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California vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 75-61
35-32 40-29
Position#268
Record7-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#230
Record8-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game61.4
Allowed / game61.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · California v Virginia
09 Jan 2027
CALI v VIRG
upcoming
08 Jan 2025
CALI75
VIRG61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H22/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H28/11
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
93-98
93
98
-5
A04/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H07/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H11/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H14/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-27
43-42
40-33
43-44
41-23
40-32
51-35
42-63
31-47
50-42
29-47
51-41
36-33
48-33
16-25
34-46
42-38
32-48
36-39
32-41
155.1Avg total
77.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.876.9154.6+0.950%
Season at home (8)83.073.8156.8+9.275%
Season away (6)70.881.0151.8-10.217%
Last 10 (10)77.277.9155.1-0.740%
Last 5 (5)71.278.2149.4-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.182.3154.4-10.320%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.872.4150.2+5.471%
vs Weaker (1)78.069.0147.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
55-80
55
80
-25
H23/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#284
W
67-41
67
41
+26
H29/11
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A05/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A07/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H13/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H19/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H22/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
50-70
50
70
-20
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-39
29-41
38-31
36-34
34-21
33-20
35-39
34-48
28-30
23-33
18-21
41-20
30-21
32-43
32-28
31-30
29-39
41-28
27-32
23-38
125.6Avg total
62.0Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)61.461.5122.9-0.157%
Season at home (10)62.758.7121.4+4.070%
Season away (4)58.068.5126.5-10.525%
Last 10 (10)62.063.6125.6-1.650%
Last 5 (5)60.860.0120.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)54.666.1120.7-11.523%
vs Similar ◀ (13)64.860.0124.8+4.885%
vs Weaker (4)67.051.8118.8+15.2100%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -1.2-1.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -1.2-1.2
CaliforniaVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H28/11
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A04/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H07/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H11/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
16-25
16
25
-9
A22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/01
NCAA
70.4Avg total
35.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.636.872.3-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.234.971.1+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)34.938.973.7-4.036%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.770.4+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)31.836.468.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.738.972.7-5.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.635.172.7+2.457%-
vs Weaker (1)35.027.062.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H23/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H27/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#284
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H29/11
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A05/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
18-21
18
21
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H19/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H22/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H04/01
NCAA
59.8Avg total
29.7Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.627.155.7+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (20)28.626.455.0+2.350%-
Last 30 away (10)28.528.557.0+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)29.730.159.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)27.228.255.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)25.629.655.2-4.023%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)28.927.055.9+1.962%-
vs Weaker (4)37.219.056.2+18.2100%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California wins
0
Virginia wins
No previous meetings.
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25AClemson68-80
01/01/25APittsburgh74-86
22/12/24ASan Diego State50-71
14/12/24HNorthwestern St.84-66
11/12/24HCornell80-88
07/12/24HStanford81-89
04/12/24AMissouri93-98
28/11/24HMercyhurst Lakers81-55
24/11/24HSacramento State83-77
22/11/24HAir Force78-69
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HLouisville50-70
31/12/24HNC State70-67
22/12/24HAmerican University63-58
19/12/24HMemphis62-64
13/12/24HBethune-Cookman59-41
07/12/24ASMU Mustangs51-63
05/12/24AFlorida69-87
29/11/24HHoly Cross67-41
27/11/24HManhattan74-65
23/11/24HSt. John's (N.Y.)55-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%75%17%
Points / game77.883.070.8
Allowed / game76.973.881.0
Point differential+0.9+9.2-10.2
Avg total154.6156.8151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWLWWL70%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %57%70%25%
Points / game61.462.758.0
Allowed / game61.558.768.5
Point differential-0.1+4.0-10.5
Avg total122.9121.4126.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1513287%80.058.4+21.6
2 Pittsburgh1512380%81.668.9+12.7
3 Clemson1612475%77.667.3+10.3
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%84.172.7+11.4
5 Florida State1511473%79.169.2+9.9
6 Wake Forest1511473%69.164.9+4.1
7 Louisville1611569%77.669.8+7.8
8 Stanford1510567%76.471.1+5.3
9 North Carolina1610662%84.478.4+6.0
10 NC State159660%72.366.7+5.6
11 Boston College159660%71.372.3-1.1
12 Virginia148657%61.461.5-0.1
13 Georgia Tech168850%75.971.9+4.0
14 California147750%77.876.9+0.9
15 Notre Dame157847%74.970.5+4.3
16 Syracuse157847%75.778.1-2.4
17 Virginia Tech156940%70.373.3-2.9
18 Miami (FL)1541127%77.575.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California354075
Virginia322961
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