PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Montana State vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-66
25-29 38-37
Position#213
Record12-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game74.4
Montana State
USA
vs
Sacramento State 🏆
USA
Position#329
Record6-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Montana State v Sacramento State
28 Feb 2026
MONT82
SACR61
30 Jan 2025
MONT70
SACR58
12 Mar 2024
MONT74
SACR71
24 Feb 2024
MONT63
SACR66
23 Feb 2023
MONT60
SACR56
10 Mar 2022
MONT83
SACR61
03 Mar 2022
MONT75
SACR69
06 Mar 2021
MONT73
SACR74
05 Mar 2021
MONT77
SACR75
28 Dec 2019
MONT66
SACR51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#65
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H23/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A26/01
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A28/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A18/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-38
41-49
34-25
43-45
40-29
30-33
45-42
46-52
32-25
38-35
30-31
45-50
36-35
34-38
41-36
30-40
30-40
39-48
36-37
36-30
150.0Avg total
74.2Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.074.4148.4-0.444%
Season at home (15)77.871.8149.6+6.060%
Season away (12)69.377.7147.0-8.325%
Last 10 (10)74.275.8150.0-1.640%
Last 5 (5)71.477.0148.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.280.2148.3-12.017%
vs Similar (15)72.674.8147.4-2.247%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.168.6149.8+12.575%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#272
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A20/01
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H26/01
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H28/01
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
45-61
45
61
-16
H06/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A09/02
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-31
34-39
29-40
33-30
41-39
26-31
29-24
22-34
20-37
25-24
16-33
24-35
22-30
31-28
31-32
27-41
32-27
43-53
29-32
32-36
124.9Avg total
57.3Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)65.670.4136.1-4.821%
Season at home (14)70.968.3139.2+2.636%
Season away (14)60.472.6132.9-12.27%
Last 10 (10)57.367.6124.9-10.30%
Last 5 (5)57.469.4126.8-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.273.6137.8-9.419%
vs Similar (10)60.468.4128.8-8.020%
vs Weaker (3)73.062.7135.7+10.333%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -5.4-5.4
Montana StateSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#65
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H23/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A26/01
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A28/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H02/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A09/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A10/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H23/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
36.0Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.968.6+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.532.167.5+3.459%-
Last 30 away (13)33.536.469.9-2.846%-
Last 10 (10)36.033.869.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.870.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.537.568.0-7.017%-
vs Similar (15)34.133.467.5+0.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.431.871.1+7.675%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#272
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A20/01
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H26/01
NCAA
Montana
#65
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/01
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A04/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H06/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A09/02
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A11/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A23/02
NCAA
60.1Avg total
27.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.934.866.7-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.033.169.1+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)28.436.264.6-7.812%-
Last 10 (10)27.632.560.1-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)26.030.856.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.936.367.2-5.431%-
vs Similar (10)28.835.764.5-6.930%-
vs Weaker (3)37.325.362.7+12.033%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Montana State wins
2
Sacramento State wins
DateGameScore
26/01/24Sacramento State v Montana State62-70
24/02/23Montana State v Sacramento State60-56
29/01/23Sacramento State v Montana State65-72
10/03/22Montana State v Sacramento State83-61
04/03/22Montana State v Sacramento State75-69
04/12/21Sacramento State v Montana State66-68
06/03/21Montana State v Sacramento State73-74
05/03/21Montana State v Sacramento State77-75
28/02/20Sacramento State v Montana State81-52
28/12/19Montana State v Sacramento State66-51
Montana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24HPortland State72-67
18/02/24AMontana69-88
10/02/24ANorthern Arizona71-76
09/02/24ANorthern Colorado70-73
04/02/24HIdaho75-81
02/02/24HEast. Washington70-60
28/01/24APortland State91-94
26/01/24ASacramento State70-62
23/01/24HIdaho State77-70
21/01/24HMontana77-87
Sacramento Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24AMontana61-68
17/02/24HNorthern Colorado75-80
16/02/24HNorthern Arizona58-73
11/02/24AWeber State53-58
09/02/24AIdaho State40-68
06/02/24HIdaho45-61
04/02/24APortland State51-58
28/01/24HMontana67-70
26/01/24HMontana State62-70
20/01/24ANorthern Arizona61-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game74.077.869.3
Allowed / game74.471.877.7
Point differential-0.4+6.0-8.3
Avg total148.4149.6147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %7%13%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %21%36%7%
Points / game65.670.960.4
Allowed / game70.468.372.6
Point differential-4.8+2.6-12.2
Avg total136.1139.2132.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)38% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Weber State2718967%75.465.7+9.7
2 Montana2718967%76.971.3+5.6
3 East. Washington27171063%79.473.6+5.9
4 Northern Colorado27171063%80.477.2+3.2
5 Portland State28161257%72.071.4+0.5
6 Northern Arizona29131645%68.376.1-7.8
7 Montana State27121544%74.074.4-0.4
8 Idaho State27111641%69.568.9+0.6
9 Idaho28111739%69.471.1-1.7
10 Sacramento State2862221%65.670.4-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State253863
Sacramento State293766
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.