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Miami (FL) vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 65-80
25-39 40-41
Position#344
Record4-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#177
Record10-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Miami (FL) v Florida State
20 Jan 2026
MIAM63
FLOR65
08 Jan 2025
MIAM65
FLOR80
17 Jan 2024
MIAM75
FLOR84
25 Feb 2023
MIAM84
FLOR85
22 Jan 2022
MIAM60
FLOR61
24 Feb 2021
MIAM71
FLOR88
18 Jan 2020
MIAM79
FLOR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#233
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A22/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#329
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H04/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H07/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A10/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H15/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-43
47-37
33-42
37-35
37-45
42-38
40-32
33-44
24-25
31-40
25-38
37-37
49-33
45-42
38-28
28-38
41-29
27-49
39-40
46-46
150.7Avg total
73.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.475.1153.5+3.229%
Season at home (8)83.672.0155.6+11.650%
Season away (6)71.379.3150.7-8.00%
Last 10 (10)73.477.3150.7-3.910%
Last 5 (5)76.678.4155.0-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.474.4147.8-0.929%
vs Similar (13)70.277.5147.6-7.38%
vs Weaker (3)80.768.0148.7+12.767%
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#237
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H20/11
NCAA
Temple
#180
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H22/11
NCAA
UMass
#303
W
92-59
92
59
+33
A24/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
91-57
91
57
+34
H27/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A04/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
74-84 OT
74
84
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Tulane
#139
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A14/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-23
47-38
39-33
39-36
37-27
55-32
49-26
42-31
35-32
40-53
33-35
37-35
37-22
40-42
45-27
37-37
34-36
42-54
36-34
54-40
152.1Avg total
81.4Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.169.5148.6+9.671%
Season at home (9)79.668.4148.0+11.178%
Season away (5)78.271.4149.6+6.860%
Last 10 (10)81.470.7152.1+10.770%
Last 5 (5)79.875.2155.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.880.4151.2-9.711%
vs Similar (15)78.172.9151.1+5.273%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.571.3156.8+14.267%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +8.2+8.22nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +3.5+3.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +8.2+8.22nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +3.5+3.5
Miami (FL)Florida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#233
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A22/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A24/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#329
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H07/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A10/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H15/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/01
NCAA
70.8Avg total
35.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.969.9+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.633.672.2+5.067%-
Last 30 away (15)31.536.167.7-4.620%-
Last 10 (10)35.335.570.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.433.672.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.033.669.6+2.450%-
vs Similar (13)32.237.169.3-4.823%-
vs Weaker (3)43.031.074.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#237
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H20/11
NCAA
Temple
#180
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H22/11
NCAA
UMass
#303
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A24/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H27/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Tulane
#139
W
37-22
37
22
+15
A14/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H04/01
NCAA
67.2Avg total
37.7Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.470.6+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.433.470.8+4.062%-
Last 30 away (14)34.835.670.4-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)37.729.567.2+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)37.030.867.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.838.171.9-4.322%-
vs Similar (15)36.732.368.9+4.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.534.372.8+4.267%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Miami (FL) wins
9
Florida State wins
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AVirginia Tech85-86
01/01/25ABoston College68-78
21/12/24HMount St. Mary's74-78 OT
15/12/24HPresbyterian94-75
10/12/24ATennessee62-75
07/12/24HClemson55-65
04/12/24HArkansas73-76
30/11/24HCharleston Southern79-83
24/11/24AVCU Rams70-77
22/11/24AOklahoma State74-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HSyracuse90-74
21/12/24HLouisville76-90
18/12/24HWinthrop82-64
14/12/24ATulane77-64
07/12/24ANC State74-84 OT
04/12/24ALSU75-85
27/11/24HWestern Carolina91-57
24/11/24AUMass92-59
22/11/24HTemple78-69
20/11/24HHofstra79-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game78.483.671.3
Allowed / game75.172.079.3
Point differential+3.2+11.6-8.0
Avg total153.5155.6150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Florida State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %71%78%60%
Points / game79.179.678.2
Allowed / game69.568.471.4
Point differential+9.6+11.1+6.8
Avg total148.6148.0149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1513287%80.058.4+21.6
2 Pittsburgh1512380%81.668.9+12.7
3 Clemson1612475%77.667.3+10.3
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%84.172.7+11.4
5 Wake Forest1511473%69.164.9+4.1
6 Florida State1410471%79.169.5+9.6
7 Louisville1611569%77.669.8+7.8
8 Stanford149564%76.971.9+4.9
9 North Carolina1610662%84.478.4+6.0
10 Boston College159660%71.372.3-1.1
11 NC State148657%72.866.9+5.9
12 Virginia148657%61.461.5-0.1
13 Notre Dame147750%75.670.9+4.7
14 Georgia Tech168850%75.971.9+4.0
15 California147750%77.876.9+0.9
16 Syracuse157847%75.778.1-2.4
17 Virginia Tech146843%71.173.5-2.4
18 Miami (FL)1441029%78.475.1+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)254065
Florida State394180
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