Melbourne United vs Cairns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 03:50

Final 87-80

17-18 26-28 19-21 25-13

Position#2

Record5-3

FormLWWWL

Points / game91.2

Allowed / game89.8

Melbourne United 🏆

Cairns

Position#8

Record1-5

FormLLLLL

Points / game86.7

Allowed / game94.2

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Melbourne United v Cairns

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cairns winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

81-90

-9

A25/03

NBL

Adelaide

100-82

100

+18

H31/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

123-122 OT

123

122

A12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

81-88

-7

H14/10

NBL

Adelaide

75-72

H21/10

NBL

Perth

96-101 OT

101

-5

A27/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

99-93

H29/10

NBL

Cairns

98-85

+13

A03/11

NBL

Sydney

77-70

H05/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

81-87

-6

A08/11

NBL

21-29

10-26

27-16

23-19

34-22

23-22

21-25

22-13

19-23

23-23

27-20

19-22

28-19

14-28

24-24

15-17

15-19

29-25

17-15

14-13

22-20

20-21

26-25

16-18

29-16

27-23

26-33

17-21

29-19

22-21

15-21

32-24

17-11

18-18

24-23

20-25

22-26

17-21

22-15

180.1Avg total

91.1Scored

89.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	91.2	89.8	181.0	+1.5	62%
Season at home (4)	83.0	80.8	163.8	+2.2	75%
Season away (4)	99.5	98.8	198.2	+0.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	91.1	89.0	180.1	+2.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	87.2	177.4	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	90.9	88.6	179.5	+2.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	89.4	83.8	173.3	+5.6	83%

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

78-88

-10

A28/01

NBL

Sydney

86-93

-7

H03/02

NBL

Perth

85-83

A09/02

NBL

Perth

61-89

-28

A18/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

88-70

+18

A13/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

93-104

104

-11

H21/10

NBL

Adelaide

83-91

-8

H26/10

NBL

Sydney

90-98 OT

-8

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

85-98

-13

H03/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

81-104

104

-23

A09/11

NBL

15-23

17-24

19-22

27-19

22-29

22-24

20-23

22-17

26-21

20-23

21-16

18-23

19-20

11-27

10-21

21-21

19-18

21-19

20-17

28-16

28-27

20-20

16-21

29-36

20-12

12-26

30-24

21-29

20-18

18-23

23-18

23-25

19-29

21-22

21-15

24-32

21-30

24-27

12-25

24-22

174.8Avg total

83.0Scored

91.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	86.7	94.2	180.8	-7.5	17%
Season at home (3)	87.0	97.7	184.7	-10.7	0%
Season away (3)	86.3	90.7	177.0	-4.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	91.8	174.8	-8.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	99.0	185.4	-12.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	81.2	84.3	165.5	-3.1	38%
vs Similar (14)	79.9	82.9	162.7	-3.0	29%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedCairns

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.1	44.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	19.7	42.7	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	24.5	46.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.3	43.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.2	41.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	24.3	21.1	45.4	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.3	39%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.0	43.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.8	43.5	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.2	44.8	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.9	22.4	43.4	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	23.3	44.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	20.1	23.1	43.2	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.3	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.7	38.9	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	21.9	38.7	-5.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	23.5	42.1	-4.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.6	42.6	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.1	31%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.2	21%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

31-55

-24

A25/03

NBL

Adelaide

57-44

+13

H31/03

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-46

-4

A12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-47

-5

H14/10

NBL

Adelaide

44-44

H21/10

NBL

Perth

42-41

A27/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

56-39

+17

H29/10

NBL

Cairns

51-40

+11

A03/11

NBL

Sydney

35-29

H05/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-51

-9

A08/11

NBL

87.8Avg total

44.2Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	43.4	86.8	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	41.1	85.8	+3.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.2	45.7	87.9	-3.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	43.6	87.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	40.0	85.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	44.4	44.2	88.6	+0.2	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.8	42.8	85.7	+0.0	39%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

32-47

-15

A28/01

NBL

Sydney

44-53

-9

H03/02

NBL

Perth

46-44

A09/02

NBL

Perth

30-47

-17

A18/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

40-37

A13/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

48-47

H21/10

NBL

Adelaide

32-38

-6

H26/10

NBL

Sydney

38-41

-3

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

40-51

-11

H03/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-57

-12

A09/11

NBL

85.7Avg total

39.5Scored

46.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	42.7	81.9	-3.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	40.8	81.7	+0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	44.7	82.2	-7.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	46.2	85.7	-6.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	46.8	87.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	39.1	42.7	81.8	-3.6	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.3	42.8	82.1	-3.5	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	21.3	43.3	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	19.5	43.1	+4.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	23.8	21.8	45.6	+2.1	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.1	19.5	41.6	+2.6	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.9	38.5	+0.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.9	40.1	+0.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.6	18.1	37.8	+1.5	69%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	20.6	43.5	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	21.7	21.2	42.9	+0.4	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	21.9	42.9	-0.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	24.0	47.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	28.8	53.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	22.1	22.6	44.7	-0.6	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.9	20.4	41.2	+0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	40.4	85.1	+4.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	40.7	83.5	+2.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.5	40.1	86.6	+6.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	40.3	82.5	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	43.8	86.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	45.5	43.0	88.5	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.1	38.7	82.8	+5.4	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	40.4	81.6	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	39.0	80.2	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	41.9	83.0	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	44.2	87.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	49.4	94.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	41.7	40.8	82.4	+0.9	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.6	40.1	80.6	+0.5	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Cairns wins

Date	Game	Score
03/11/18	Cairns v Melbourne United	85-98
24/01/18	Melbourne United v Cairns	79-68
09/12/17	Cairns v Melbourne United	79-70
09/11/17	Cairns v Melbourne United	92-69
02/11/17	Melbourne United v Cairns	87-65
15/01/16	Melbourne United v Cairns	98-68
13/01/16	Cairns v Melbourne United	65-83
13/11/15	Cairns v Melbourne United	82-70
24/10/15	Melbourne United v Cairns	89-80
13/02/15	Cairns v Melbourne United	84-62

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/18	A	Illawarra Hawks	81-87
05/11/18	H	Sydney	77-70
03/11/18	A	Cairns	98-85
29/10/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	99-93
27/10/18	A	Perth	96-101 OT
21/10/18	H	Adelaide	75-72
14/10/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	81-88
12/10/18	A	Illawarra Hawks	123-122 OT
31/03/18	H	Adelaide	100-82
25/03/18	A	Adelaide	81-90

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/18	A	New Zealand Breakers	81-104
03/11/18	H	Melbourne United	85-98
28/10/18	A	Sydney	90-98 OT
26/10/18	H	Adelaide	83-91
21/10/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	93-104
13/10/18	A	Brisbane Bullets	88-70
18/02/18	A	Perth	61-89
09/02/18	A	Perth	85-83
03/02/18	H	Sydney	86-93
28/01/18	A	Illawarra Hawks	78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	62%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	WLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	62%	75%	50%
Points / game	91.2	83.0	99.5
Allowed / game	89.8	80.8	98.8
Point differential	+1.5	+2.2	+0.8
Avg total	181.0	163.8	198.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	25%	0%	50%

Cairns

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	17%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	17%	0%	33%
Points / game	86.7	87.0	86.3
Allowed / game	94.2	97.7	90.7
Point differential	-7.5	-10.7	-4.3
Avg total	180.8	184.7	177.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	17%	0%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	7	6	1	86%	95.3	83.7	+11.6
2	Melbourne United	8	5	3	62%	91.2	89.8	+1.5
3	Sydney	7	4	3	57%	90.3	86.4	+3.9
4	New Zealand Breakers	6	3	3	50%	89.2	89.2	+0.0
5	Brisbane Bullets	8	4	4	50%	86.9	88.6	-1.8
6	Illawarra Hawks	7	3	4	43%	90.3	94.4	-4.1
7	Adelaide	9	3	6	33%	90.8	94.3	-3.6
8	Cairns	6	1	5	17%	86.7	94.2	-7.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	17	26	19	25	87
Cairns	18	28	21	13	80

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Cairns Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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