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Cal Poly vs CSU Bakersfield Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 98-72
45-41 53-31
Position#235
Record11-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game84.3
Cal Poly 🏆
USA
vs
CSU Bakersfield
USA
Position#265
Record13-17
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield
21 Jan 2027
CAL v CSU
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
CAL 108
CSU 76
01 Mar 2025
CAL 98
CSU 72
02 Mar 2024
CAL 56
CSU 68
15 Feb 2023
CAL 62
CSU 70
22 Feb 2022
CAL 60
CSU 61
21 Dec 2019
CAL 50
CSU 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#16
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A19/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A31/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A02/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
98-83
98
83
+15
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A16/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H21/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
112-100 OT
112
100
+12
H22/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-45
36-56
40-28
38-41
45-37
45-44
28-39
34-41
34-35
45-28
40-36
58-47
50-46
35-43
34-42
33-39
43-47
52-48
42-47
35-49
166.2Avg total
81.9Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.484.3164.7-3.938%
Season at home (12)82.880.2163.0+2.558%
Season away (17)78.887.1165.9-8.424%
Last 10 (10)81.984.3166.2-2.450%
Last 5 (5)87.889.8177.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.288.8166.0-11.78%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.282.7162.9-2.543%
vs Weaker (4)92.578.0170.5+14.5100%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#98
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
81-90
81
90
-9
H31/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A02/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H07/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A09/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H14/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
91-54
91
54
+37
H15/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A21/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H23/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-41
35-42
37-45
44-45
22-44
40-44
38-44
37-37
41-36
23-33
19-31
35-42
50-27
41-27
30-29
41-37
32-27
32-46
40-33
32-39
149.3Avg total
72.9Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.073.3147.3+0.743%
Season at home (16)79.469.2148.6+10.256%
Season away (14)67.978.0145.9-10.129%
Last 10 (10)72.976.4149.3-3.530%
Last 5 (5)73.670.6144.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)67.780.0147.7-12.318%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.274.8145.0-4.627%
vs Weaker (8)87.962.0149.9+25.9100%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: -3.2-3.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: -3.2-3.2
Cal PolyCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#16
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A31/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H21/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H22/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A28/02
NCAA
79.3Avg total
39.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.039.675.6-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.238.073.2-2.833%-
Last 30 away (18)36.540.677.1-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.279.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.685.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.543.279.7-6.725%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.337.973.1-2.629%-
vs Weaker (4)37.034.871.8+2.275%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#98
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H31/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A02/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H07/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A09/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
19-31
19
31
-12
H14/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H15/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A21/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H23/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A28/02
NCAA
71.0Avg total
35.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.635.469.9-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.132.670.7+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)30.638.569.1-7.936%-
Last 10 (10)35.335.771.0-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.229.463.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.040.269.2-11.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.935.067.9-2.155%-
vs Weaker (8)44.529.273.8+15.2100%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cal Poly wins
9
CSU Bakersfield wins
DateGameScore
31/01/25CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly81-90
03/03/24Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield56-68
21/01/24CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly65-53
16/02/23Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield62-70
06/01/23CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly61-51
23/02/22Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield60-61
19/01/22CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly73-60
10/01/21CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly67-50
09/01/21CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly62-49
22/12/19Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield50-72
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25AUC Santa Barbara77-96
22/02/25HUC Riverside112-100 OT
21/02/25HUC San Diego67-81
16/02/25ACS Northridge85-89
14/02/25ACS Fullerton98-83
07/02/25HHawaii79-63
02/02/25AUC Riverside62-80
31/01/25ACSU Bakersfield90-81
25/01/25HLong Beach State78-69
19/01/25AUC Irvine71-101
CSU Bakersfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25ALong Beach State88-87 OT
23/02/25HUC Irvine64-73
21/02/25AUC Davis71-66
15/02/25HCS Fullerton91-54
14/02/25HUC San Diego54-73
09/02/25AUC Riverside64-69
07/02/25HUC Santa Barbara75-81
02/02/25ACS Northridge62-88
31/01/25HCal Poly81-90
26/01/25HUC Riverside79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLWWLW58%
AwayWLWLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291217
Win %38%58%24%
Points / game80.482.878.8
Allowed / game84.380.287.1
Point differential-3.9+2.5-8.4
Avg total164.7163.0165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %14%25%6%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLLLWL56%
AwayWLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %43%56%29%
Points / game74.079.467.9
Allowed / game73.369.278.0
Point differential+0.7+10.2-10.1
Avg total147.3148.6145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %7%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego2925486%80.362.3+18.0
2 UC Irvine2924583%74.865.2+9.6
3 CS Northridge2820871%80.171.3+8.8
4 UC Santa Barbara29191066%74.666.7+7.9
5 UC Riverside30191163%74.673.8+0.8
6 UC Davis28151354%68.368.9-0.6
7 Hawaii28141450%69.970.7-0.8
8 CSU Bakersfield30131743%74.073.3+0.7
9 Cal Poly29111838%80.484.3-3.9
10 Long Beach State2972224%67.674.2-6.6
11 CS Fullerton2962321%63.876.2-12.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly455398
CSU Bakersfield413172
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