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Cal Poly vs UC Irvine Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 89-98 (OT)
38-49 42-31 9-18
Position#235
Record6-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game85.7
Cal Poly
USA
vs
UC Irvine 🏆
USA
Position#16
Record11-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game63.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC Irvine
28 Jan 2027
CAL v UC I
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
CAL 79
UC I73
02 Jan 2025
CAL 89
UC I98
01 Feb 2024
CAL 59
UC I73
20 Feb 2023
CAL 56
UC I59
03 Mar 2022
CAL 65
UC I54
27 Feb 2020
CAL 76
UC I82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Irvine winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#325
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A18/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A21/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A24/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A01/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
91-102
91
102
-11
H08/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
A15/12
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-35
46-43
38-46
51-47
31-47
35-33
44-33
38-46
34-43
63-47
31-30
35-47
34-51
57-51
40-45
51-46
28-39
48-37
38-43
44-43
173.6Avg total
85.0Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.985.7169.6-1.843%
Season at home (5)88.482.4170.8+6.080%
Season away (9)81.487.6169.0-6.122%
Last 10 (10)85.088.6173.6-3.640%
Last 5 (5)86.893.2180.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)65.777.1142.8-11.45%
vs Similar (8)83.987.6171.5-3.838%
vs Weaker (2)97.080.0177.0+17.0100%
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC IrvineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#310
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H17/11
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A23/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A29/11
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A30/11
NCAA
Towson
#78
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A01/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H06/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A14/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A20/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A21/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
47-27
37-33
56-54
43-27
33-32
23-16
28-23
33-30
34-30
38-33
44-33
30-34
25-33
25-39
67-45
24-43
30-27
25-29
46-34
137.8Avg total
72.1Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.063.1136.1+9.985%
Season at home (3)81.360.0141.3+21.3100%
Season away (10)70.564.0134.5+6.580%
Last 10 (10)72.165.7137.8+6.480%
Last 5 (5)70.870.0140.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)74.871.0145.8+3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)76.066.3142.3+9.783%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +7.2+7.2
Cal PolyUC Irvine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#325
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A21/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A24/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A01/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H08/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A15/12
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H18/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
NCAA
76.6Avg total
35.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.336.868.2-5.520%-
Last 30 at home (12)30.834.965.7-4.233%-
Last 30 away (18)31.738.169.8-6.411%-
Last 10 (10)35.441.276.6-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.241.675.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.835.864.6-7.010%-
vs Similar (8)37.039.276.2-2.238%-
vs Weaker (2)34.037.571.5-3.550%-
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC IrvineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pepperdine
#310
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H17/11
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A23/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A29/11
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
23-16
23
16
+7
A30/11
NCAA
Towson
#78
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A01/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A14/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A20/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A21/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A31/12
NCAA
63.0Avg total
31.1Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.832.568.3+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.233.571.6+4.764%-
Last 30 away (19)34.432.066.4+2.463%-
Last 10 (10)31.131.963.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)28.435.664.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)37.036.273.2+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)35.531.567.0+4.167%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cal Poly wins
9
UC Irvine wins
DateGameScore
08/03/24UC Irvine v Cal Poly82-68
02/02/24Cal Poly v UC Irvine59-73
21/02/23Cal Poly v UC Irvine56-59
10/02/23UC Irvine v Cal Poly55-54
04/03/22Cal Poly v UC Irvine65-54
30/01/22UC Irvine v Cal Poly72-48
12/03/21UC Irvine v Cal Poly58-51
24/01/21UC Irvine v Cal Poly67-44
23/01/21UC Irvine v Cal Poly68-49
28/02/20Cal Poly v UC Irvine76-82
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24ANebraska O.82-86
18/12/24HDenver95-94 OT
15/12/24ASan Jose State100-107 OT
08/12/24HCS Northridge91-102
06/12/24AUC Davis66-77
01/12/24AStanford97-90
27/11/24HGrambling St.82-79
24/11/24ASt. Marys (CA)66-80
21/11/24AArizona State89-93
18/11/24AEast. Washington82-78
UC Irvinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24ACalifornia Baptist71-63
21/12/24ADuquesne54-70
20/12/24ABelmont92-84
14/12/24AOregon State55-67
06/12/24HCSU Bakersfield82-66
01/12/24ATowson67-60
30/11/24AKent State51-39
29/11/24AKennesaw State76-59
23/11/24AWeber State93-87
17/11/24HPepperdine80-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %43%80%22%
Points / game83.988.481.4
Allowed / game85.782.487.6
Point differential-1.8+6.0-6.1
Avg total169.6170.8169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %14%20%11%
UC Irvine
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW85%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13310
Win %85%100%80%
Points / game73.081.370.5
Allowed / game63.160.064.0
Point differential+9.9+21.3+6.5
Avg total136.1141.3134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%100%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego1412286%80.562.6+17.9
2 UC Irvine1311285%73.063.1+9.9
3 CS Northridge139469%81.470.2+11.2
4 Hawaii128467%73.269.2+4.0
5 UC Riverside149564%72.272.3-0.1
6 UC Santa Barbara138562%76.264.9+11.3
7 UC Davis138562%71.570.9+0.6
8 CSU Bakersfield146843%73.970.6+3.3
9 Cal Poly146843%83.985.7-1.8
10 Long Beach State146843%67.370.1-2.8
11 CS Fullerton145936%63.870.4-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Cal Poly3842989
UC Irvine49311898
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