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California vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 77-68
37-33 40-35
Position#268
Record9-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#177
Record13-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · California v Florida State
06 Jan 2027
CALI v FLOR
upcoming
22 Jan 2025
CALI77
FLOR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H07/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H11/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H14/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A05/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H11/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
53-79
53
79
-26
A16/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-47
50-42
29-47
51-41
36-33
48-33
16-25
34-46
42-38
32-48
36-39
32-41
35-32
40-29
23-42
45-29
29-39
24-40
31-29
34-33
145.1Avg total
69.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.074.9149.9+0.150%
Season at home (10)80.772.2152.9+8.570%
Season away (8)67.978.4146.2-10.525%
Last 10 (10)69.875.3145.1-5.530%
Last 5 (5)65.870.6136.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.683.2152.8-13.615%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.571.1147.6+5.469%
vs Weaker (1)78.069.0147.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#255
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A04/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
74-84 OT
74
84
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Tulane
#139
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A14/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A09/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
40-53
33-35
37-35
37-22
40-42
45-27
37-37
34-36
42-54
36-34
54-40
39-25
41-40
29-36
28-41
28-23
54-47
37-24
54-54
153.5Avg total
78.4Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.770.2148.9+8.672%
Season at home (11)80.869.5150.3+11.482%
Season away (7)75.471.3146.7+4.157%
Last 10 (10)78.475.1153.5+3.360%
Last 5 (5)80.072.8152.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.981.0150.9-11.112%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.873.3152.1+5.475%
vs Weaker (6)83.565.3148.8+18.283%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.3-6.31st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.3-6.31st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -1.6-1.6
CaliforniaFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H07/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H11/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
16-25
16
25
-9
A22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H11/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A16/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A18/01
NCAA
67.9Avg total
30.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.536.671.1-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.334.970.3+0.460%-
Last 30 away (15)33.738.271.9-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)30.837.167.9-6.340%-
Last 5 (5)30.836.267.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.439.672.0-7.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.234.770.9+1.562%-
vs Weaker (1)35.027.062.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#255
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Tulane
#139
W
37-22
37
22
+15
A14/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A09/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H18/01
NCAA
64.7Avg total
35.3Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.169.0+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.032.269.2+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)34.634.168.7+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)35.329.464.7+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)33.828.462.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.839.171.9-6.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.230.967.2+5.369%-
vs Weaker (6)39.230.769.8+8.583%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California wins
0
Florida State wins
No previous meetings.
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ANC State65-62
16/01/25ANorth Carolina53-79
11/01/25HVirginia Tech68-71
09/01/25HVirginia75-61
05/01/25AClemson68-80
01/01/25APittsburgh74-86
22/12/24ASan Diego State50-71
14/12/24HNorthwestern St.84-66
11/12/24HCornell80-88
07/12/24HStanford81-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HGeorgia Tech91-78
16/01/25HPittsburgh82-70
11/01/25AClemson57-77
09/01/25AMiami (FL)80-65
04/01/25HSyracuse90-74
21/12/24HLouisville76-90
18/12/24HWinthrop82-64
14/12/24ATulane77-64
07/12/24ANC State74-84 OT
04/12/24ALSU75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLLWWL70%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%70%25%
Points / game75.080.767.9
Allowed / game74.972.278.4
Point differential+0.1+8.5-10.5
Avg total149.9152.9146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %72%82%57%
Points / game78.780.875.4
Allowed / game70.269.571.3
Point differential+8.6+11.4+4.1
Avg total148.9150.3146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%73%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1816289%81.359.5+21.8
2 Clemson2016480%77.767.0+10.7
3 Wake Forest1915479%70.765.7+5.0
4 Louisville2015575%79.369.8+9.6
5 SMU Mustangs1914574%84.272.9+11.2
6 Florida State1813572%78.770.2+8.6
7 Pittsburgh1812667%80.470.8+9.6
8 Stanford1812667%76.371.2+5.1
9 North Carolina2012860%81.575.4+6.1
10 NC State189950%71.367.1+4.2
11 California189950%75.074.9+0.1
12 Virginia1991047%62.063.9-1.9
13 Syracuse1991047%74.978.0-3.1
14 Boston College1991047%69.473.9-4.5
15 Georgia Tech2091145%74.773.5+1.2
16 Notre Dame1881044%74.971.2+3.7
17 Virginia Tech1981142%70.172.9-2.8
18 Miami (FL)1841422%76.079.2-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California374077
Florida State333568
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