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Cal Poly vs UC Irvine Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#239
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#17
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game61.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC Irvine
28 Jan 2027
CAL v UC I
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
CAL 79
UC I73
02 Jan 2025
CAL 89
UC I98
01 Feb 2024
CAL 59
UC I73
20 Feb 2023
CAL 56
UC I59
03 Mar 2022
CAL 65
UC I54
27 Feb 2020
CAL 76
UC I82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UC Irvine win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
85-107
85
107
-22
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
108-76
108
76
+32
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Cal St. San Marcos
#366
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
84-104
84
104
-20
A06/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#189
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-35
42-40
48-40
54-52
24-42
40-38
42-52
43-55
62-41
46-35
35-26
34-46
35-24
43-38
41-59
43-45
29-37
42-62
38-32
45-42
167.1Avg total
83.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.084.8163.8-5.850%
Season at home (1)78.062.0140.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)79.392.3171.7-13.033%
Last 10 (10)83.084.1167.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)77.082.2159.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.486.4164.8-8.032%
vs Similar (4)86.585.2171.8+1.250%
vs Weaker (2)106.077.5183.5+28.5100%
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC IrvineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H22/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
107-85
107
85
+22
H06/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
79-69 OT
79
69
+10
H08/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H14/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H15/03
NCAA
Chapman Panthers
#400
W
92-66
92
66
+26
H04/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#278
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H08/11
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#446
W
90-40
90
40
+50
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
40-35
36-24
32-43
32-23
32-37
52-42
55-43
28-38
37-27
49-37
44-41
30-31
34-40
38-26
54-40
51-31
40-48
49-21
41-19
150.3Avg total
81.7Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.061.7152.7+29.3100%
Season at home (3)91.061.7152.7+29.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.768.6150.3+13.180%
Last 5 (5)86.066.8152.8+19.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)68.471.6140.0-3.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)79.767.6147.3+12.086%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +3.6+3.6
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +3.6+3.6
Cal PolyUC Irvine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/03
NCAA
Cal St. San Marcos
#366
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H03/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A06/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#189
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A14/11
NCAA
78.6Avg total
39.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.078.1-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.239.577.7-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.578.4-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.878.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.671.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.040.876.8-4.936%-
vs Similar (4)39.042.081.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker (2)59.038.097.0+21.0100%-
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC IrvineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H22/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H06/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H08/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H14/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H15/03
NCAA
Chapman Panthers
#400
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H04/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#278
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H08/11
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#446
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H12/11
NCAA
70.3Avg total
39.4Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.431.168.5+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.131.269.4+6.971%-
Last 30 away (13)36.430.967.3+5.569%-
Last 10 (10)39.430.970.3+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.429.272.6+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)32.431.964.3+0.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)38.931.170.0+7.882%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cal Poly wins
8
UC Irvine wins
DateGameScore
06/03/26UC Irvine v Cal Poly107-85
13/02/26Cal Poly v UC Irvine79-73
15/03/25UC Irvine v Cal Poly96-78
19/01/25UC Irvine v Cal Poly101-71
03/01/25Cal Poly v UC Irvine89-98 OT
08/03/24UC Irvine v Cal Poly82-68
02/02/24Cal Poly v UC Irvine59-73
21/02/23Cal Poly v UC Irvine56-59
10/02/23UC Irvine v Cal Poly55-54
04/03/22Cal Poly v UC Irvine65-54
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIdaho83-74
12/11/26AGrand Canyon71-99
06/11/26AArizona84-104
03/11/26HCal St. San Marcos78-62
12/03/26AUC San Diego69-72
08/03/26HCSU Bakersfield108-76
06/03/26AUC Irvine85-107
01/03/26AUC San Diego64-80
27/02/26HLong Beach State102-92
20/02/26AHawaii86-75
UC Irvinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HLincoln University (CA)90-40
08/11/26HSan Jose State91-79
04/11/26HChapman Panthers92-66
15/03/26HHawaii64-71
14/03/26HCS Northridge93-78
08/03/26HUC Davis79-69 OT
06/03/26HCal Poly107-85
01/03/26HUC Santa Barbara64-60
27/02/26ACS Northridge68-67
22/02/26HUC San Diego69-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game79.078.079.3
Allowed / game84.862.092.3
Point differential-5.8+16.0-13.0
Avg total163.8140.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UC Irvine
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.091.0-
Allowed / game61.761.7-
Point differential+29.3+29.3-
Avg total152.7152.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%91.061.7+29.3
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%83.761.7+22.0
3 CSU Bakersfield330100%91.772.3+19.3
4 Hawaii43175%81.863.0+18.8
5 UC Riverside43175%83.567.8+15.8
6 UC Davis43175%74.064.0+10.0
7 CS Fullerton32167%88.786.0+2.7
8 UC San Diego32167%87.786.7+1.0
9 Cal Poly42250%79.084.8-5.8
10 CS Northridge31233%84.381.0+3.3
11 Long Beach State31233%65.069.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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