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Cal Poly vs Hawaii Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 66-86
36-41 30-45
Position#266
Record7-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#44
Record12-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cal Poly v Hawaii
15 Jan 2026
CAL 66
HAWA86
06 Feb 2025
CAL 79
HAWA63
15 Feb 2024
CAL 51
HAWA80
04 Feb 2023
CAL 56
HAWA69
22 Jan 2022
CAL 56
HAWA69
08 Feb 2020
CAL 79
HAWA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hawaii winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Redlands
#383
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H30/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A05/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H17/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
87-108
87
108
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
H22/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H02/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A04/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A09/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-35
46-46
43-44
51-47
36-46
48-42
41-40
39-43
45-43
42-65
26-29
47-44
39-42
28-23
26-38
40-36
44-41
46-54
30-40
54-38
166.5Avg total
81.9Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.485.3166.7-3.939%
Season at home (8)81.480.1161.5+1.250%
Season away (10)81.489.4170.8-8.030%
Last 10 (10)81.984.6166.5-2.740%
Last 5 (5)77.479.0156.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.486.9166.3-7.527%
vs Similar (10)86.482.8169.2+3.660%
vs Weaker (3)93.771.0164.7+22.7100%
This opponent (Hawaii) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HawaiiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#194
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H21/11
NCAA
Hawaii Pacific
#217
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H25/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
92-55
92
55
+37
H29/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H05/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Hawaii at Hilo
#644
W
98-46
98
46
+52
H11/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H14/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
88-45
88
45
+43
A02/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-34
41-49
38-33
50-43
44-30
48-25
33-28
42-41
39-25
30-34
48-24
50-22
25-29
41-32
45-27
43-18
29-36
44-47
29-27
38-39
143.5Avg total
79.2Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.563.4142.9+16.180%
Season at home (12)81.163.6144.7+17.592%
Season away (3)73.362.7136.0+10.733%
Last 10 (10)79.264.3143.5+14.980%
Last 5 (5)78.460.2138.6+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)59.476.4135.9-17.00%
vs Similar (8)71.074.2145.2-3.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)78.562.4140.9+16.186%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +7.7+7.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +7.7+7.7
Cal PolyHawaii
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Redlands
#383
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H30/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A05/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H07/12
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A20/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H22/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A04/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H10/01
NCAA
76.9Avg total
37.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.079.3-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.937.875.8+0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)40.541.682.1-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.876.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.071.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.740.277.9-2.547%-
vs Similar (10)39.441.881.2-2.430%-
vs Weaker (3)46.335.782.0+10.7100%-
This opponent (Hawaii) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HawaiiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#194
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Hawaii Pacific
#217
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H25/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H29/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H05/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H07/12
NCAA
Hawaii at Hilo
#644
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H11/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H14/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A02/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A04/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H11/01
NCAA
65.8Avg total
36.5Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.330.664.9+3.770%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.128.965.0+7.385%-
Last 30 away (10)30.734.164.8-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)36.529.365.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)35.228.663.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.137.065.1-8.929%-
vs Similar (8)33.231.865.0+1.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)37.127.264.3+9.986%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cal Poly wins
9
Hawaii wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25Cal Poly v Hawaii79-63
05/01/25Hawaii v Cal Poly68-55
16/02/24Cal Poly v Hawaii51-80
28/01/24Hawaii v Cal Poly83-73
05/02/23Cal Poly v Hawaii56-69
01/01/23Hawaii v Cal Poly57-48
25/02/22Hawaii v Cal Poly63-54
23/01/22Cal Poly v Hawaii56-69
07/02/21Hawaii v Cal Poly81-64
06/02/21Hawaii v Cal Poly84-68
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HUC Davis84-78
09/01/26ACS Northridge90-95
04/01/26ALong Beach State66-74
02/01/26HUC San Diego67-65
22/12/25HIdaho80-83 OT
20/12/25AUCLA87-108
17/12/25HMontana State80-83
07/12/25HUC Riverside84-88
05/12/25ACS Fullerton94-91
30/11/25HRedlands87-81
Hawaiilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HUC Irvine67-66
04/01/26AUC San Diego73-83
02/01/26AUC Riverside88-45
14/12/25HUTEP66-61
11/12/25HHawaii at Hilo98-46
07/12/25HCS Fullerton69-59
05/12/25HUC Davis75-69
29/11/25HNorth Dakota92-55
25/11/25HHawaii Pacific88-76
21/11/25HArizona State76-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW39%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%50%30%
Points / game81.481.481.4
Allowed / game85.380.189.4
Point differential-3.9+1.2-8.0
Avg total166.7161.5170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Hawaii
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %80%92%33%
Points / game79.581.173.3
Allowed / game63.463.662.7
Point differential+16.1+17.5+10.7
Avg total142.9144.7136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%58%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii1512380%79.563.4+16.1
2 UC San Diego1713476%80.271.2+9.0
3 UC Irvine1812667%77.966.8+11.2
4 UC Santa Barbara1710759%78.974.2+4.8
5 UC Davis1710759%80.676.0+4.6
6 CS Northridge1810856%80.979.3+1.6
7 CS Fullerton1981142%85.884.9+0.8
8 CSU Bakersfield1981142%73.177.3-4.2
9 Cal Poly1871139%81.485.3-3.9
10 Long Beach State1761135%74.677.1-2.5
11 UC Riverside1761135%71.577.6-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly363066
Hawaii414586
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