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Virginia vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-67
29-39 41-28
Position#230
Record7-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game61.6
Allowed / game60.3
vs
Position#293
Record8-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Virginia v NC State
12 Mar 2026
VIRG81
NC S74
24 Feb 2026
VIRG90
NC S61
31 Dec 2024
VIRG70
NC S67
15 Mar 2024
VIRG65
NC S73
24 Jan 2024
VIRG59
NC S53
07 Feb 2023
VIRG63
NC S50
24 Feb 2021
VIRG61
NC S68
20 Jan 2020
VIRG51
NC S53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#138
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A15/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
42-64
42
64
-22
A22/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
55-80
55
80
-25
H23/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#284
W
67-41
67
41
+26
H29/11
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A05/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A07/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H13/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H19/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-26
39-34
21-22
21-42
26-39
29-41
38-31
36-34
34-21
33-20
35-39
34-48
28-30
23-33
18-21
41-20
30-21
32-43
32-28
31-30
123.5Avg total
61.2Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)61.660.3121.9+1.258%
Season at home (8)63.456.2119.6+7.175%
Season away (4)58.068.5126.5-10.525%
Last 10 (10)61.262.3123.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)60.862.6123.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)55.065.8120.8-10.825%
vs Similar ◀ (13)64.459.2123.6+5.285%
vs Weaker (5)68.654.6123.2+14.0100%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H14/11
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H19/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H23/11
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A29/11
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H05/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
84-74 OT
84
74
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A14/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
47-37
40-22
32-27
43-24
38-34
32-33
29-38
27-38
34-34
31-33
28-30
35-33
35-37
35-28
31-28
30-38
30-37
52-23
37-40
136.6Avg total
71.5Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.465.8140.2+8.767%
Season at home (10)77.264.2141.4+13.080%
Season away (2)60.573.5134.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)71.565.1136.6+6.460%
Last 5 (5)71.666.2137.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.770.9138.6-3.238%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.871.4151.2+8.577%
vs Weaker (4)86.567.5154.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: -0.1-0.1
VirginiaNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#138
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A15/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
21-22
21
22
-1
A22/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H23/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H27/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#284
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H29/11
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A05/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
18-21
18
21
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H19/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H22/12
NCAA
57.1Avg total
29.3Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.726.354.9+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (19)28.524.953.5+3.658%-
Last 30 away (11)28.928.557.5+0.455%-
Last 10 (10)29.327.857.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)28.627.856.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)25.529.454.9-3.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)28.625.454.0+3.269%-
vs Weaker (5)36.421.057.4+15.4100%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H14/11
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H19/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H23/11
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A29/11
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H07/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A14/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H22/12
NCAA
66.5Avg total
36.0Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.233.469.6+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.432.370.7+6.167%-
Last 30 away (15)34.034.668.6-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)36.030.566.5+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.067.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.533.866.4-1.331%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.033.270.2+3.877%-
vs Weaker (4)45.533.078.5+12.575%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virginia wins
5
NC State wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Virginia v NC State65-73 OT
25/01/24Virginia v NC State59-53 OT
06/01/24NC State v Virginia76-60
08/02/23Virginia v NC State63-50
22/01/22NC State v Virginia77-63
24/02/21Virginia v NC State61-68
04/02/21NC State v Virginia57-64
21/01/20Virginia v NC State51-53
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HAmerican University63-58
19/12/24HMemphis62-64
13/12/24HBethune-Cookman59-41
07/12/24ASMU Mustangs51-63
05/12/24AFlorida69-87
29/11/24HHoly Cross67-41
27/11/24HManhattan74-65
23/11/24HSt. John's (N.Y.)55-80
22/11/24ATennessee42-64
15/11/24AVillanova70-60
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HRider89-63
14/12/24AKansas60-75
11/12/24HCoppin State66-56
07/12/24HFlorida State84-74 OT
05/12/24HTexas59-63
29/11/24ABrigham Young61-72
28/11/24HPurdue61-71
23/11/24HWilliam & Mary81-58
19/11/24HColgate72-49
14/11/24HCoastal Carolina82-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%75%25%
Points / game61.663.458.0
Allowed / game60.356.268.5
Point differential+1.2+7.1-10.5
Avg total121.9119.6126.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
NC State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLLWWW80%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %67%80%0%
Points / game74.477.260.5
Allowed / game65.864.273.5
Point differential+8.7+13.0-13.0
Avg total140.2141.4134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%70%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 SMU Mustangs1311285%87.270.8+16.4
2 Duke1210283%78.958.5+20.4
3 Pittsburgh1210283%84.067.9+16.1
4 Clemson1310377%77.966.5+11.5
5 Stanford129375%78.169.9+8.2
6 Florida State139469%78.269.2+9.1
7 Wake Forest139469%67.564.9+2.6
8 NC State128467%74.465.8+8.7
9 North Carolina138562%86.579.4+7.2
10 Louisville138562%78.071.7+6.3
11 Boston College138562%71.371.7-0.4
12 Notre Dame127558%75.869.3+6.5
13 California127558%78.975.8+3.1
14 Virginia127558%61.660.3+1.2
15 Syracuse126650%77.378.8-1.4
16 Georgia Tech136746%76.173.1+3.0
17 Virginia Tech125742%70.471.3-0.9
18 Miami (FL)124833%78.774.0+4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia294170
NC State392867
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