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Tarleton vs California Baptist Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 82-65
35-32 47-33
Position#42
Record19-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game67.7
Tarleton 🏆
USA
vs
California Baptist
USA
Position#217
Record14-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tarleton v California Baptist
03 Jan 2026
TARL81
CALI76
16 Jan 2025
TARL67
CALI57
24 Feb 2024
TARL82
CALI65
20 Jan 2022
TARL84
CALI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California Baptist winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#239
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H19/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H26/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H27/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
76-73 OT
76
73
+3
A02/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A09/02
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A10/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-30
39-41
26-40
51-33
27-32
43-41
46-34
40-34
31-23
36-44
33-32
42-32
23-38
49-23
38-31
44-46
28-33
52-45
22-35
55-39
148.6Avg total
77.4Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.567.7140.2+4.873%
Season at home (12)77.863.4141.2+14.383%
Season away (14)68.071.4139.4-3.464%
Last 10 (10)77.471.2148.6+6.290%
Last 5 (5)77.270.8148.0+6.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.271.2128.5-14.025%
vs Similar (11)70.671.5142.2-0.973%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)71.260.7131.8+10.583%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#239
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H21/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A26/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H09/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
46-69
46
69
-23
H16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-24
36-29
37-30
46-46
33-25
30-29
38-45
43-34
33-29
27-32
24-28
40-35
28-45
50-40
23-35
23-34
29-30
47-49
25-33
40-38
137.4Avg total
68.4Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)68.266.1134.3+2.254%
Season at home (15)68.764.0132.7+4.767%
Season away (11)67.668.9136.5-1.336%
Last 10 (10)68.469.0137.4-0.650%
Last 5 (5)65.873.4139.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)63.764.3128.0-0.629%
vs Similar (15)69.768.5138.3+1.260%
vs Weaker (7)69.665.7135.3+3.957%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: +1.6+1.6
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: +1.6+1.6
TarletonCalifornia Baptist
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#239
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H19/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A21/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H27/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A02/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A09/02
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A10/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H23/02
NCAA
64.2Avg total
31.4Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.133.968.0+0.255%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.631.969.5+5.679%-
Last 30 away (15)30.835.766.5-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)31.432.864.2-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)28.833.862.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)25.836.061.8-10.20%-
vs Similar (11)33.534.668.2-1.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)35.133.368.4+1.855%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#239
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H21/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A26/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A27/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H04/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H09/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A10/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H16/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A23/02
NCAA
62.6Avg total
30.2Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.732.464.2-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.531.463.9+1.165%-
Last 30 away (13)30.733.864.5-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)30.232.462.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)25.834.260.0-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)29.931.361.1-1.457%-
vs Similar (15)33.532.966.4+0.553%-
vs Weaker (7)29.932.762.6-2.929%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tarleton wins
5
California Baptist wins
DateGameScore
12/01/24California Baptist v Tarleton77-63
22/01/23California Baptist v Tarleton77-48
21/01/22Tarleton v California Baptist84-88
17/01/21California Baptist v Tarleton73-67
16/01/21California Baptist v Tarleton83-74
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24HGrand Canyon77-74
16/02/24AUT Arlington80-78
10/02/24ASeattle82-77
09/02/24AUtah Valley State72-61
03/02/24HStephen F. Austin75-64
02/02/24AAbilene Christian76-73 OT
27/01/24HUtah Tech86-68
26/01/24HSouthern Utah70-73
21/01/24AUTRGV77-73
19/01/24HAbilene Christian79-71
California Baptistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24AAbilene Christian65-71
18/02/24AGrand Canyon76-79
16/02/24HUtah Valley State46-69
10/02/24AUtah Tech78-85
09/02/24HUT Arlington64-63
04/02/24HSeattle60-61
27/01/24AStephen F. Austin81-79
26/01/24AUTRGV63-54
21/01/24HSouthern Utah83-76
14/01/24HAbilene Christian68-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %73%83%64%
Points / game72.577.868.0
Allowed / game67.763.471.4
Point differential+4.8+14.3-3.4
Avg total140.2141.2139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)60% (5)100% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
California Baptist
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL54%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %54%67%36%
Points / game68.268.767.6
Allowed / game66.164.068.9
Point differential+2.2+4.7-1.3
Avg total134.3132.7136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton2619773%72.567.7+4.8
2 California Baptist26141254%68.266.1+2.2
3 UT Arlington28151354%75.573.5+2.0
4 Utah Valley State28141450%69.168.4+0.6
5 Abilene Christian27121544%72.974.5-1.6
6 Utah Tech27101737%70.076.3-6.3
7 Southern Utah2791833%75.877.6-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton354782
California Baptist323365
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