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Long Beach State vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 74-66
38-26 36-40
Position#328
Record4-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#266
Record6-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game85.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Long Beach State v Cal Poly
03 Jan 2026
LONG74
CAL 66
08 Mar 2025
LONG69
CAL 83
10 Feb 2024
LONG77
CAL 68
07 Mar 2023
LONG68
CAL 88
12 Jan 2023
LONG77
CAL 58
05 Feb 2022
LONG78
CAL 65
20 Feb 2021
LONG74
CAL 69
05 Mar 2020
LONG80
CAL 73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Long Beach State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Long Beach StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nobel Knights
#532
W
87-54
87
54
+33
H20/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H22/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
73-93
73
93
-20
A27/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H30/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
A05/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H07/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
A10/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H19/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
60-91
60
91
-31
A21/12
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#658
W
113-66
113
66
+47
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-24
56-30
37-35
35-43
35-42
38-51
34-38
42-34
30-31
37-36
30-34
44-46
39-39
38-38
36-37
45-41
20-57
40-34
55-38
58-28
158.1Avg total
79.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.978.2153.1-3.329%
Season at home (7)83.372.9156.1+10.457%
Season away (7)66.683.6150.1-17.00%
Last 10 (10)79.678.5158.1+1.140%
Last 5 (5)82.280.8163.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)67.878.0145.8-10.15%
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.584.0157.5-10.525%
vs Weaker (4)87.070.2157.2+16.875%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#333
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A21/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H26/11
NCAA
Redlands
#383
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H30/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A05/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H17/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
87-108
87
108
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
H22/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-39
42-46
46-52
41-41
31-29
37-55
41-35
46-46
43-44
51-47
36-46
48-42
41-40
39-43
45-43
42-65
26-29
47-44
39-42
28-23
168.7Avg total
82.6Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.785.9167.5-4.240%
Season at home (7)81.080.4161.4+0.643%
Season away (8)82.290.6172.9-8.438%
Last 10 (10)82.686.1168.7-3.540%
Last 5 (5)79.685.4165.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.286.9165.2-8.723%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.483.2169.5+3.264%
vs Weaker (4)89.870.5160.2+19.2100%
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -3.1-3.1
Long Beach StateCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Long Beach StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nobel Knights
#532
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H22/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A27/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H30/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A05/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H07/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A10/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
20-57
20
57
-37
A21/12
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#658
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H31/12
NCAA
72.2Avg total
34.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.936.967.8-5.920%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.936.470.3-2.527%-
Last 30 away (15)28.037.365.3-9.313%-
Last 10 (10)34.737.572.2-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.077.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)29.537.366.8-7.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)32.036.868.8-4.80%-
vs Weaker (4)37.834.872.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#333
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A21/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Redlands
#383
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H30/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A05/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H07/12
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A20/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H22/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/01
NCAA
79.7Avg total
39.8Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.579.3+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.736.975.6+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)40.641.482.1-0.853%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.979.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.077.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.840.278.0-2.346%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.141.581.5-1.436%-
vs Weaker (4)44.833.878.5+11.0100%-
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Long Beach State wins
3
Cal Poly wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HLincoln University (CA)113-66
21/12/25AIowa State60-91
19/12/25HPepperdine81-78
10/12/25ASan Jose State83-89 OT
07/12/25HUC San Diego74-80
05/12/25AUC Santa Barbara77-84 OT
30/11/25HSan Diego Toreros76-72
27/11/25APortland73-93
22/11/25HMontana State72-78
20/11/25HNobel Knights87-54
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26HUC San Diego67-65
22/12/25HIdaho80-83 OT
20/12/25AUCLA87-108
17/12/25HMontana State80-83
07/12/25HUC Riverside84-88
05/12/25ACS Fullerton94-91
30/11/25HRedlands87-81
26/11/25HSoutheast Missouri State68-84
25/11/25ANorthern Arizona87-93
21/11/25AUtah Utes92-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Long Beach State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%57%0%
Points / game74.983.366.6
Allowed / game78.272.983.6
Point differential-3.3+10.4-17.0
Avg total153.1156.1150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%29%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeWLLLW43%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game81.781.082.2
Allowed / game85.980.490.6
Point differential-4.2+0.6-8.4
Avg total167.5161.4172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii1311285%81.061.7+19.3
2 UC San Diego1411379%81.570.3+11.2
3 UC Irvine1611569%78.966.9+12.0
4 UC Santa Barbara159660%78.773.3+5.5
5 UC Davis148657%80.475.2+5.1
6 CS Northridge169756%80.178.2+1.9
7 CSU Bakersfield167944%73.677.9-4.2
8 Cal Poly156940%81.785.9-4.2
9 UC Riverside156940%72.378.9-6.6
10 CS Fullerton1661038%86.786.9-0.2
11 Long Beach State1441029%74.978.2-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Long Beach State383674
Cal Poly264066
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