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California vs Florida State Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#84
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#232
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game80.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · California v Florida State
06 Jan 2027
CALI v FLOR
upcoming
22 Jan 2025
CALI77
FLOR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
56-72
56
72
-16
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A05/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
89-95
89
95
-6
A11/03
NCAA
Adams State
#412
W
115-86
115
86
+29
H03/11
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Houston
#147
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#62
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H12/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
35-36
26-34
30-38
32-36
44-29
37-29
36-51
32-46
57-49
66-37
49-49
45-37
39-33
43-32
43-36
30-39
35-38
32-41
47-32
155.1Avg total
79.6Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.874.8160.6+11.080%
Season at home (5)85.874.8160.6+11.080%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.675.5155.1+4.160%
Last 5 (5)85.874.8160.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.579.2149.7-8.733%
vs Similar (12)75.174.7149.8+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.070.4151.4+10.691%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A28/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A05/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H07/03
NCAA
California
#79
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H11/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
L
69-112
69
112
-43
H03/11
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
91-68
91
68
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Florida
#54
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#216
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-38
41-45
41-36
39-35
46-30
29-44
45-27
46-51
46-32
49-57
44-43
35-37
27-54
42-58
37-26
54-42
29-31
43-50
40-28
44-32
160.5Avg total
80.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.080.2159.2-1.250%
Season at home (4)79.080.2159.2-1.250%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.979.6160.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)79.080.2159.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.980.4152.3-8.525%
vs Similar (14)81.482.2163.6-0.857%
vs Weaker (4)86.865.0151.8+21.8100%
This opponent (California) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -2.9-2.9
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -2.9-2.9
CaliforniaFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A07/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A11/03
NCAA
Adams State
#412
W
66-37
66
37
+29
H03/11
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H05/11
NCAA
Houston
#147
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#62
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H12/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H14/11
NCAA
74.5Avg total
38.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.834.571.3+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.433.470.8+4.055%-
Last 30 away (10)35.536.872.3-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.474.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.280.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.840.576.3-4.733%-
vs Similar (12)34.832.867.6+1.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.832.869.6+4.045%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A05/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H07/03
NCAA
California
#79
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A12/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
L
27-54
27
54
-27
H03/11
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Florida
#54
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#216
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H13/11
NCAA
73.2Avg total
38.7Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.474.2+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.734.772.4+2.956%-
Last 30 away (12)37.839.076.8-1.242%-
Last 10 (10)38.734.573.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.471.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.839.474.2-4.625%-
vs Similar (14)39.335.674.9+3.664%-
vs Weaker (4)41.030.271.2+10.875%-
This opponent (California) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
California wins
2
Florida State wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26Florida State v California95-89
29/01/26Florida State v California63-61
23/01/25California v Florida State77-68
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HUtah Tech79-73
12/11/26HUSC65-77
09/11/26HHouston86-68
05/11/26HRadford84-70
03/11/26HAdams State115-86
11/03/26AFlorida State89-95
07/03/26AWake Forest73-80
05/03/26AGeorgia Tech76-65
28/02/26HPittsburgh56-72
26/02/26HSMU Mustangs73-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HTexas A&M-CC84-60
10/11/26HFlorida72-81
07/11/26HTroy91-68
03/11/26HFlorida A&M69-112
12/03/26ADuke79-80
11/03/26HCalifornia95-89
07/03/26HSMU Mustangs91-78
05/03/26APittsburgh75-74
28/02/26AGeorgia Tech80-71
25/02/26HMiami (FL)73-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWLW80%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %80%80%-
Points / game85.885.8-
Allowed / game74.874.8-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total160.6160.6-
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Florida State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLWLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game80.280.2-
Point differential-1.2-1.2-
Avg total159.2159.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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