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Cal Poly vs UC Santa Barbara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 52-61
24-32 28-29
Position#364
Record4-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#189
Record7-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game75.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC Santa Barbara
14 Feb 2026
CAL 89
UC S79
11 Jan 2025
CAL 72
UC S75
06 Jan 2024
CAL 52
UC S61
07 Jan 2023
CAL 57
UC S62
12 Feb 2022
CAL 64
UC S69
08 Jan 2020
CAL 45
UC S63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Santa Barbara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A20/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H30/11
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A02/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
63-70 OT
63
70
-7
A05/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
50-78
50
78
-28
A10/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H22/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H29/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
46-71
46
71
-25
A30/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-26
32-41
30-38
39-31
30-43
40-42
28-25
21-24
22-42
28-36
23-26
30-36
35-21
31-32
35-46
38-37
27-33
19-38
37-38
45-51
137.7Avg total
64.2Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)65.573.8139.3-8.327%
Season at home (6)72.571.0143.5+1.550%
Season away (9)60.875.7136.4-14.911%
Last 10 (10)64.273.5137.7-9.320%
Last 5 (5)64.071.6135.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)61.970.8132.7-9.015%
vs Similar (3)59.768.3128.0-8.70%
vs Weaker (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Westmont Warriors
#391
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A28/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H30/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A07/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#654
W
126-76
126
76
+50
H09/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H16/12
NCAA
Howard
#204
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H21/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A29/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A31/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-31
45-48
29-31
40-34
41-33
29-26
35-42
26-42
58-42
68-34
35-28
33-31
49-41
45-40
34-39
28-37
37-34
40-45
24-45
48-34
152.7Avg total
79.0Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.875.4155.2+4.554%
Season at home (8)86.673.4160.0+13.275%
Season away (5)69.078.6147.6-9.620%
Last 10 (10)79.073.7152.7+5.360%
Last 5 (5)74.674.8149.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.581.5148.0-15.00%
vs Similar (19)74.974.2149.1+0.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.464.6143.0+13.888%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: +3.1+3.1
Cal PolyUC Santa Barbara
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A20/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H30/11
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A05/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A10/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H22/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A30/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/01
NCAA
63.1Avg total
29.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.132.661.7-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.132.662.7-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)28.132.760.8-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)29.333.863.1-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.864.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)28.433.261.6-4.831%-
vs Similar (3)29.027.756.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Westmont Warriors
#391
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H23/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A28/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H30/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A07/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#654
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H09/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H16/12
NCAA
Howard
#204
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H21/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A29/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A31/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H05/01
NCAA
75.4Avg total
38.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.635.473.0+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.034.973.9+4.167%-
Last 30 away (12)35.536.171.6-0.633%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.675.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.473.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.543.573.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (19)37.835.873.6+2.053%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.132.971.0+5.262%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cal Poly wins
8
UC Santa Barbara wins
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HLong Beach State82-89
30/12/23AUC Davis46-71
29/12/23HCS Northridge73-83
22/12/23HNebraska O.66-53
19/12/23HEast. Washington53-62
10/12/23AWeber State50-78
05/12/23AOregon State63-70 OT
02/12/23AIdaho70-85
30/11/23HSan Jose State81-77 OT
20/11/23ACalifornia Baptist58-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HUC San Diego72-79
31/12/23AUC Riverside77-79
29/12/23AUC Davis62-76
21/12/23HHoward94-81
16/12/23HLoyola Marymount68-59
09/12/23HBethesda126-76
07/12/23ANew Mexico61-84
30/11/23HNorthern Arizona70-59
28/11/23AFresno State69-65
23/11/23HWestmont Warriors91-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %27%50%11%
Points / game65.572.560.8
Allowed / game73.871.075.7
Point differential-8.3+1.5-14.9
Avg total139.3143.5136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %13%17%11%
UC Santa Barbara
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL54%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %54%75%20%
Points / game79.886.669.0
Allowed / game75.473.478.6
Point differential+4.5+13.2-9.6
Avg total155.2160.0147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CS Northridge1512380%80.369.5+10.9
2 UC Irvine1611569%78.067.5+10.5
3 Long Beach State1611569%80.876.9+3.8
4 UC San Diego159660%76.667.5+9.1
5 Hawaii148657%72.466.9+5.4
6 UC Santa Barbara137654%79.875.4+4.5
7 UC Davis147750%71.867.6+4.2
8 CS Fullerton168850%67.168.8-1.7
9 UC Riverside1661038%69.673.2-3.6
10 CSU Bakersfield145936%69.471.2-1.8
11 Cal Poly1541127%65.573.8-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly242852
UC Santa Barbara322961
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