California vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 04:00

Projected 84-75

Projected total 159.0

Final 65-77

30-39 35-38

Position#113

Record3-0

FormLLWWW

Points / game95.0

Allowed / game74.7

California

81%

19%

■ CALI 81%■ USC 19%

Pythia win probability

USC 🏆

Position#72

Record2-0

FormLLLWW

Points / game94.0

Allowed / game74.5

NCAA

Other2026-27

Meetings · California v USC

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

California faces USC on 11 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating California as the clear favourite at 81% probability of victory, a rating driven by their undefeated 3-0 record and an average of 95.0 points per game while allowing 74.7, placing them 70th in the league; USC, meanwhile, holds a 2-0 record with 94.0 points per game and 74.5 allowed, ranking 76th. California has won all three of its home games, scoring 95.0 per outing and conceding 74.7, and has triumphed in three of its last five, including a 115-86 win over Adams State; USC has secured one road win in its sole away game, scoring 93.0 and allowing 86.0, and has won two of its last five, highlighted by a 93-86 victory over Wichita State. Historically, USC leads the series 7-2 and most recently defeated California 71-66 on 17 November 2024. The model projects a 84-75 scoreline for a 159-point total, with California covering the 7.5-point spread at 93% and an over probability of 46% on the 160.5 line, while the chance of overtime stands at 4%. The next game will see California maintain its hot streak against a USC side still finding its rhythm.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winLost

80.9%fair 1.24

Best odds4.00

Implied24.6%

Edge+56.3pp

USC winWon

19.1%fair 5.23

Best odds1.28

Implied75.4%

Edge-56.3pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

California USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boston College

#308

86-75

+11

A14/02

NCAA

Stanford

#103

72-66

H21/02

NCAA

SMU Mustangs

#129

73-69

H26/02

NCAA

Pittsburgh

#282

56-72

-16

H28/02

NCAA

Georgia Tech

#309

76-65

+11

A05/03

NCAA

Wake Forest

#190

73-80

-7

A07/03

NCAA

Florida State

#167

89-95

-6

A11/03

NCAA

Adams State

#411

115-86

115

+29

H03/11

NCAA

Radford

#369

84-70

+14

H05/11

NCAA

Houston

#135

86-68

+18

H09/11

NCAA

43-28

43-47

39-25

33-41

38-33

35-36

26-34

30-38

32-36

44-29

37-29

36-51

32-46

57-49

66-37

49-49

45-37

39-33

43-32

43-36

155.6Avg total

81.0Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	95.0	74.7	169.7	+20.3	100%
Season at home (3)	95.0	74.7	169.7	+20.3	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	81.0	74.6	155.6	+6.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	79.8	169.2	+9.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	71.6	79.6	151.2	-8.0	40%
vs Similar (13)	75.5	74.5	149.9	+1.0	54%
vs Weaker (11)	82.1	69.8	151.9	+12.3	91%

This opponent (USC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

USC

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ohio State

#104

82-89

-7

A11/02

NCAA

Illinois

#35

65-101

101

-36

H19/02

NCAA

Oregon

#293

70-71

-1

H21/02

NCAA

UCLA

#73

62-81

-19

A25/02

NCAA

Nebraska

#21

67-82

-15

H28/02

NCAA

Washington

#218

72-91

-19

A05/03

NCAA

UCLA

#73

68-89

-21

H08/03

NCAA

Washington

#218

79-83 OT

-4

A11/03

NCAA

Wisc. Milwaukee

#221

95-63

+32

H03/11

NCAA

Wichita State

#144

93-86

A09/11

NCAA

43-40

39-49

32-54

33-47

32-35

38-36

29-38

33-43

36-31

31-51

43-40

29-51

30-45

38-44

40-33

31-38

46-29

49-34

43-45

50-41

158.9Avg total

75.3Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	94.0	74.5	168.5	+19.5	100%
Season at home (1)	95.0	63.0	158.0	+32.0	100%
Season away (1)	93.0	86.0	179.0	+7.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	75.3	83.6	158.9	-8.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	82.4	163.8	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	69.5	81.1	150.6	-11.5	31%
vs Similar (10)	76.6	77.1	153.7	-0.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	90.1	71.1	161.3	+19.0	100%

This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 154.5Actual: Under 154.5

Over 154.5

60.2%

@ 1.41-5.5pp

Under 154.5

39.8%

@ 2.70+5.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.41

Under

Bet365

2.70

Over/Under 159.5 · main lineActual: Under 159.5

Over 159.5

48.1%

@ 1.92-1.4pp

Under 159.5

51.9%

@ 1.95+1.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.92

WilliamHill

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

1xBet

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.95

Marathon Be

1.88

Pinnacle

1.88

SBO

1.88

WilliamHill

1.85

Over/Under 164.5Actual: Under 164.5

Over 164.5

36.2%

@ 2.40-2.5pp

Under 164.5

63.8%

@ 1.52+2.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Under

Bet365

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

California total 73Actual: California under 73

Over 73

88.0%

Under 73

12.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

California total 77 · main lineActual: California under 77

Over 77

77.9%

@ 1.85+27.9pp

Under 77

22.1%

@ 1.85-27.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.85

Under

BetVictor

1.85

California total 81Actual: California under 81

Over 81

64.0%

Under 81

36.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

USC total 80Actual: USC under 80

Over 80

28.5%

Under 80

71.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

USC total 84 · main lineActual: USC under 84

Over 84

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under 84

no forecast

@ 1.85

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.86

BetVictor

1.85

Under

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.84

USC total 87.5Actual: USC under 87.5

Over 87.5

no forecast

@ 2.62

Under 87.5

no forecast

@ 1.55

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.62

Bet365

2.30

Under

Bet365

1.55

1xBet

1.44

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread California +5Actual: USC -5

CALI +5

90.0%

@ 2.40+50.9pp

USC -5

10.0%

@ 1.54-50.9pp

Best 5 market prices

CALI

Bet365

2.40

USC

Bet365

1.54

Spread California +8 · main lineActual: USC -8

CALI +8

93.7%

@ 1.94+44.1pp

USC -8

6.3%

@ 1.91-44.1pp

Best 5 market prices

CALI

Bet365

1.94

Pinnacle

1.94

Marathon Be

1.86

SBO

1.85

USC

Pinnacle

1.91

Marathon Be

1.86

SBO

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Spread California +11Actual: USC -11

CALI +11

96.1%

@ 1.55+36.4pp

USC -11

3.9%

@ 2.30-36.4pp

Best 5 market prices

CALI

Bet365

1.55

USC

Bet365

2.30

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

CaliforniaUSC

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boston College

#308

43-28

+15

A14/02

NCAA

Stanford

#103

39-25

+14

H21/02

NCAA

SMU Mustangs

#129

38-33

H26/02

NCAA

Pittsburgh

#282

26-34

-8

H28/02

NCAA

Georgia Tech

#309

32-36

-4

A05/03

NCAA

Wake Forest

#190

37-29

A07/03

NCAA

Florida State

#167

32-46

-14

A11/03

NCAA

Adams State

#411

66-37

+29

H03/11

NCAA

Radford

#369

45-37

H05/11

NCAA

Houston

#135

43-32

+11

H09/11

NCAA

73.8Avg total

40.1Scored

33.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76
Last 30 (30)	37.5	34.3	71.8	+3.2	53%	27%
Last 30 at home (20)	38.5	33.0	71.5	+5.4	60%	30%
Last 30 away (10)	35.5	36.8	72.3	-1.3	40%	20%
Last 10 (10)	40.1	33.7	73.8	+6.4	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	44.6	36.2	80.8	+8.4	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	37.0	40.8	77.8	-3.8	40%	40%
vs Similar (13)	34.8	33.5	68.3	+1.4	54%	23%
vs Weaker (11)	38.2	32.1	70.3	+6.1	55%	18%

This opponent (USC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ohio State

#104

43-40

A11/02

NCAA

Illinois

#35

32-54

-22

H19/02

NCAA

Oregon

#293

32-35

-3

H21/02

NCAA

UCLA

#73

29-38

-9

A25/02

NCAA

Nebraska

#21

36-31

H28/02

NCAA

Washington

#218

43-40

A05/03

NCAA

UCLA

#73

30-45

-15

H08/03

NCAA

Washington

#218

40-33

A11/03

NCAA

Wisc. Milwaukee

#221

46-29

+17

H03/11

NCAA

Wichita State

#144

43-45

-2

A09/11

NCAA

76.4Avg total

37.4Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76
Last 30 (30)	36.5	36.2	72.7	+0.3	50%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	34.6	71.7	+2.5	60%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	37.9	73.7	-2.0	40%	47%
Last 10 (10)	37.4	39.0	76.4	-1.6	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	40.4	38.4	78.8	+2.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	32.6	38.5	71.1	-5.8	38%	38%
vs Similar (10)	38.4	35.2	73.6	+3.2	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	41.0	33.6	74.6	+7.4	71%	14%

This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: USC win

CALI win

no forecast

@ 3.10

USC win

no forecast

@ 1.38

1st half Spread California +4.5 · main lineActual: USC -4.5

CALI +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

USC -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half Over/Under 76 · main lineActual: Under 76

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.93

California 1st half total 36 · main lineActual: California under 36

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.82

USC 1st half total 41 · main lineActual: USC under 41

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half: CALI + total 76.5

CALI & over

no forecast

@ 6.75

CALI & under

no forecast

@ 6.25

1st half: Draw + total 76.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: USC + total 76.5

USC & over

no forecast

@ 2.70

USC & under

no forecast

@ 2.50

1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Under 74.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.69

Under

no forecast

@ 2.17

1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Under 77.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.11

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Spread California +3.5Actual: USC -3.5

CALI +3.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

USC -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.71

1st half Spread California +5.5Actual: USC -5.5

CALI +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.78

USC -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.06

1st half Spread California +2.5Actual: USC -2.5

CALI +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.40

USC -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.52

1st half Spread California +6.5Actual: USC -6.5

CALI +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.66

USC -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Under 72.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.50

Under

no forecast

@ 2.62

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: USC (regulation)

CALI

no forecast

@ 3.25

Draw

no forecast

@ 21.00

USC

no forecast

@ 1.40

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	38.7	79.1	+1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	40.2	38.0	78.2	+2.2	45%	-
Last 30 away (10)	40.7	40.1	80.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	40.9	81.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	43.6	88.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	34.6	38.8	73.4	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.9	38.8	77.7	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.9	37.7	81.6	+6.2	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	40.6	80.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	40.7	81.5	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	40.5	79.1	-2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	43.4	80.5	-6.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	41.6	81.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.9	42.6	79.5	-5.7	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.7	40.1	76.8	-3.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	49.1	37.6	86.7	+11.6	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CALI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: USC leads at half

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: close (1-10 points)

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: blowout (21+ points)

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
California win	80.9%	3.74	WilliamHill 4.00	Pinnacle 3.92	Bet365 3.90	BetVictor 3.75	1xBet 3.72	+56.3pp	Lost
California +1	82.3%	3.45	Bet365 3.45	-	-	-	-	+55.4pp	Lost
California +2	84.7%	3.15	Bet365 3.15	-	-	-	-	+55.2pp	Lost
California -1.5	78.8%	3.90	Bet365 3.90	-	-	-	-	+55.0pp	Lost
California (regulation)	78.7%	3.68	Marathon Bet 3.74	1xBet 3.62	-	-	-	+53.8pp	Lost
California +1.5	82.6%	3.20	Bet365 3.20	-	-	-	-	+53.6pp	Lost
California +3	86.5%	2.80	Bet365 2.80	-	-	-	-	+53.4pp	Lost
California +2.5	85.1%	2.90	Bet365 2.90	-	-	-	-	+53.0pp	Lost
California +4	88.3%	2.60	Bet365 2.60	-	-	-	-	+52.4pp	Lost
California +3.5	86.8%	2.70	Bet365 2.70	-	-	-	-	+52.3pp	Lost
California +4.5	88.5%	2.50	Bet365 2.50	-	-	-	-	+50.9pp	Lost
California +5	90.0%	2.40	Bet365 2.40	-	-	-	-	+50.9pp	Lost
California +6	91.4%	2.27	Pinnacle 2.33	Bet365 2.20	-	-	-	+50.4pp	Lost
California +6.5	91.5%	2.11	Pinnacle 2.23	Bet365 2.12	1xBet 1.99	-	-	+48.6pp	Lost
California +7	92.6%	2.09	Pinnacle 2.13	Bet365 2.05	-	-	-	+47.7pp	Lost
California +5.5	90.1%	2.17	Bet365 2.25	1xBet 2.10	-	-	-	+47.5pp	Lost
California +7.5	92.7%	1.92	Pinnacle 2.03	Bet365 1.95	SBO 1.93	BetVictor 1.85	1xBet 1.83	+45.6pp	Lost
California +8	93.7%	1.90	Bet365 1.94	Pinnacle 1.94	Marathon Bet 1.86	SBO 1.85	-	+44.1pp	Lost
California +8.5	93.8%	1.82	Bet365 1.90	Pinnacle 1.84	Marathon Bet 1.81	SBO 1.81	BetVictor 1.80	+41.7pp	Lost
California +9	94.6%	1.75	Pinnacle 1.76	Marathon Bet 1.75	SBO 1.75	Bet365 1.74	-	+40.2pp	Lost
California +9.5	94.7%	1.72	SBO 1.81	Bet365 1.71	1xBet 1.70	Pinnacle 1.70	Marathon Bet 1.69	+38.3pp	Lost
USC under 80.5	72.4%	2.71	Bet365 2.80	1xBet 2.62	-	-	-	+38.2pp	Won
California +10	95.4%	1.65	Bet365 1.66	Pinnacle 1.65	-	-	-	+37.3pp	Lost
California +11	96.1%	1.55	Bet365 1.55	-	-	-	-	+36.4pp	Lost
California +10.5	95.5%	1.59	Bet365 1.60	Pinnacle 1.58	-	-	-	+35.0pp	Lost
California +11.5	96.2%	1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	-	+34.9pp	Lost
California +12	96.7%	1.47	Bet365 1.47	-	-	-	-	+33.3pp	Push
California over 78.5	72.4%	2.38	1xBet 2.38	-	-	-	-	+33.2pp	Lost
California over 75.5	81.4%	1.85	Pinnacle 1.93	Marathon Bet 1.84	BetVictor 1.83	WilliamHill 1.80	-	+32.3pp	Lost
California +12.5	96.7%	1.44	Bet365 1.44	-	-	-	-	+32.2pp	Won
California over 76.5	78.6%	1.90	Pinnacle 2.03	BetVictor 1.95	WilliamHill 1.91	Marathon Bet 1.87	Bet365 1.86	+32.2pp	Lost
California over 74.5	83.9%	1.64	Pinnacle 1.81	1xBet 1.57	Bet365 1.55	-	-	+31.9pp	Lost
California over 76	80.8%	1.86	Marathon Bet 1.87	BetVictor 1.85	-	-	-	+31.1pp	Lost
California +13	97.2%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+31.0pp	Won
California over 77.5	75.6%	1.97	Pinnacle 2.08	Bet365 1.86	-	-	-	+30.3pp	Lost
California +13.5	97.2%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+29.7pp	Won
California over 77	77.9%	1.85	BetVictor 1.85	-	-	-	-	+27.9pp	Lost
California +14	97.6%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+27.7pp	Won
California +14.5	97.7%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+27.2pp	Won
California +15	98.0%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+25.2pp	Won
California +15.5	98.0%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+24.6pp	Won
California over 73.5	86.2%	1.50	Bet365 1.50	1xBet 1.50	-	-	-	+23.7pp	Lost
California over 72.5	88.2%	1.44	1xBet 1.50	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	+23.5pp	Lost
California +16	98.3%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+23.0pp	Won
California +16.5	98.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+22.1pp	Won
California over 71.5	90.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+19.5pp	Lost
California over 70.5	91.7%	1.28	1xBet 1.30	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	+19.1pp	Lost
California +18.5	98.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+18.3pp	Won
California +23.5	99.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Overtime: no	96.4%	1.04	WilliamHill 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Under 169	73.8%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Under 169.5	74.3%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Under 171.5	78.0%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Under 181.5	91.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Under 176.5	85.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Under 168	71.8%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Under 167.5	70.3%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Under 175.5	84.4%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Under 180.5	90.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Under 168.5	72.4%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Under 170.5	76.2%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Over 135.5	92.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Over 136.5	91.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
California under 98.5	92.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Over 140.5	86.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Won
Over 141.5	85.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-3.4pp	Won
California under 96.5	88.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	-5.1pp	Won
Over 145.5	79.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-5.2pp	Lost
California under 94.5	84.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-6.1pp	Won
California under 95.5	86.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	-6.2pp	Won
Over 146.5	77.4%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-6.4pp	Lost
California under 93.5	81.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-9.3pp	Won
California under 92.5	79.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-10.3pp	Won
USC over 65.5	81.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	-11.8pp	Won
California under 91.5	76.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-13.6pp	Won
USC over 66.5	78.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	-14.6pp	Won
California under 90.5	72.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-14.7pp	Won
USC over 67.5	75.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-16.4pp	Won
USC over 68.5	71.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-19.3pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

California wins

USC wins

Date	Game	Score
18/11/24	USC v California	66-71
08/02/24	California v USC	83-77 OT
04/01/24	USC v California	82-74
17/02/23	USC v California	97-60
01/12/22	California v USC	51-66
30/01/22	USC v California	79-72
07/01/22	California v USC	63-77
24/01/21	California v USC	68-76
17/01/20	USC v California	88-56

Californialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/26	H	Houston	86-68
05/11/26	H	Radford	84-70
03/11/26	H	Adams State	115-86
11/03/26	A	Florida State	89-95
07/03/26	A	Wake Forest	73-80
05/03/26	A	Georgia Tech	76-65
28/02/26	H	Pittsburgh	56-72
26/02/26	H	SMU Mustangs	73-69
21/02/26	H	Stanford	72-66
14/02/26	A	Boston College	86-75

USClast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/26	A	Wichita State	93-86
03/11/26	H	Wisc. Milwaukee	95-63
11/03/26	A	Washington	79-83 OT
08/03/26	H	UCLA	68-89
05/03/26	A	Washington	72-91
28/02/26	H	Nebraska	67-82
25/02/26	A	UCLA	62-81
21/02/26	H	Oregon	70-71
19/02/26	H	Illinois	65-101
11/02/26	A	Ohio State	82-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California

NCAA 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	3	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	95.0	95.0	-
Allowed / game	74.7	74.7	-
Point differential	+20.3	+20.3	-
Avg total	169.7	169.7	-
Over 159.5	33%	33%	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

USC

NCAA 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	94.0	95.0	93.0
Allowed / game	74.5	63.0	86.0
Point differential	+19.5	+32.0	+7.0
Avg total	168.5	158.0	179.0
Over 159.5	50%	0%	100%
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Louisville	2	2	0	100%	95.5	63.5	+32.0
2	Virginia	4	4	0	100%	93.0	66.2	+26.8
3	SMU Mustangs	3	3	0	100%	92.7	68.3	+24.3
4	Boston College	3	3	0	100%	76.3	53.0	+23.3
5	Notre Dame	4	4	0	100%	87.5	64.2	+23.2
6	Virginia Tech	3	3	0	100%	92.3	69.7	+22.7
7	NC State	3	3	0	100%	84.7	62.3	+22.3
8	Pittsburgh	3	3	0	100%	85.7	64.7	+21.0
9	California	3	3	0	100%	95.0	74.7	+20.3
10	North Carolina	3	3	0	100%	88.3	68.3	+20.0
11	Georgia Tech	3	3	0	100%	85.0	69.7	+15.3
12	Stanford	3	3	0	100%	82.0	67.0	+15.0
13	Clemson	3	3	0	100%	86.3	74.0	+12.3
14	Duke	3	2	1	67%	90.0	60.3	+29.7
15	Syracuse	3	2	1	67%	85.3	63.3	+22.0
16	Miami (FL)	3	2	1	67%	79.7	61.7	+18.0
17	Wake Forest	3	2	1	67%	72.0	66.7	+5.3
18	Florida State	3	1	2	33%	77.3	87.0	-9.7

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Big Ten conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	UCLA	3	3	0	100%	101.3	58.3	+43.0
2	Rutgers	2	2	0	100%	91.0	59.0	+32.0
3	Nebraska	3	3	0	100%	89.0	60.7	+28.3
4	Oregon	3	3	0	100%	95.0	68.7	+26.3
5	Michigan State	3	3	0	100%	88.7	64.3	+24.3
6	Wisconsin	3	3	0	100%	79.0	58.0	+21.0
7	Indiana	3	3	0	100%	88.7	68.7	+20.0
8	USC	2	2	0	100%	94.0	74.5	+19.5
9	Northwestern	3	3	0	100%	78.7	60.0	+18.7
10	Minnesota	3	3	0	100%	74.7	57.7	+17.0
11	Washington	2	2	0	100%	83.5	70.0	+13.5
12	Illinois	3	2	1	67%	103.3	66.3	+37.0
13	Iowa	3	2	1	67%	85.0	64.7	+20.3
14	Ohio State	3	2	1	67%	85.3	77.7	+7.7
15	Michigan	3	2	1	67%	81.7	74.3	+7.3
16	Purdue	3	2	1	67%	78.0	71.3	+6.7
17	Maryland	2	1	1	50%	85.0	76.5	+8.5
18	Penn State	4	2	2	50%	79.0	80.2	-1.2