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Sydney vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 109-100
32-22 25-26 18-24 34-28
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game80.5
Sydney 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#9
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game83.3
AustraliaNBLRound 2· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sydney v Adelaide
11 Oct 2026
SYDN78
ADEL84
05 Apr 2026
SYDN113
ADEL101
29 Mar 2026
SYDN106
ADEL93
21 Mar 2026
SYDN112
ADEL68
25 Jan 2026
SYDN106
ADEL101
17 Dec 2025
SYDN97
ADEL93
13 Feb 2025
SYDN88
ADEL95
24 Jan 2025
SYDN96
ADEL105
30 Dec 2024
SYDN96
ADEL111
08 Oct 2023
SYDN109
ADEL100
04 Dec 2022
SYDN97
ADEL78
21 Oct 2022
SYDN88
ADEL92
17 Apr 2022
SYDN82
ADEL90
16 May 2021
SYDN85
ADEL75
09 May 2021
SYDN88
ADEL97
21 Feb 2021
SYDN94
ADEL77
04 Jan 2020
SYDN91
ADEL77
12 Oct 2019
SYDN102
ADEL80
19 Jan 2019
SYDN99
ADEL119
13 Oct 2018
SYDN83
ADEL94
13 Jan 2018
SYDN101
ADEL104
07 Oct 2017
SYDN96
ADEL105
18 Dec 2016
SYDN96
ADEL103
28 Nov 2016
SYDN85
ADEL91
12 Nov 2015
SYDN106
ADEL84
23 Oct 2015
SYDN80
ADEL91
25 Jan 2015
SYDN86
ADEL105
09 Nov 2014
SYDN107
ADEL100
16 Mar 2014
SYDN100
ADEL90
26 Jan 2014
SYDN105
ADEL93
05 Jan 2013
SYDN86
ADEL82
04 Nov 2012
SYDN81
ADEL88
30 Dec 2011
SYDN77
ADEL96
08 Dec 2011
SYDN107
ADEL103
13 Mar 2011
SYDN76
ADEL72
04 Feb 2011
SYDN99
ADEL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
95-87
95
87
+8
no box
H15/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
A17/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
H19/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
87-95
87
95
-8
no box
H03/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
A05/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
H10/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
A12/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H15/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 78
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 78
A06/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
25-33
27-10
18-18
19-27
22-27
14-17
27-22
20-26
28-13
14-19
17-6
23-30
20-24
27-22
17-19
21-9
13-21
23-11
24-33
22-24
21-23
24-12
24-9
12-18
15-21
25-15
18-26
11-22
24-14
21-20
21-13
26-24
25-15
23-25
22-17
19-18
21-30
17-16
15-16
162.1Avg total
83.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.080.5164.5+3.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)84.080.5164.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)83.079.1162.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)81.275.6156.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)83.179.8162.9+3.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)96.088.5184.6+7.565%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
82-98
82
98
-16
no box
A12/01
NBL
Perth
#6
L
97-112
97
112
-15
no box
A14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
no box
A19/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
99-96
99
96
+3
no box
A30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
115-108
115
108
+7
no box
H03/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
L
107-116
107
116
-9
no box
A05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
71-86
71
86
-15
60avg 65
A29/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 65
H01/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
71avg 65
A06/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
19-23
25-23
21-29
17-32
29-35
17-25
34-20
20-27
18-20
32-26
21-18
21-28
19-11
24-31
23-24
25-24
25-29
25-24
24-19
35-29
24-30
22-27
34-22
27-27
30-29
23-31
27-29
28-18
12-23
13-24
18-21
19-25
24-16
14-16
17-25
17-28
14-16
29-20
15-18
188.8Avg total
90.8Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.383.3156.7-10.00%
Season at home (1)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
Season away (2)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)90.898.0188.8-7.220%
Last 5 (5)88.494.8183.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)84.589.7174.3-5.236%
vs Similar (13)90.795.5186.2-4.831%
vs Weaker (6)97.587.0184.5+10.583%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
SydneyAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H15/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A17/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H19/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H03/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A05/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H10/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A12/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H15/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A06/10
NBL
85.7Avg total
41.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.243.990.1+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.644.991.5+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)45.842.988.7+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.585.7-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.881.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)41.341.783.0-0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.645.093.7+3.660%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A12/01
NBL
Perth
#6
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A19/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H03/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A06/10
NBL
93.3Avg total
44.0Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.946.791.6-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.445.490.9+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)44.447.992.2-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)44.049.393.3-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)46.048.294.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.046.588.5-4.518%-
vs Similar (13)45.648.894.4-3.238%-
vs Weaker (6)48.542.891.3+5.783%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.5
52.7%
50.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.0
37.3%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.011.0
64.7%
73.8%11.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.319.3
42.6%
50.9%38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.3
25.3%
33.9%19.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.7%
73.8%14.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
LWWLWWLWLW
Adelaide
LLLLWWLLLL
#7
League position
#9
+3.1
Net rating
-13.3
103.5
Offensive rating
90.0
100.4
Defensive rating
103.3
54.1%
Effective FG%
41.0%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
42.2%
20.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.3%
3-point %
25.3%
59.0%
Assist %
70.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 90.0Defence100.4 · 103.3Shooting54.1% · 41.0%3-point %37.3% · 25.3%Ball care20.0% · 15.0%Off. rebounds27.8% · 24.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Sydney   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sydney wins
4
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
03/02/23Adelaide v Sydney115-108
04/12/22Sydney v Adelaide97-78
21/10/22Sydney v Adelaide88-92
17/04/22Sydney v Adelaide82-90
09/04/22Adelaide v Sydney77-84
27/02/22Adelaide v Sydney90-93
16/05/21Sydney v Adelaide85-75
09/05/21Sydney v Adelaide88-97 OT
21/02/21Sydney v Adelaide94-77
06/02/21Adelaide v Sydney75-94
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers72-80
30/09/23AIllawarra Hawks96-81
15/03/23HNew Zealand Breakers77-69
12/03/23ANew Zealand Breakers70-80
10/03/23HNew Zealand Breakers91-68
05/03/23ANew Zealand Breakers81-74
03/03/23HNew Zealand Breakers87-95
19/02/23HCairns Taipans79-64
17/02/23ACairns Taipans82-93
15/02/23HCairns Taipans95-87
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/23APerth75-82
01/10/23HMelbourne United74-82
29/09/23ABrisbane Bullets71-86
05/02/23AMelbourne United107-116
03/02/23HSydney115-108
30/01/23ACairns Taipans99-96
21/01/23HMelbourne United87-94
19/01/23ABrisbane Bullets101-106 OT
14/01/23APerth97-112
12/01/23ATasmania JackJumpers82-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game84.0-84.0
Allowed / game80.5-80.5
Point differential+3.5-+3.5
Avg total164.5-164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.374.073.0
Allowed / game83.382.084.0
Point differential-10.0-8.0-11.0
Avg total156.7156.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United32167%79.773.7+6.0
2 Brisbane Bullets32167%87.081.3+5.7
3 Tasmania JackJumpers32167%85.082.7+2.3
4 Perth32167%94.093.3+0.7
5 Cairns Taipans32167%87.788.0-0.3
6 Sydney21150%84.080.5+3.5
7 New Zealand Breakers21150%91.088.0+3.0
8 Illawarra Hawks21150%97.0101.0-4.0
9 South East Melbourne41325%90.895.2-4.5
10 Adelaide3030%73.383.3-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney32251834109
Adelaide22262428100
← all games of the day
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