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California Baptist vs Cal Poly Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#321
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#239
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game84.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · California Baptist v Cal Poly
02 Jan 2027
CALI v CAL
upcoming
19 Nov 2023
CALI67
CAL 58
02 Dec 2021
CALI64
CAL 55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California Baptist win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H01/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
87-48
87
48
+39
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A08/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H14/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A15/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A21/03
NCAA
North Florida
#331
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H04/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#35
L
68-96
68
96
-28
A07/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#267
L
62-81
62
81
-19
H12/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-29
42-38
49-19
38-29
45-32
37-43
35-36
51-36
26-26
37-35
18-38
42-30
31-33
32-38
34-44
34-52
26-39
36-42
33-27
41-33
142.6Avg total
72.7Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.877.0143.8-10.225%
Season at home (3)66.370.7137.0-4.333%
Season away (1)68.096.0164.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)72.769.9142.6+2.860%
Last 5 (5)65.475.2140.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)64.273.2137.4-9.040%
vs Similar (14)70.470.3140.6+0.157%
vs Weaker (11)75.767.0142.7+8.782%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
85-107
85
107
-22
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
108-76
108
76
+32
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Cal St. San Marcos
#366
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
84-104
84
104
-20
A06/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#189
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-35
42-40
48-40
54-52
24-42
40-38
42-52
43-55
62-41
46-35
35-26
34-46
35-24
43-38
41-59
43-45
29-37
42-62
38-32
45-42
167.1Avg total
83.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.084.8163.8-5.850%
Season at home (1)78.062.0140.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)79.392.3171.7-13.033%
Last 10 (10)83.084.1167.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)77.082.2159.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)78.486.4164.8-8.032%
vs Similar (4)86.585.2171.8+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)106.077.5183.5+28.5100%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -2.1-2.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -2.1-2.1
California BaptistCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A08/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H14/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A15/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A21/03
NCAA
North Florida
#331
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H04/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#35
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#267
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H12/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H14/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
33.7Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.565.0+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.529.362.8+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)33.433.767.1-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)33.732.366.0+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)28.436.264.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.032.061.0-3.020%-
vs Similar (14)30.931.862.7-0.950%-
vs Weaker (11)38.730.969.6+7.882%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/03
NCAA
Cal St. San Marcos
#366
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H03/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A06/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#189
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A14/11
NCAA
78.6Avg total
39.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.078.1-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.239.577.7-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.578.4-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.878.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.671.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.040.876.8-4.936%-
vs Similar (4)39.042.081.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)59.038.097.0+21.0100%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
California Baptist wins
1
Cal Poly wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff74-60
12/11/26HChicago State62-81
07/11/26AOregon State68-96
04/11/26HNorth Florida63-71
21/03/26AKansas60-68
15/03/26AUtah Valley State63-61
14/03/26HUtah Tech86-72
08/03/26ASouthern Utah82-75
06/03/26HAbilene Christian87-48
01/03/26HTarleton82-67
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIdaho83-74
12/11/26AGrand Canyon71-99
06/11/26AArizona84-104
03/11/26HCal St. San Marcos78-62
12/03/26AUC San Diego69-72
08/03/26HCSU Bakersfield108-76
06/03/26AUC Irvine85-107
01/03/26AUC San Diego64-80
27/02/26HLong Beach State102-92
20/02/26AHawaii86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California Baptist
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLLW33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game66.866.368.0
Allowed / game77.070.796.0
Point differential-10.2-4.3-28.0
Avg total143.8137.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game79.078.079.3
Allowed / game84.862.092.3
Point differential-5.8+16.0-13.0
Avg total163.8140.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State330100%86.075.7+10.3
2 UT Arlington54180%88.270.8+17.4
3 Tarleton43175%81.270.5+10.8
4 Southern Utah53260%96.869.6+27.2
5 Abilene Christian31233%71.083.7-12.7
6 Utah Tech41325%80.587.2-6.8
7 California Baptist41325%66.877.0-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%91.061.7+29.3
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%83.761.7+22.0
3 CSU Bakersfield330100%91.772.3+19.3
4 Hawaii43175%81.863.0+18.8
5 UC Riverside43175%83.567.8+15.8
6 UC Davis43175%74.064.0+10.0
7 CS Fullerton32167%88.786.0+2.7
8 UC San Diego32167%87.786.7+1.0
9 Cal Poly42250%79.084.8-5.8
10 CS Northridge31233%84.381.0+3.3
11 Long Beach State31233%65.069.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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