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Cal Poly vs CSU Bakersfield Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 56-68
37-35 19-33
Position#364
Record4-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#280
Record12-17
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield
21 Jan 2027
CAL v CSU
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
CAL 108
CSU 76
01 Mar 2025
CAL 98
CSU 72
02 Mar 2024
CAL 56
CSU 68
15 Feb 2023
CAL 62
CSU 70
22 Feb 2022
CAL 60
CSU 61
21 Dec 2019
CAL 50
CSU 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#263
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H26/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A28/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H02/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H03/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A09/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A11/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
51-80
51
80
-29
H16/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
50-68
50
68
-18
A23/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H25/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
22-24
29-30
23-26
50-57
32-35
27-38
23-25
29-34
30-33
35-45
35-39
33-38
20-35
31-45
19-31
31-37
29-34
49-50
34-37
41-46
136.1Avg total
62.2Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)63.073.4136.4-10.414%
Season at home (13)64.571.0135.5-6.523%
Season away (16)61.775.4137.1-13.76%
Last 10 (10)62.273.9136.1-11.70%
Last 5 (5)64.478.4142.8-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)62.173.5135.6-11.410%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#263
L
50-68
50
68
-18
A28/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
82-76 OT
82
76
+6
H02/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H04/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A09/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H10/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H16/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A23/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H25/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
25-38
25-30
40-37
30-33
24-26
35-44
30-30
33-35
39-32
34-39
29-42
42-34
33-39
38-38
32-30
34-49
33-26
42-30
29-27
41-30
137.5Avg total
68.0Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)68.869.0137.8-0.241%
Season at home (14)75.065.6140.6+9.471%
Season away (15)63.172.2135.3-9.113%
Last 10 (10)68.069.5137.5-1.540%
Last 5 (5)70.669.0139.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)59.671.4131.0-11.914%
vs Similar (19)69.771.6141.3-1.942%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)66.752.7119.3+14.067%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -6.5-6.52nd half: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -6.5-6.52nd half: -0.8-0.8
Cal PolyCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#263
L
22-24
22
24
-2
H26/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A28/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H02/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
23-25
23
25
-2
H03/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A11/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
20-35
20
35
-15
H16/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A23/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H25/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A01/03
NCAA
58.6Avg total
26.7Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.233.461.6-5.217%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.232.962.2-3.715%-
Last 30 away (17)27.433.861.1-6.418%-
Last 10 (10)26.731.958.6-5.20%-
Last 5 (5)27.435.262.6-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)27.533.460.9-5.914%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#263
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A28/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H04/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A09/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H16/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A23/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H25/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H01/03
NCAA
64.1Avg total
31.4Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.633.063.6-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.429.965.3+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)26.435.862.1-9.412%-
Last 10 (10)31.432.764.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.232.864.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)26.633.359.9-6.729%-
vs Similar (19)31.135.066.1-3.937%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)28.321.049.3+7.367%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cal Poly wins
8
CSU Bakersfield wins
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24AUC Santa Barbara75-83
25/02/24HUC Riverside78-84
23/02/24ACS Fullerton50-68
16/02/24HHawaii51-80
11/02/24ALong Beach State68-77
09/02/24ACS Northridge65-78
03/02/24HUC Davis52-59
02/02/24HUC Irvine59-73
28/01/24AHawaii73-83
26/01/24HCS Fullerton51-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24HUC San Diego70-57
25/02/24HUC Davis75-56
23/02/24ALong Beach State66-79
18/02/24AUC Irvine71-77
16/02/24HCS Northridge71-76
10/02/24HCS Fullerton73-71
09/02/24AUC Riverside63-65
04/02/24HUC Santa Barbara59-70
02/02/24HLong Beach State82-76 OT
28/01/24ACS Fullerton50-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %14%23%6%
Points / game63.064.561.7
Allowed / game73.471.075.4
Point differential-10.4-6.5-13.7
Avg total136.4135.5137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%8%6%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW41%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %41%71%13%
Points / game68.875.063.1
Allowed / game69.065.672.2
Point differential-0.2+9.4-9.1
Avg total137.8140.6135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %10%7%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine2921872%77.267.4+9.9
2 UC San Diego30201067%76.768.5+8.1
3 Long Beach State29181162%78.175.4+2.7
4 CS Northridge31181358%75.073.3+1.7
5 UC Davis28161257%70.368.4+1.9
6 Hawaii29161355%72.169.2+2.8
7 UC Santa Barbara28151354%75.572.8+2.7
8 CS Fullerton30141647%67.668.2-0.7
9 UC Riverside30131743%69.671.5-1.9
10 CSU Bakersfield29121741%68.869.0-0.2
11 Cal Poly2942514%63.073.4-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly371956
CSU Bakersfield353368
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