Cairns vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 08:50

Final 106-98 (OT)

26-31 25-23 26-22 14-15 15-7

Position#8

Record3-17

FormWLWLL

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game91.5

Cairns 🏆

New Zealand Breakers

Position#6

Record8-11

FormLWWLL

Points / game91.0

Allowed / game91.6

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Cairns v New Zealand Breakers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

New Zealand Breakers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

72-94

-22

A09/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

78-89

-11

H16/12

NBL

Sydney

70-81

-11

H20/12

NBL

Adelaide

82-87

-5

A22/12

NBL

Perth

78-93

-15

H31/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

109-80

109

+29

H03/01

NBL

Sydney

82-86

-4

H07/01

NBL

Perth

81-79

A11/01

NBL

Melbourne United

89-99 OT

-10

H13/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

68-99

-31

A19/01

NBL

17-31

21-21

20-19

14-23

20-19

19-26

26-17

13-27

20-15

14-30

15-15

21-21

26-21

16-24

16-17

24-25

21-24

18-23

17-21

22-25

24-18

28-25

37-17

20-20

18-29

22-19

17-17

25-21

20-17

24-15

22-23

15-24

25-18

21-14

26-27

9-22

19-31

15-19

11-23

23-26

169.6Avg total

80.9Scored

88.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	83.5	91.5	175.1	-8.0	15%
Season at home (11)	84.9	91.3	176.2	-6.4	9%
Season away (9)	81.9	91.9	173.8	-10.0	22%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	88.7	169.6	-7.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	88.6	174.4	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	81.1	89.8	171.0	-8.7	17%
vs Similar (7)	82.0	87.6	169.6	-5.6	29%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

93-98 OT

-5

H23/11

NBL

Perth

86-91

-5

A25/11

NBL

Sydney

70-71

-1

H09/12

NBL

Cairns

89-78

+11

A16/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

96-79

+17

H21/12

NBL

Adelaide

98-109

109

-11

A30/12

NBL

Adelaide

104-96

104

A04/01

NBL

Perth

97-84

+13

H06/01

NBL

Sydney

92-100

100

-8

A11/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

96-107

107

-11

A18/01

NBL

26-21

14-26

20-23

24-14

24-21

20-24

18-32

23-20

12-15

6-21

29-15

19-20

26-19

17-26

27-13

22-10

24-22

24-24

26-23

29-26

19-28

23-26

27-29

26-27

15-22

29-18

34-29

20-27

27-24

26-13

24-20

20-22

32-32

23-22

17-24

27-22

25-25

33-26

11-34

183.4Avg total

92.1Scored

91.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	91.0	91.6	182.6	-0.6	42%
Season at home (9)	91.8	89.1	180.9	+2.7	44%
Season away (10)	90.3	93.8	184.1	-3.5	40%
Last 10 (10)	92.1	91.3	183.4	+0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	97.4	99.2	196.6	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	86.7	90.1	176.8	-3.4	22%
vs Similar (17)	86.3	90.8	177.1	-4.5	35%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	96.2	86.2	182.5	+10.0	75%

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CairnsNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	22.9	43.0	-2.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.3	43.3	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.7	22.1	42.7	-1.4	57%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.3	22.3	42.6	-2.0	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	22.2	46.0	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.1	22.2	47.3	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.7	22.1	44.8	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	20.9	44.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	24.8	49.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	26.8	21.6	48.3	+5.2	78%	-
vs Similar (17)	22.1	23.4	45.5	-1.4	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	24.5	18.2	42.8	+6.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	22.3	42.1	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.2	22.3	41.6	-3.1	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.9	23.1	44.0	-2.3	14%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	20.9	42.2	+0.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	22.8	45.6	+0.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.4	45.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	26.2	49.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	22.6	21.5	44.2	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	25.5	22.5	48.0	+3.0	75%	-

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

38-52

-14

A09/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-45

-6

H16/12

NBL

Sydney

34-45

-11

H20/12

NBL

Adelaide

42-45

-3

A22/12

NBL

Perth

39-47

-8

H31/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

52-43

H03/01

NBL

Sydney

40-48

-8

H07/01

NBL

Perth

44-32

+12

A11/01

NBL

Melbourne United

46-32

+14

H13/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

34-50

-16

A19/01

NBL

84.7Avg total

40.8Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	44.7	84.8	-4.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	43.7	84.5	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	45.7	85.1	-6.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	43.9	84.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	41.0	84.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	39.9	44.4	84.3	-4.6	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.1	45.4	86.6	-4.3	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

40-47

-7

H23/11

NBL

Perth

48-35

+13

A25/11

NBL

Sydney

35-35

H09/12

NBL

Cairns

45-39

A16/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-32

+14

H21/12

NBL

Adelaide

48-54

-6

A30/12

NBL

Adelaide

41-49

-8

A04/01

NBL

Perth

47-51

-4

H06/01

NBL

Sydney

52-54

-2

A11/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

52-47

A18/01

NBL

89.7Avg total

45.4Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	44.1	90.0	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.4	43.1	89.5	+3.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.5	44.9	90.4	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	44.3	89.7	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	51.0	99.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	46.4	43.9	90.3	+2.6	44%	-
vs Similar (17)	44.7	44.9	89.6	-0.2	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	50.0	40.8	90.8	+9.2	100%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.3	38.7	-2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.4	48%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.7	43.7	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	22.9	44.2	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	22.3	44.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	21.0	47.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.3	23.0	43.3	-2.7	22%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.4	22.8	43.1	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	24.8	22.0	46.8	+2.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	23.4	44.1	-2.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	23.8	44.3	-3.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	22.9	43.9	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	23.4	42.0	-4.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.6	41.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.3	23.8	44.0	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.4	42.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	21.1	43.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	23.4	42.2	-4.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	23.3	47.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	27.2	49.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.2	23.1	44.3	-1.8	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	43.1	83.6	-2.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	43.0	84.5	-1.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	43.3	82.6	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	43.0	82.3	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	40.3	43.4	83.7	-3.1	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.9	42.1	83.0	-1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	45.1	86.3	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.5	43.7	86.2	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	46.3	86.4	-6.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	45.6	91.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	48.2	97.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.3	43.6	81.9	-5.2	22%	-
vs Similar (17)	41.6	45.8	87.4	-4.2	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	46.2	45.5	91.8	+0.8	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/18	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	78-89
09/11/18	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	104-81
20/01/18	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	81-71
07/01/18	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	82-69
04/11/17	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	70-73
08/10/17	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	71-82
07/02/16	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	85-74
23/01/16	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	90-87
31/12/15	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	73-66
28/10/15	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	90-67

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	68-99
13/01/19	H	Melbourne United	89-99 OT
11/01/19	A	Perth	81-79
07/01/19	H	Sydney	82-86
03/01/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	109-80
31/12/18	H	Perth	78-93
22/12/18	A	Adelaide	82-87
20/12/18	H	Sydney	70-81
16/12/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	78-89
09/12/18	A	Perth	72-94

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/01/19	A	Illawarra Hawks	96-107
11/01/19	A	Sydney	92-100
06/01/19	H	Perth	97-84
04/01/19	A	Adelaide	104-96
30/12/18	A	Adelaide	98-109
21/12/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	96-79
16/12/18	A	Cairns	89-78
09/12/18	H	Sydney	70-71
25/11/18	A	Perth	86-91
23/11/18	H	Perth	93-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	15%
Home	LLWLL	9%
Away	LLLWL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	15%	9%	22%
Points / game	83.5	84.9	81.9
Allowed / game	91.5	91.3	91.9
Point differential	-8.0	-6.4	-10.0
Avg total	175.1	176.2	173.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	9%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	15%	18%	11%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	42%
Home	LLLWW	44%
Away	WLWLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	42%	44%	40%
Points / game	91.0	91.8	90.3
Allowed / game	91.6	89.1	93.8
Point differential	-0.6	+2.7	-3.5
Avg total	182.6	180.9	184.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	44%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	21	13	8	62%	86.1	84.0	+2.2
2	Melbourne United	20	12	8	60%	90.0	88.4	+1.6
3	Perth	22	13	9	59%	88.6	84.7	+3.9
4	Brisbane Bullets	21	12	9	57%	90.1	87.5	+2.6
5	Adelaide	22	12	10	55%	96.8	94.9	+1.9
6	Illawarra Hawks	21	10	11	48%	88.5	92.7	-4.2
7	New Zealand Breakers	19	8	11	42%	91.0	91.6	-0.6
8	Cairns	20	3	17	15%	83.5	91.5	-8.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Cairns	26	25	26	14	15	106
New Zealand Breakers	31	23	22	15	7	98

← all games of the day

Cairns vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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