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Stanford vs California Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 78-73
38-32 40-41
Position#127
Record19-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#268
Record14-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Stanford v California
24 Jan 2026
STAN66
CALI78
12 Mar 2025
STAN78
CALI73
22 Feb 2025
STAN66
CALI61
07 Mar 2024
STAN80
CALI58
28 Jan 2023
STAN75
CALI46
01 Feb 2022
STAN57
CALI50
10 Mar 2021
STAN58
CALI76
07 Feb 2021
STAN76
CALI70
11 Mar 2020
STAN51
CALI63
02 Jan 2020
STAN68
CALI52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stanford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A01/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H06/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H09/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
70-106
70
106
-36
A15/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H23/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H27/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A06/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
48-68
48
68
-20
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
25-45
36-40
37-40
36-39
29-33
45-40
20-35
32-25
34-49
36-57
28-22
38-39
37-19
41-41
45-39
28-29
24-21
30-35
18-33
30-35
136.5Avg total
64.9Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.870.4143.2+2.561%
Season at home (20)76.866.8143.6+9.980%
Season away (11)65.776.7142.5-11.027%
Last 10 (10)64.971.6136.5-6.740%
Last 5 (5)63.862.6126.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.076.1144.1-8.144%
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.072.9144.9-0.950%
vs Weaker (7)79.059.1138.1+19.9100%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
57-78
57
78
-21
A13/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
A15/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A23/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H27/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A06/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
110-112 OT
110
112
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
82-73 OT
82
73
+9
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
40-32
29-31
37-45
23-38
34-40
34-39
45-40
22-28
39-38
29-42
48-39
42-31
40-40
26-41
42-44
33-37
35-31
31-34
29-26
155.9Avg total
76.5Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.776.8152.4-1.144%
Season at home (17)79.273.5152.7+5.865%
Season away (15)71.680.5152.1-8.920%
Last 10 (10)76.579.4155.9-2.930%
Last 5 (5)83.884.4168.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.582.5151.0-13.90%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.073.1150.1+3.956%
vs Weaker (3)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Stanford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +1.4+1.4
StanfordCalifornia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A01/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H06/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H09/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A13/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A15/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H23/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H27/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H01/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A06/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
18-33
18
33
-15
A08/03
NCAA
63.3Avg total
29.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.765.3+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.428.964.4+6.579%-
Last 30 away (11)30.536.567.0-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)29.733.663.3-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.426.857.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.237.470.7-4.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.431.464.8+1.957%-
vs Weaker (7)34.724.959.6+9.986%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H06/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A13/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A23/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H27/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A06/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/03
NCAA
65.4Avg total
30.3Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.936.169.0-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.135.369.4-1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)31.736.968.6-5.120%-
Last 10 (10)30.335.165.4-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.237.069.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.039.370.3-8.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.634.667.2-2.044%-
vs Weaker (3)41.332.373.7+9.0100%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Stanford wins
4
California wins
DateGameScore
23/02/25Stanford v California66-61
07/12/24California v Stanford81-89
14/03/24California v Stanford76-87 OT
08/03/24Stanford v California80-58
27/01/24California v Stanford73-71
29/01/23Stanford v California75-46
07/01/23California v Stanford92-70
27/02/22California v Stanford53-39
02/02/22Stanford v California57-50
11/03/21Stanford v California58-76
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ALouisville48-68
06/03/25ANotre Dame54-56
01/03/25HSMU Mustangs73-68
27/02/25HBoston College78-60
23/02/25HCalifornia66-61
15/02/25ADuke70-106
13/02/25AGeorgia Tech52-60
09/02/25HNC State74-73
06/02/25HWake Forest73-79
01/02/25ASMU Mustangs61-85
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25AVirginia Tech82-73 OT
08/03/25ANotre Dame110-112 OT
06/03/25ALouisville68-85
02/03/25HBoston College82-71
27/02/25HSMU Mustangs77-81
23/02/25AStanford61-66
15/02/25AGeorgia Tech88-90 OT
13/02/25ADuke57-78
08/02/25HWake Forest66-76
06/02/25HNC State74-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stanford
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL61%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312011
Win %61%80%27%
Points / game72.876.865.7
Allowed / game70.466.876.7
Point differential+2.5+9.9-11.0
Avg total143.2143.6142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
California
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeLWLLW65%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %44%65%20%
Points / game75.779.271.6
Allowed / game76.873.580.5
Point differential-1.1+5.8-8.9
Avg total152.4152.7152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%41%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %12%6%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3128390%83.561.4+22.1
2 Clemson3126584%77.165.7+11.4
3 Louisville3125681%79.368.5+10.8
4 SMU Mustangs3122971%81.172.2+8.9
5 Wake Forest31211068%70.568.0+2.5
6 North Carolina33211264%81.575.5+6.0
7 Stanford31191261%72.870.4+2.5
8 Pittsburgh32171553%75.970.8+5.0
9 Florida State32171553%74.572.5+2.0
10 Georgia Tech32171553%73.572.2+1.2
11 Virginia32151747%64.866.8-2.0
12 Notre Dame33151845%72.672.5+0.2
13 California32141844%75.776.8-1.1
14 Syracuse32141844%75.377.9-2.6
15 Virginia Tech32131941%69.273.2-4.0
16 NC State31121939%69.570.3-0.8
17 Boston College31121939%70.475.8-5.4
18 Miami (FL)3172423%74.080.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stanford384078
California324173
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