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Arizona State vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-67
43-36 39-31
Position#267
Record10-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game70.6
Arizona State 🏆
USA
vs
USC
USA
Position#249
Record8-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Arizona State v USC
26 Nov 2025
ARIZ75
USC88
20 Jan 2024
ARIZ82
USC67
21 Jan 2023
ARIZ69
USC77
03 Feb 2022
ARIZ53
USC58
09 Jan 2021
ARIZ64
USC73
08 Feb 2020
ARIZ66
USC64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H07/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A10/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A17/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
46-65
46
65
-19
H21/12
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A30/12
NCAA
California
#283
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A01/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H05/01
NCAA
Colorado
#47
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A12/01
NCAA
UCLA
#219
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-40
40-34
36-28
48-61
30-26
29-53
13-36
33-29
28-37
48-36
25-35
46-34
41-36
41-34
44-38
32-35
34-33
33-49
36-23
30-45
144.5Avg total
70.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.170.6139.6-1.559%
Season at home (11)69.267.0136.2+2.273%
Season away (6)68.877.2146.0-8.333%
Last 10 (10)70.374.2144.5-3.950%
Last 5 (5)72.472.4144.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)67.471.8139.2-4.453%
vs Similar (11)73.870.5144.4+3.355%
vs Weaker (2)66.559.5126.0+7.0100%
This opponent (USC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#140
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
H10/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A17/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
79-59
79
59
+20
A20/12
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A29/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A31/12
NCAA
California
#283
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H06/01
NCAA
Washington State
#45
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-30
29-44
35-49
40-42
39-18
40-41
25-42
49-40
30-39
40-47
37-29
45-45
39-35
54-44
28-29
36-43
37-24
21-44
35-45
32-37
151.8Avg total
74.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.274.8151.1+1.444%
Season at home (9)80.172.1152.2+8.067%
Season away (9)72.377.6149.9-5.222%
Last 10 (10)74.177.7151.8-3.630%
Last 5 (5)72.875.0147.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.078.8151.8-5.811%
vs Similar (18)76.170.9146.9+5.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)78.365.0143.3+13.367%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -4.1-4.1
Arizona StateUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H07/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A10/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A17/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
13-36
13
36
-23
H21/12
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A30/12
NCAA
California
#283
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A01/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/01
NCAA
Colorado
#47
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/01
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A12/01
NCAA
UCLA
#219
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H18/01
NCAA
65.5Avg total
32.3Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.331.463.7+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.829.762.4+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)31.833.465.2-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)32.333.265.5-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.069.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.032.963.9-1.953%-
vs Similar (11)34.629.764.4+4.955%-
vs Weaker (2)30.528.058.5+2.5100%-
This opponent (USC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#140
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H10/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A17/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
39-18
39
18
+21
A20/12
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A29/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A31/12
NCAA
California
#283
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Washington State
#45
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Colorado
#47
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A14/01
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A18/01
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.0Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.632.267.8+3.359%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.729.666.3+7.173%-
Last 30 away (14)34.335.169.4-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)35.034.069.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.467.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.636.972.4-1.333%-
vs Similar (17)35.430.866.2+4.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)36.326.763.0+9.767%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Arizona State wins
7
USC wins
DateGameScore
10/03/23USC v Arizona State72-77
05/03/23USC v Arizona State68-65
22/01/23Arizona State v USC69-77
04/02/22Arizona State v USC53-58
25/01/22USC v Arizona State78-56
18/02/21USC v Arizona State89-71
10/01/21Arizona State v USC64-73
01/03/20USC v Arizona State71-61
09/02/20Arizona State v USC66-64
Arizona Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HUCLA66-68
12/01/24AWashington67-82
07/01/24HColorado76-73
05/01/24HUtah Utes82-70
01/01/24ACalifornia71-69
30/12/23AStanford76-73
21/12/23HNorthwestern46-65
17/12/23ATCU59-79
10/12/23ASan Diego Toreros84-89
07/12/23HSMU Mustangs76-74
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24AArizona67-82
14/01/24AColorado58-68
11/01/24HWashington State64-72
06/01/24HStanford93-79
04/01/24HCalifornia82-74
31/12/23AOregon State70-86
29/12/23AOregon74-82
20/12/23AAlabama State79-59
17/12/23AAuburn75-91
10/12/23HLong Beach State79-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %59%73%33%
Points / game69.169.268.8
Allowed / game70.667.077.2
Point differential-1.5+2.2-8.3
Avg total139.6136.2146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
USC
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL44%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%67%22%
Points / game76.280.172.3
Allowed / game74.872.177.6
Point differential+1.4+8.0-5.2
Avg total151.1152.2149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston1715288%74.951.5+23.4
2 Kansas1715288%79.266.3+12.9
3 Brigham Young1714382%85.763.6+22.1
4 Texas Tech1714382%76.265.5+10.7
5 Baylor1814478%84.169.2+14.9
6 Iowa State1713476%81.160.1+21.1
7 Arizona1713476%90.671.6+19.1
8 TCU1713476%83.668.6+15.0
9 Kansas State1713476%74.867.4+7.4
10 Cincinnati1813572%78.766.6+12.1
11 Utah Utes1813572%80.169.2+10.9
12 Colorado1813572%80.671.0+9.6
13 UCF Knights1611569%74.765.1+9.6
14 Arizona State1710759%69.170.6-1.5
15 Oklahoma State178947%72.469.4+3.1
16 West Virginia1761135%67.672.0-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1816289%85.169.3+15.8
2 Wisconsin1814478%76.567.3+9.2
3 Illinois1713476%82.167.8+14.3
4 Northwestern1713476%72.967.0+5.9
5 Oregon1713476%78.272.4+5.9
6 Ohio State1813572%76.466.6+9.9
7 Nebraska1813572%78.570.1+8.4
8 Minnesota1812667%77.268.4+8.8
9 Iowa1711665%87.177.6+9.5
10 Indiana1912763%74.274.3-0.1
11 Michigan State1811761%77.165.6+11.5
12 Maryland1811761%70.864.0+6.8
13 Washington1811761%80.375.0+5.3
14 Rutgers1710759%68.665.4+3.3
15 Penn State1991047%76.474.3+2.1
16 USC1881044%76.274.8+1.4
17 UCLA1881044%64.963.9+1.0
18 Michigan1871139%79.377.6+1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona State433982
USC363167
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