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Sacramento State vs UC Davis Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 75-63
41-23 34-40
Position#274
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#176
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Sacramento State v UC Davis
14 Nov 2026
SACR v UC D
upcoming
14 Dec 2024
SACR62
UC D69
23 Nov 2021
SACR75
UC D63
19 Dec 2020
SACR v UC D
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Davis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#12
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A20/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H26/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#138
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Montana State
#138
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#165
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A10/03
NCAA
William Jessup
#482
W
89-59
89
59
+30
H10/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
L
56-89
56
89
-33
A14/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A16/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#239
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-35
25-42
30-36
43-46
35-36
35-36
36-35
39-42
30-29
44-44
45-42
38-48
48-19
41-40
30-45
26-44
22-26
36-31
29-27
27-44
143.8Avg total
69.1Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)64.869.0133.8-4.250%
Season at home (2)72.565.0137.5+7.550%
Season away (2)57.073.0130.0-16.050%
Last 10 (10)69.174.7143.8-5.630%
Last 5 (5)68.473.2141.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.178.1146.2-10.010%
vs Similar (14)68.470.9139.4-2.543%
vs Weaker (5)80.655.8136.4+24.8100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#306
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#343
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A26/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#343
W
68-66 OT
68
66
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#206
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#206
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H07/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#140
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H11/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#17
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A10/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-38
32-29
34-25
35-36
32-26
34-40
30-37
38-36
36-30
38-36
32-29
26-27
21-33
34-38
40-35
32-34
42-26
42-50
30-43
37-29
137.9Avg total
69.3Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.372.3146.7+2.067%
Season at home (1)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)69.570.5140.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)69.368.6137.9+0.770%
Last 5 (5)67.268.8136.0-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.875.3142.2-8.533%
vs Similar (12)73.573.2146.7+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)75.368.0143.3+7.383%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -6.3-6.32nd half: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -6.3-6.32nd half: -0.7-0.7
Sacramento StateUC Davis
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H27/02
NCAA
Montana State
#138
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A05/03
NCAA
Montana State
#138
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#165
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A10/03
NCAA
William Jessup
#482
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H10/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A14/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
L
22-26
22
26
-4
A16/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#239
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H21/11
NCAA
66.7Avg total
33.7Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.865.0-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.229.164.2+6.150%-
Last 30 away (18)30.335.265.6-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)33.733.066.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.831.866.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.037.768.7-6.720%-
vs Similar (14)29.732.562.2-2.836%-
vs Weaker (5)38.826.465.2+12.480%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#306
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H13/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#343
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A26/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#343
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A27/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#206
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#206
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H07/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#140
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H11/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#17
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A10/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#175
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/11
NCAA
65.4Avg total
33.2Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.532.565.9+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.931.165.1+2.871%-
Last 30 away (16)33.133.666.7-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)33.232.265.4+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.266.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.736.868.5-5.250%-
vs Similar (12)32.732.064.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)35.230.865.9+4.475%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sacramento State wins
0
UC Davis wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/21HUC San Diego56-71
16/11/21ACal Poly58-57
14/11/21AUtah Utes56-89
10/11/21HWilliam Jessup89-59
10/03/21ANorthern Colorado83-90
06/03/21AMontana State74-73
05/03/21AMontana State75-77
27/02/21HWeber State70-72
26/02/21HWeber State73-82
20/02/21ASouthern Utah57-77
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/21APepperdine67-72
12/11/21HEast. Washington84-76
10/11/21AUtah State72-69
13/03/21AUC Santa Barbara55-71
11/03/21HCSU Bakersfield58-56
07/03/21HHawaii74-66
06/03/21HHawaii68-73
27/02/21ACal Poly68-66 OT
26/02/21ACal Poly69-61
13/02/21HLong Beach State78-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game64.872.557.0
Allowed / game69.065.073.0
Point differential-4.2+7.5-16.0
Avg total133.8137.5130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UC Davis
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game74.384.069.5
Allowed / game72.376.070.5
Point differential+2.0+8.0-1.0
Avg total146.7160.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Weber State550100%80.864.8+16.0
2 Portland State42250%80.561.0+19.5
3 Montana42250%67.059.8+7.2
4 Northern Arizona63350%75.772.5+3.2
5 Sacramento State42250%64.869.0-4.2
6 Northern Colorado73443%73.370.6+2.7
7 East. Washington52340%80.878.2+2.6
8 Montana State41325%80.879.5+1.2
9 Idaho State51420%62.271.0-8.8
10 Idaho51420%70.488.2-17.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego440100%80.859.5+21.2
2 UC Irvine43175%72.850.2+22.5
3 UC Santa Barbara32167%88.362.7+25.7
4 UC Riverside64267%66.759.3+7.3
5 UC Davis32167%74.372.3+2.0
6 CSU Bakersfield42250%76.570.8+5.8
7 Hawaii42250%78.076.5+1.5
8 CS Fullerton52340%70.269.6+0.6
9 CS Northridge41325%61.074.2-13.2
10 Cal Poly51420%65.866.6-0.8
11 Long Beach State51420%72.289.0-16.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sacramento State413475
UC Davis234063
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