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Cal Poly vs CSU Bakersfield Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#239
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game84.8
Cal Poly
USA
vs
CSU Bakersfield
USA
Position#56
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield
21 Jan 2027
CAL v CSU
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
CAL 108
CSU 76
01 Mar 2025
CAL 98
CSU 72
02 Mar 2024
CAL 56
CSU 68
15 Feb 2023
CAL 62
CSU 70
22 Feb 2022
CAL 60
CSU 61
21 Dec 2019
CAL 50
CSU 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
85-107
85
107
-22
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
108-76
108
76
+32
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Cal St. San Marcos
#366
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
84-104
84
104
-20
A06/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#189
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-35
42-40
48-40
54-52
24-42
40-38
42-52
43-55
62-41
46-35
35-26
34-46
35-24
43-38
41-59
43-45
29-37
42-62
38-32
45-42
167.1Avg total
83.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.084.8163.8-5.850%
Season at home (1)78.062.0140.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)79.392.3171.7-13.033%
Last 10 (10)83.084.1167.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)77.082.2159.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.486.4164.8-8.032%
vs Similar (4)86.585.2171.8+1.250%
vs Weaker (2)106.077.5183.5+28.5100%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H13/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
65-93
65
93
-28
A20/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H22/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A27/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
87-88
87
88
-1
H01/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H06/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
76-108
76
108
-32
A08/03
NCAA
Stanton
#451
W
93-54
93
54
+39
H06/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H08/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#303
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-43
42-46
23-43
42-50
42-41
38-47
27-43
45-41
43-44
44-44
34-36
50-50
41-62
35-46
36-22
57-32
38-32
53-48
32-38
59-45
166.6Avg total
81.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.772.3164.0+19.3100%
Season at home (2)92.067.0159.0+25.0100%
Season away (1)91.083.0174.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.385.3166.6-4.030%
Last 5 (5)87.082.2169.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)72.485.1157.5-12.717%
vs Similar (1)62.070.0132.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)91.274.8166.0+16.5100%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +1.6+1.6
Cal PolyCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/03
NCAA
Cal St. San Marcos
#366
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H03/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A06/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#189
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A14/11
NCAA
78.6Avg total
39.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.078.1-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.239.577.7-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.578.4-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.878.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.671.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.040.876.8-4.936%-
vs Similar (4)39.042.081.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker (2)59.038.097.0+21.0100%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H13/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A20/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A27/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H01/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H06/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A08/03
NCAA
Stanton
#451
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H06/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#303
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A13/11
NCAA
75.2Avg total
34.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.239.372.5-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.635.970.5-1.235%-
Last 30 away (13)31.343.875.2-12.58%-
Last 10 (10)34.840.475.2-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.074.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)32.341.774.0-9.412%-
vs Similar (1)26.033.059.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.531.070.5+8.575%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cal Poly wins
6
CSU Bakersfield wins
DateGameScore
08/03/26Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield108-76
30/01/26CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly79-104
01/03/25Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield98-72
31/01/25CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly81-90
03/03/24Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield56-68
21/01/24CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly65-53
16/02/23Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield62-70
06/01/23CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly61-51
23/02/22Cal Poly v CSU Bakersfield60-61
19/01/22CSU Bakersfield v Cal Poly73-60
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIdaho83-74
12/11/26AGrand Canyon71-99
06/11/26AArizona84-104
03/11/26HCal St. San Marcos78-62
12/03/26AUC San Diego69-72
08/03/26HCSU Bakersfield108-76
06/03/26AUC Irvine85-107
01/03/26AUC San Diego64-80
27/02/26HLong Beach State102-92
20/02/26AHawaii86-75
CSU Bakersfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AWestern Illinois91-83
08/11/26HNorth Dakota St91-80
06/11/26HStanton93-54
08/03/26ACal Poly76-108
06/03/26HCS Northridge84-86
01/03/26HLong Beach State87-88
27/02/26AUC San Diego72-84
22/02/26HCS Fullerton80-88
20/02/26AUC Riverside65-93
13/02/26HHawaii74-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game79.078.079.3
Allowed / game84.862.092.3
Point differential-5.8+16.0-13.0
Avg total163.8140.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.792.091.0
Allowed / game72.367.083.0
Point differential+19.3+25.0+8.0
Avg total164.0159.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%91.061.7+29.3
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%83.761.7+22.0
3 CSU Bakersfield330100%91.772.3+19.3
4 Hawaii43175%81.863.0+18.8
5 UC Riverside43175%83.567.8+15.8
6 UC Davis43175%74.064.0+10.0
7 CS Fullerton32167%88.786.0+2.7
8 UC San Diego32167%87.786.7+1.0
9 Cal Poly42250%79.084.8-5.8
10 CS Northridge31233%84.381.0+3.3
11 Long Beach State31233%65.069.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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