PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

California vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 56-71
30-37 26-34
Position#79
Record13-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game70.0
California
USA
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#8
Record15-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game66.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · California v Duke
14 Jan 2026
CALI56
DUKE71
21 Nov 2019
CALI52
DUKE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#333
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H03/12
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Dominican Penguins
#431
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H10/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
97-50
97
50
+47
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-34
37-38
36-27
31-34
28-31
65-40
37-37
42-33
50-23
47-27
28-16
46-40
34-48
36-42
27-31
45-40
33-43
27-41
37-37
38-41
146.9Avg total
76.6Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.870.0149.8+9.876%
Season at home (14)80.466.4146.8+14.193%
Season away (3)77.087.0164.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)76.670.3146.9+6.370%
Last 5 (5)70.275.8146.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)66.282.3148.5-16.20%
vs Similar (14)77.673.6151.2+3.950%
vs Weaker (10)84.368.8153.1+15.590%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Howard
#55
W
93-56
93
56
+37
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A28/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H03/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A06/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H16/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A03/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A07/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
52-18
41-38
41-35
39-36
36-24
31-42
31-34
35-26
48-45
49-28
46-36
35-46
39-43
46-36
42-42
49-45
38-47
46-26
41-35
41-40
154.8Avg total
82.6Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.866.6153.3+20.294%
Season at home (11)86.665.0151.6+21.691%
Season away (5)87.070.0157.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.672.2154.8+10.490%
Last 5 (5)84.679.2163.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)67.066.0133.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)87.766.5154.1+21.293%
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +4.9+4.9
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +4.9+4.9
CaliforniaDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#333
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H06/12
NCAA
Dominican Penguins
#431
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H10/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
28-16
28
16
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A10/01
NCAA
67.9Avg total
35.2Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.334.567.8-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.131.866.9+3.258%-
Last 30 away (11)30.439.069.4-8.60%-
Last 10 (10)35.232.767.9+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.835.066.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)29.041.870.8-12.80%-
vs Similar (14)32.232.464.6-0.136%-
vs Weaker (10)37.533.070.5+4.560%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Howard
#55
W
52-18
52
18
+34
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H03/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H10/01
NCAA
77.3Avg total
41.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.932.775.6+10.177%-
Last 30 at home (21)42.831.173.9+11.681%-
Last 30 away (9)43.136.479.6+6.767%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.977.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.681.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)36.024.060.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)43.133.076.1+10.176%-
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California wins
2
Duke wins
DateGameScore
13/02/25Duke v California78-57
22/11/19California v Duke52-87
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AVirginia Tech75-78
08/01/26AVirginia60-84
03/01/26HNotre Dame72-71
31/12/25HLouisville70-90
21/12/25HColumbia74-56
20/12/25HMorgan State97-50
13/12/25HNorthwestern St.79-70
10/12/25HDominican Penguins93-71
06/12/25HPacific67-61
03/12/25HUtah Utes79-72
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HSMU Mustangs82-75
07/01/26ALouisville84-73
03/01/26AFlorida State91-87
31/12/25HGeorgia Tech85-79
21/12/25HTexas Tech81-82
16/12/25HLipscomb97-73
06/12/25AMichigan State66-60
03/12/25HFlorida67-66
28/11/25AArkansas80-71
23/11/25HHoward93-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL76%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17143
Win %76%93%0%
Points / game79.880.477.0
Allowed / game70.066.487.0
Point differential+9.8+14.1-10.0
Avg total149.8146.8164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Duke
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW94%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %94%91%100%
Points / game86.886.687.0
Allowed / game66.665.070.0
Point differential+20.2+21.6+17.0
Avg total153.3151.6157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%64%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1615194%86.866.6+20.2
2 Miami (FL)1715288%87.869.2+18.6
3 Virginia1815383%83.069.2+13.8
4 Clemson1815383%77.664.8+12.8
5 North Carolina1714382%82.268.7+13.5
6 Stanford1814478%77.971.7+6.2
7 SMU Mustangs1713476%88.477.0+11.4
8 California1713476%79.870.0+9.8
9 Virginia Tech1813572%81.973.9+8.0
10 Louisville1712571%87.270.2+17.1
11 NC State1712571%86.571.2+15.3
12 Syracuse1712571%75.966.9+9.0
13 Wake Forest1710759%81.875.4+6.4
14 Notre Dame1710759%73.268.1+5.1
15 Georgia Tech1810856%75.473.0+2.4
16 Pittsburgh178947%74.169.4+4.8
17 Florida State1771041%83.182.1+1.1
18 Boston College1771041%67.968.2-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California302656
Duke373471
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.