v Perth108-87
26/03/22Perth v Sydney80-102
19/02/22Sydney v Perth98-95
30/01/22Sydney v Perth96-81
27/05/21Perth v Sydney81-67
08/04/21Sydney v Perth69-73
01/04/21Perth v Sydney95-89
28/03/21Sydney v Perth65-89
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23ABrisbane Bullets113-102
08/10/23HAdelaide109-100
06/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers72-80
30/09/23AIllawarra Hawks96-81
15/03/23HNew Zealand Breakers77-69
12/03/23ANew Zealand Breakers70-80
10/03/23HNew Zealand Breakers91-68
05/03/23ANew Zealand Breakers81-74
03/03/23HNew Zealand Breakers87-95
19/02/23HCairns Taipans79-64
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23HMelbourne United81-88
06/10/23HAdelaide82-75
01/10/23ASouth East Melbourne99-110
29/09/23HTasmania JackJumpers101-95
12/02/23ACairns Taipans78-91
09/02/23ASouth East Melbourne106-99
05/02/23HSydney96-84
03/02/23HCairns Taipans71-84
29/01/23ATasmania JackJumpers94-102
27/01/23HIllawarra Hawks106-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game97.5109.093.7
Allowed / game90.8100.087.7
Point differential+6.8+9.0+6.0
Avg total188.2209.0181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game90.888.099.0
Allowed / game92.086.0110.0
Point differential-1.2+2.0-11.0
Avg total182.8174.0209.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United54180%83.276.0+7.2
2 Sydney43175%97.590.8+6.8
3 Cairns Taipans32167%87.788.0-0.3
4 Tasmania JackJumpers53260%88.681.4+7.2
5 New Zealand Breakers21150%91.088.0+3.0
6 Perth42250%90.892.0-1.2
7 Brisbane Bullets52340%88.289.2-1.0
8 South East Melbourne52340%89.893.2-3.4
9 Illawarra Hawks41325%86.898.5-11.8
10 Adelaide51420%81.887.8-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney2822202999
Perth2616202486
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.