Cairns vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 08:50

Final 109-80

24-18 28-25 37-17 20-20

Position#8

Record1-14

FormLLLLL

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game92.5

Cairns 🏆

Brisbane Bullets

Position#5

Record9-8

FormWLWLW

Points / game89.2

Allowed / game87.4

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Cairns v Brisbane Bullets

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brisbane Bullets winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

81-104

104

-23

A09/11

NBL

Melbourne United

80-87

-7

A11/11

NBL

Perth

83-88 OT

-5

H17/11

NBL

Adelaide

95-109

109

-14

A23/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

84-95

-11

H07/12

NBL

Perth

72-94

-22

A09/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

78-89

-11

H16/12

NBL

Sydney

70-81

-11

H20/12

NBL

Adelaide

82-87

-5

A22/12

NBL

Perth

78-93

-15

H31/12

NBL

21-30

24-27

12-25

24-22

18-17

28-26

21-19

13-25

21-14

18-22

14-17

22-22

29-23

20-31

23-32

23-23

15-20

26-29

23-22

20-24

17-31

21-21

20-19

14-23

20-19

19-26

26-17

13-27

20-15

14-30

15-15

21-21

26-21

16-24

16-17

24-25

21-24

18-23

17-21

22-25

173.0Avg total

80.3Scored

92.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	82.8	92.5	175.3	-9.7	7%
Season at home (8)	81.8	92.4	174.1	-10.6	0%
Season away (7)	84.0	92.7	176.7	-8.7	14%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	92.7	173.0	-12.4	0%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	88.8	164.8	-12.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	80.5	88.4	168.9	-7.9	20%
vs Similar (10)	81.9	88.2	170.1	-6.3	20%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane Bullets Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

87-90

-3

A09/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

84-85

-1

H11/11

NBL

Melbourne United

94-102

102

-8

A18/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

104-85

104

+19

H22/11

NBL

Melbourne United

97-94

H08/12

NBL

Melbourne United

90-74

+16

A10/12

NBL

Adelaide

91-101

101

-10

H15/12

NBL

Perth

93-86

H21/12

NBL

Sydney

68-75

-7

A29/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

100-74

100

+26

A31/12

NBL

21-25

16-13

24-21

26-31

21-28

18-26

23-9

22-22

20-25

24-18

31-34

19-25

35-24

20-29

24-13

25-19

18-28

30-23

21-29

28-14

17-24

25-23

15-8

33-19

22-28

30-24

18-18

21-31

18-22

24-26

24-19

27-19

18-24

17-21

19-17

14-13

23-16

28-14

24-15

25-29

177.4Avg total

90.8Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	89.2	87.4	176.5	+1.8	53%
Season at home (8)	93.4	91.6	185.0	+1.8	62%
Season away (9)	85.4	83.6	169.0	+1.9	44%
Last 10 (10)	90.8	86.6	177.4	+4.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	82.0	170.4	+6.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	83.5	88.4	171.8	-4.9	27%
vs Similar (15)	88.0	90.2	178.2	-2.2	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	88.0	83.2	171.2	+4.8	50%

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CairnsBrisbane Bullets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.4	42.2	-0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	22.4	43.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.4	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	23.2	45.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	23.3	46.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	23.1	43.7	-2.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	24.4	45.7	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.8	42.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.8	21.6	42.5	-0.8	27%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.9	25.1	47.0	-3.3	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	26.5	20.2	46.8	+6.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	23.0	41.9	-4.2	13%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.1	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	23.4	42.4	-4.3	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	25.9	46.3	-5.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	24.8	42.4	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.3	22.9	41.2	-4.6	15%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	23.2	43.1	-3.3	10%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.3	43.7	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	23.9	47.5	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.7	39.9	-1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	21.7	44.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.6	46.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.5	45%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.5	22.8	45.3	-0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.5	25%	-

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

45-57

-12

A09/11

NBL

Melbourne United

46-43

A11/11

NBL

Perth

39-36

H17/11

NBL

Adelaide

49-54

-5

A23/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

41-49

-8

H07/12

NBL

Perth

38-52

-14

A09/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-45

-6

H16/12

NBL

Sydney

34-45

-11

H20/12

NBL

Adelaide

42-45

-3

A22/12

NBL

Perth

39-47

-8

H31/12

NBL

88.5Avg total

41.2Scored

47.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	44.4	84.1	-4.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	42.9	81.8	-3.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.4	45.8	86.1	-5.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	47.3	88.5	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	46.8	85.2	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	39.2	44.4	83.6	-5.1	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.6	44.5	85.1	-3.9	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

37-38

-1

A09/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-54

-15

H11/11

NBL

Melbourne United

44-43

A18/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

55-53

H22/11

NBL

Melbourne United

48-51

-3

H08/12

NBL

Melbourne United

42-47

-5

A10/12

NBL

Adelaide

52-52

H15/12

NBL

Perth

42-48

-6

H21/12

NBL

Sydney

35-45

-10

A29/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

51-30

+21

A31/12

NBL

90.6Avg total

44.5Scored

46.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	45.5	89.0	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.3	47.1	94.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	43.8	83.7	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	46.1	90.6	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	44.4	88.8	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	41.5	42.8	84.3	-1.4	45%	-
vs Similar (15)	44.4	47.9	92.3	-3.5	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	46.2	43.5	89.8	+2.8	50%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.8	39.6	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	20.7	40.2	-1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.3	40.6	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.4	35.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.1	21.2	40.3	-2.1	36%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.5	20.7	43.2	+1.9	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	23.2	44.3	-2.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	23.9	44.8	-2.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	23.7	43.3	-4.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	24.2	43.0	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.9	23.9	44.8	-2.9	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.5	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.3	43.9	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	23.4	45.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.1	42.2	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	22.2	46.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.2	46.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	22.5	22.9	45.4	-0.5	36%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.5	23.0	44.5	-1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	43.0	83.8	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	42.7	83.6	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	43.3	84.1	-2.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	44.1	82.4	-5.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	42.0	79.6	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	40.5	42.7	83.2	-2.2	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.3	43.7	85.0	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	42.6	85.2	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.6	44.1	87.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.6	41.1	82.7	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	40.5	86.8	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	37.6	81.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	41.5	44.1	85.6	-2.5	18%	-
vs Similar (15)	43.6	42.3	85.9	+1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	41.8	39.8	81.5	+2.0	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns wins

Brisbane Bullets wins

Date	Game	Score
13/10/18	Brisbane Bullets v Cairns	70-88
05/01/18	Cairns v Brisbane Bullets	83-80
14/12/17	Cairns v Brisbane Bullets	74-75
12/11/17	Brisbane Bullets v Cairns	82-74
20/10/17	Brisbane Bullets v Cairns	83-78

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/12/18	H	Perth	78-93
22/12/18	A	Adelaide	82-87
20/12/18	H	Sydney	70-81
16/12/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	78-89
09/12/18	A	Perth	72-94
07/12/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	84-95
23/11/18	A	Adelaide	95-109
17/11/18	H	Perth	83-88 OT
11/11/18	A	Melbourne United	80-87
09/11/18	A	New Zealand Breakers	81-104

Brisbane Bulletslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/12/18	A	Illawarra Hawks	100-74
29/12/18	A	Sydney	68-75
21/12/18	H	Perth	93-86
15/12/18	H	Adelaide	91-101
10/12/18	A	Melbourne United	90-74
08/12/18	H	Melbourne United	97-94
22/11/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	104-85
18/11/18	A	Melbourne United	94-102
11/11/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	84-85
09/11/18	A	Perth	87-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	7%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	7%	0%	14%
Points / game	82.8	81.8	84.0
Allowed / game	92.5	92.4	92.7
Point differential	-9.7	-10.6	-8.7
Avg total	175.3	174.1	176.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	0%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	13%	12%	14%

Brisbane Bullets

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	53%
Home	LWWLW	62%
Away	LLWLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	53%	62%	44%
Points / game	89.2	93.4	85.4
Allowed / game	87.4	91.6	83.6
Point differential	+1.8	+1.8	+1.9
Avg total	176.5	185.0	169.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	25%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	16	11	5	69%	85.6	81.0	+4.6
2	Perth	18	12	6	67%	89.9	83.9	+6.0
3	Melbourne United	17	11	6	65%	90.4	88.2	+2.2
4	Brisbane Bullets	17	9	8	53%	89.2	87.4	+1.8
5	Adelaide	17	9	8	53%	95.6	94.2	+1.4
6	Illawarra Hawks	17	7	10	41%	87.1	93.8	-6.6
7	New Zealand Breakers	15	6	9	40%	89.3	90.2	-0.9
8	Cairns	15	1	14	7%	82.8	92.5	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cairns	24	28	37	20	109
Brisbane Bullets	18	25	17	20	80

← all games of the day

Cairns vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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