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Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 67-65
39-42 28-23
Position#266
Record5-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#64
Record11-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC San Diego
01 Jan 2026
CAL 67
UC S65
20 Feb 2025
CAL 67
UC S81
13 Jan 2024
CAL 61
UC S86
19 Jan 2023
CAL 64
UC S71
05 Mar 2022
CAL 80
UC S76
02 Jan 2021
CAL v UC S
upcoming
01 Jan 2021
CAL v UC S
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC San Diego winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A21/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H26/11
NCAA
Redlands
#383
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H30/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A05/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H17/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
87-108
87
108
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-37
56-53
50-39
42-46
46-52
41-41
31-29
37-55
41-35
46-46
43-44
51-47
36-46
48-42
41-40
39-43
45-43
42-65
26-29
47-44
172.7Avg total
84.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.787.4170.1-4.636%
Season at home (6)83.383.0166.3+0.333%
Season away (8)82.290.6172.9-8.438%
Last 10 (10)84.188.6172.7-4.530%
Last 5 (5)85.090.6175.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.589.7168.2-11.215%
vs Similar (11)86.483.2169.5+3.264%
vs Weaker (4)89.870.5160.2+19.2100%
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC San DiegoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H24/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A25/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A03/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A07/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H14/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A17/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H20/12
NCAA
Stanton
#442
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-36
49-31
47-36
44-40
44-33
43-44
50-31
37-42
27-35
43-41
34-30
46-44
53-31
40-36
34-26
33-31
31-40
49-42
35-31
50-31
152.6Avg total
81.5Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.870.5153.3+12.285%
Season at home (8)86.870.0156.8+16.888%
Season away (5)76.471.4147.8+5.080%
Last 10 (10)81.571.1152.6+10.480%
Last 5 (5)81.068.4149.4+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)79.571.0150.5+8.583%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)79.464.0143.4+15.487%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +5.2+5.2
Cal PolyUC San Diego
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#186
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A15/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A21/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Redlands
#383
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H30/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A05/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H07/12
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A20/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H22/12
NCAA
77.9Avg total
38.5Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.679.2+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.736.575.2+2.258%-
Last 30 away (18)40.341.681.9-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.477.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.478.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.540.477.9-2.846%-
vs Similar (11)40.141.581.5-1.436%-
vs Weaker (4)44.833.878.5+11.0100%-
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC San DiegoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/11
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H24/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H26/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A03/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A07/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H14/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A17/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H20/12
NCAA
Stanton
#442
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H29/12
NCAA
71.0Avg total
38.1Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.030.368.3+7.773%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.529.569.9+11.076%-
Last 30 away (13)34.831.466.2+3.469%-
Last 10 (10)38.132.971.0+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.431.669.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)38.032.870.8+5.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.629.767.3+8.074%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cal Poly wins
5
UC San Diego wins
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25HIdaho80-83 OT
20/12/25AUCLA87-108
17/12/25HMontana State80-83
07/12/25HUC Riverside84-88
05/12/25ACS Fullerton94-91
30/11/25HRedlands87-81
26/11/25HSoutheast Missouri State68-84
25/11/25ANorthern Arizona87-93
21/11/25AUtah Utes92-85
15/11/25AMontana82-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25HStanton85-62
20/12/25HSan Diego Toreros80-82
17/12/25ALoyola Marymount67-57
14/12/25HTulane93-67
07/12/25ALong Beach State80-74
03/12/25ANevada70-76
26/11/25HTowson87-73
25/11/25ABradley87-77
24/11/25HTemple91-76
15/11/25HIdaho75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%33%38%
Points / game82.783.382.2
Allowed / game87.483.090.6
Point differential-4.6+0.3-8.4
Avg total170.1166.3172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %7%17%0%
UC San Diego
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW85%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %85%88%80%
Points / game82.886.876.4
Allowed / game70.570.071.4
Point differential+12.2+16.8+5.0
Avg total153.3156.8147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii1311285%81.061.7+19.3
2 UC San Diego1311285%82.870.5+12.2
3 UC Santa Barbara139469%79.471.5+7.8
4 UC Irvine1510567%78.567.1+11.3
5 UC Davis138562%80.574.8+5.7
6 CS Northridge158753%80.579.1+1.5
7 CSU Bakersfield156940%73.177.8-4.7
8 UC Riverside156940%72.378.9-6.6
9 CS Fullerton145936%87.787.1+0.6
10 Cal Poly145936%82.787.4-4.6
11 Long Beach State1441029%74.978.2-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly392867
UC San Diego422365
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