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Incarnate Word vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 61-81
34-34 27-47
Position#343
Record8-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#334
Record7-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Incarnate Word v Northwestern St.
17 Jan 2026
INCA76
NORT74
05 Dec 2024
INCA70
NORT72
17 Feb 2024
INCA61
NORT81
23 Feb 2023
INCA66
NORT71
17 Feb 2022
INCA64
NORT88
10 Feb 2021
INCA67
NORT68
08 Jan 2020
INCA66
NORT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#146
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A09/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
71-97
71
97
-26
A13/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
66-80
66
80
-14
H20/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H23/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H27/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A01/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A03/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
18-37
41-38
35-38
36-59
30-42
36-38
35-34
27-28
37-31
42-44
33-34
33-37
38-36
44-44
24-36
40-40
41-45
42-41
35-33
41-34
150.5Avg total
72.0Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.677.9151.5-4.333%
Season at home (9)76.672.7149.2+3.956%
Season away (15)71.881.0152.8-9.220%
Last 10 (10)72.078.5150.5-6.530%
Last 5 (5)74.276.0150.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.877.2147.0-7.525%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.880.8154.6-7.020%
vs Weaker (3)88.774.7163.3+14.067%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#343
W
97-71
97
71
+26
H13/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H15/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
92-67
92
67
+25
A20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A23/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H27/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A30/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H03/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A06/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H10/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-35
59-36
35-24
34-40
44-18
48-49
34-33
28-38
29-43
39-36
26-35
39-54
33-22
37-35
35-35
31-38
20-30
39-39
34-33
36-26
141.7Avg total
71.8Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)69.876.8146.7-7.028%
Season at home (12)73.270.5143.7+2.750%
Season away (13)66.882.7149.5-15.98%
Last 10 (10)71.869.9141.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)66.069.4135.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)65.883.9149.6-18.10%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.468.0139.4+3.450%
vs Weaker (6)82.565.5148.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -0.1-0.1
Incarnate WordNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#146
L
18-37
18
37
-19
A09/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H20/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H23/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A01/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/02
NCAA
69.2Avg total
32.6Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.035.570.5-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.431.869.2+5.675%-
Last 30 away (18)33.437.971.3-4.528%-
Last 10 (10)32.636.669.2-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.871.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.636.668.2-4.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.534.871.3+1.750%-
vs Weaker (3)44.733.378.0+11.367%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#343
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H15/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
44-18
44
18
+26
A20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A23/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H27/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A30/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A06/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
20-30
20
30
-10
H10/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H13/02
NCAA
63.6Avg total
32.8Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.633.667.2+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.031.667.6+4.457%-
Last 30 away (16)31.535.366.8-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)32.830.863.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)29.631.060.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)30.338.368.6-8.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.229.162.4+4.175%-
vs Weaker (6)42.826.869.7+16.083%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/24HLamar76-67
10/02/24AHouston Christian83-86
06/02/24ASE Louisiana64-76
03/02/24ANew Orleans82-80
01/02/24ATX A&M Commerce66-71
27/01/24HHouston Christian79-75
23/01/24HNicholls State74-78 OT
20/01/24HMcNeese State66-80
13/01/24ANorthwestern St.71-97
09/01/24ALamar59-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/24HNew Orleans70-59
10/02/24HSE Louisiana59-69
06/02/24ANicholls State66-73
03/02/24HTX A&M Commerce70-57
30/01/24AMcNeese State65-89
27/01/24HTexas A&M-CC68-79
23/01/24ASE Louisiana62-71
20/01/24ANew Orleans92-67
15/01/24HHouston Christian69-64
13/01/24HIncarnate Word97-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLLLWW56%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24915
Win %33%56%20%
Points / game73.676.671.8
Allowed / game77.972.781.0
Point differential-4.3+3.9-9.2
Avg total151.5149.2152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%11%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %4%11%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW28%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLWLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %28%50%8%
Points / game69.873.266.8
Allowed / game76.870.582.7
Point differential-7.0+2.7-15.9
Avg total146.7143.7149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2623388%80.460.8+19.5
2 Texas A&M-CC25151060%75.366.6+8.7
3 Stephen F. Austin25141156%76.971.0+5.9
4 Lamar25141156%80.674.8+5.8
5 Nicholls State25131252%72.374.8-2.5
6 SE Louisiana26131350%69.270.5-1.3
7 TX A&M Commerce2691735%71.674.4-2.8
8 Incarnate Word2481633%73.677.9-4.3
9 New Orleans2681831%74.880.2-5.4
10 Northwestern St.2571828%69.876.8-7.0
11 UTRGV2461825%73.780.1-6.5
12 Houston Christian2461825%70.882.5-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word342761
Northwestern St.344781
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