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California vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 98-94 (OT)
47-39 32-40 19-15
Position#268
Record10-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#344
Record4-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game79.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cornell
#113
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H11/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H14/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A05/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H11/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
53-79
53
79
-26
A16/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A18/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-47
51-41
36-33
48-33
16-25
34-46
42-38
32-48
36-39
32-41
35-32
40-29
23-42
45-29
29-39
24-40
31-29
34-33
37-33
40-35
142.6Avg total
69.4Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.174.6149.7+0.553%
Season at home (11)80.471.8152.2+8.573%
Season away (8)67.978.4146.2-10.525%
Last 10 (10)69.473.2142.6-3.840%
Last 5 (5)67.668.2135.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.082.6152.6-12.617%
vs Similar (17)76.570.9147.4+5.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)78.069.0147.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A10/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H15/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
54-89
54
89
-35
A15/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
74-117
74
117
-43
H18/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
51-88
51
88
-37
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-38
37-37
49-33
45-42
38-28
28-38
41-29
27-49
39-40
46-46
25-39
40-41
31-39
47-49
26-50
28-39
26-60
48-57
21-37
30-51
155.9Avg total
70.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.779.7154.4-5.021%
Season at home (11)80.578.3158.8+2.336%
Season away (8)66.681.6148.2-15.00%
Last 10 (10)70.585.4155.9-14.910%
Last 5 (5)64.492.4156.8-28.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.079.7150.7-8.717%
vs Similar (10)70.077.7147.7-7.710%
vs Weaker (2)84.571.5156.0+13.050%
This opponent (California) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: -7.2-7.22nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -7.3-7.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: -7.2-7.22nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -7.3-7.3
CaliforniaMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cornell
#113
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H11/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
16-25
16
25
-9
A22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H11/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A16/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H23/01
NCAA
67.1Avg total
31.4Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.836.170.9-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.434.870.2+0.662%-
Last 30 away (14)34.137.571.6-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)31.435.767.1-4.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.066.0-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.838.971.7-6.225%-
vs Similar (17)36.234.670.8+1.665%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)35.027.062.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A10/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H15/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A15/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
26-60
26
60
-34
H18/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A23/01
NCAA
71.4Avg total
32.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.636.870.5-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.635.572.1+1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)30.238.468.6-8.17%-
Last 10 (10)32.139.371.4-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)25.845.070.8-19.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.937.170.0-4.133%-
vs Similar (10)32.437.469.8-5.020%-
vs Weaker (2)46.032.078.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (California) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California wins
0
Miami (FL) wins
No previous meetings.
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25HFlorida State77-68
18/01/25ANC State65-62
16/01/25ANorth Carolina53-79
11/01/25HVirginia Tech68-71
09/01/25HVirginia75-61
05/01/25AClemson68-80
01/01/25APittsburgh74-86
22/12/24ASan Diego State50-71
14/12/24HNorthwestern St.84-66
11/12/24HCornell80-88
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25AStanford51-88
18/01/25HSMU Mustangs74-117
15/01/25ADuke54-89
11/01/25HWake Forest78-88
09/01/25HFlorida State65-80
04/01/25AVirginia Tech85-86
01/01/25ABoston College68-78
21/12/24HMount St. Mary's74-78 OT
15/12/24HPresbyterian94-75
10/12/24ATennessee62-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %53%73%25%
Points / game75.180.467.9
Allowed / game74.671.878.4
Point differential+0.5+8.5-10.5
Avg total149.7152.2146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %21%36%0%
Points / game74.780.566.6
Allowed / game79.778.381.6
Point differential-5.0+2.3-15.0
Avg total154.4158.8148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1917289%80.359.3+21.0
2 Clemson2117481%77.466.5+10.9
3 SMU Mustangs2015575%83.172.2+10.9
4 Louisville2015575%79.369.8+9.6
5 Wake Forest2015575%70.065.5+4.4
6 Stanford2014670%77.070.2+6.8
7 Pittsburgh1913668%80.270.9+9.3
8 Florida State2013765%77.870.9+6.9
9 North Carolina2113862%82.576.4+6.1
10 California1910953%75.174.6+0.5
11 Notre Dame1991047%74.870.5+4.3
12 NC State1991047%70.666.9+3.7
13 Georgia Tech2091145%74.773.5+1.2
14 Virginia2091145%61.964.5-2.6
15 Syracuse2091145%74.878.0-3.1
16 Boston College2091145%70.875.3-4.5
17 Virginia Tech2081240%69.572.9-3.5
18 Miami (FL)1941521%74.779.7-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
California47321998
Miami (FL)39401594
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