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Cal Poly vs UC Santa Barbara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-75
25-34 47-41
Position#235
Record6-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game85.9
Cal Poly
USA
vs
UC Santa Barbara 🏆
USA
Position#115
Record10-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game64.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC Santa Barbara
14 Feb 2026
CAL 89
UC S79
11 Jan 2025
CAL 72
UC S75
06 Jan 2024
CAL 52
UC S61
07 Jan 2023
CAL 57
UC S62
12 Feb 2022
CAL 64
UC S69
08 Jan 2020
CAL 45
UC S63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Santa Barbara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#318
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A01/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
91-102
91
102
-11
H08/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
A15/12
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A22/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
H03/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A05/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
68-95
68
95
-27
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-33
38-46
34-43
63-47
31-30
35-47
34-51
57-51
40-45
51-46
28-39
48-37
38-43
44-43
38-49
42-31
22-27
33-41
42-38
26-57
172.1Avg total
82.5Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.685.9167.5-4.435%
Season at home (6)88.585.0173.5+3.567%
Season away (11)77.886.5164.3-8.618%
Last 10 (10)82.589.6172.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)77.888.2166.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)68.479.6148.1-11.25%
vs Similar (9)80.785.4166.1-4.833%
vs Weaker (2)97.080.0177.0+17.0100%
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#325
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
81-48
81
48
+33
H30/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H06/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A08/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H15/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A19/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A22/12
NCAA
Westcliff
#398
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H29/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A03/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-28
37-23
43-21
38-27
33-42
43-42
28-28
32-43
27-31
56-35
30-33
28-27
25-31
31-37
50-32
39-40
31-28
33-33
44-29
34-37
135.9Avg total
71.2Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.564.7140.3+10.867%
Season at home (9)81.966.6148.4+15.378%
Season away (6)66.062.0128.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)71.264.7135.9+6.560%
Last 5 (5)69.065.4134.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.075.5138.5-12.50%
vs Similar (12)75.374.5149.8+0.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)73.263.7136.9+9.675%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +2.7+2.7
Cal PolyUC Santa Barbara
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#318
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A01/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H08/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A15/12
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H18/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H03/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A05/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A10/01
NCAA
74.9Avg total
35.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.637.169.7-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.035.667.6-3.633%-
Last 30 away (18)32.938.271.1-5.217%-
Last 10 (10)35.139.874.9-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.639.272.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)31.136.767.8-5.616%-
vs Similar (9)35.337.973.2-2.633%-
vs Weaker (2)34.037.571.5-3.550%-
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#325
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H30/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H06/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A08/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H15/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A22/12
NCAA
Westcliff
#398
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H29/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A03/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H10/01
NCAA
64.4Avg total
34.1Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.167.0+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.534.268.8+0.347%-
Last 30 away (13)33.231.564.7+1.654%-
Last 10 (10)34.130.364.4+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.030.666.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.540.066.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (12)34.435.770.1-1.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)34.129.363.4+4.867%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cal Poly wins
10
UC Santa Barbara wins
DateGameScore
01/03/24UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly83-75
07/01/24Cal Poly v UC Santa Barbara52-61
10/03/23UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly64-54
03/02/23UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly68-62
07/01/23Cal Poly v UC Santa Barbara57-62
13/02/22Cal Poly v UC Santa Barbara64-69
07/03/21UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly70-54
06/03/21UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly71-57
08/03/20UC Santa Barbara v Cal Poly69-67
09/01/20Cal Poly v UC Santa Barbara45-63
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25AUC San Diego68-95
05/01/25AHawaii55-68
03/01/25HUC Irvine89-98 OT
22/12/24ANebraska O.82-86
18/12/24HDenver95-94 OT
15/12/24ASan Jose State100-107 OT
08/12/24HCS Northridge91-102
06/12/24AUC Davis66-77
01/12/24AStanford97-90
27/11/24HGrambling St.82-79
UC Santa Barbaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25HCSU Bakersfield78-66
03/01/25AHawaii64-61
29/12/24HWestcliff89-72
22/12/24AMissouri State56-68
19/12/24ALoyola Marymount58-60
15/12/24HWisc. Green Bay83-66
08/12/24AUC Davis60-71
06/12/24HUC San Diego76-84
30/11/24HMiss. Valley St.81-48
27/11/24HEast. Washington67-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17611
Win %35%67%18%
Points / game81.688.577.8
Allowed / game85.985.086.5
Point differential-4.4+3.5-8.6
Avg total167.5173.5164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %18%33%9%
UC Santa Barbara
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %67%78%50%
Points / game75.581.966.0
Allowed / game64.766.662.0
Point differential+10.8+15.3+4.0
Avg total140.3148.4128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego1614288%82.062.2+19.8
2 UC Irvine1614288%75.364.6+10.8
3 CS Northridge1611569%80.869.8+11.1
4 Hawaii1611569%74.169.4+4.6
5 UC Santa Barbara1510567%75.564.7+10.8
6 UC Riverside1710759%71.872.7-0.9
7 UC Davis179853%70.171.0-0.9
8 CSU Bakersfield178947%73.970.4+3.5
9 Long Beach State1771041%67.771.2-3.5
10 Cal Poly1761135%81.685.9-4.4
11 CS Fullerton1851328%63.873.8-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly254772
UC Santa Barbara344175
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