Campbell hosts USC Upstate on 14 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Campbell the clear favourite, rating them 91% to win largely because of their dominant 0-3 record and the fact that they have outscored opponents 62.7-79.3 per game, while USC Upstate sits at 1-3, 75.0-68.8 per game; Campbell's recent five games show one win and four losses, yet their last three outings were all away defeats, whereas USC Upstate's five-game span also includes one win and four losses, with a 104-49 home victory over Bob Jones but recent road losses to Coastal Carolina and South Carolina St. In their six meetings, Campbell has won five times, most recently 78-66 on 1 February 2023. Pythia projects a 82-67 score, with Campbell winning 91% of the time and USC Upstate 9%; the projected total is 148.5 points, and the home team line is -8.5 with a 72% chance of covering, while the over line of 147.0 has a 53% probability; the overtime probability is 2%. Campbell's last game was a 53-68 loss to East Tennessee St. on 11 November 2026.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Campbell winWon
90.6%fair 1.10
Best odds1.23
Implied78.3%
Edge+12.2pp
USC Upstate winLost
9.4%fair 10.59
Best odds4.75
Implied21.7%
Edge-12.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 22:25 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Campbell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 139Actual: Over 139
Over 139
72.3%
@ 1.50+9.8pp
Under 139
27.7%
@ 2.50-9.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 144 · main lineActual: Over 144
Over 144
60.8%
@ 1.95+10.3pp
Under 144
39.2%
@ 1.92-10.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Over/Under 149Actual: Over 149
Over 149
48.3%
@ 2.65+13.3pp
Under 149
51.7%
@ 1.69-13.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.65
Under
Marathon Be
1.69
Bet365
1.43
📊 3. Team Totals
Campbell total 74Actual: Campbell over 74
Over 74
79.3%
Under 74
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Campbell total 78 · main lineActual: Campbell over 78
Over 78
65.6%
@ 1.85+15.3pp
Under 78
34.4%
@ 1.86-15.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Campbell total 82Actual: Campbell over 82
Over 82
49.2%
Under 82
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
USC Upstate total 65Actual: USC Upstate over 65
Over 65
56.4%
Under 65
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
USC Upstate total 69 · main lineActual: USC Upstate over 69
Over 69
40.0%
@ 1.87-9.5pp
Under 69
60.0%
@ 1.85+9.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
USC Upstate total 73Actual: USC Upstate over 73
Over 73
25.4%
Under 73
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Campbell -12.5Actual: Campbell -12.5
CAMP -12.5
59.2%
@ 2.40+19.2pp
USC +12.5
40.8%
@ 1.57-19.2pp
Best 5 market prices
CAMP
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.25
USC
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.52
Spread Campbell -9.5 · main lineActual: Campbell -9.5
CAMP -9.5
69.2%
@ 1.94+19.9pp
USC +9.5
30.8%
@ 2.00-19.9pp
Best 5 market prices
CAMP
Pinnacle
1.94
SBO
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.85
USC
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.86
Spread Campbell -6.5Actual: Campbell -6.5
CAMP -6.5
78.1%
@ 1.58+17.5pp
USC +6.5
21.9%
@ 2.43-17.5pp
Best 5 market prices
CAMP
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.52
USC
Pinnacle
2.43
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.35
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
CampbellUSC Upstate
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Campbell over 73.5
79.9%
1.57
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.45
-
-
-
+24.6pp
Won
Campbell over 76
72.9%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+22.9pp
Won
Campbell over 74.5
77.0%
1.65
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.55
-
-
-
+22.8pp
Won
Campbell over 75.5
73.8%
1.79
BetVictor
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.70
-
+22.1pp
Won
Campbell over 76.5
70.5%
1.86
Pinnacle
1.92
BetVictor
1.91
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
+21.4pp
Won
Campbell -9
71.4%
1.84
SBO
1.88
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Bet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
+19.6pp
Won
Campbell -8
74.5%
1.71
SBO
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.69
Bet365
1.66
+18.0pp
Won
Campbell -8.5
72.3%
1.76
SBO
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathon Bet
1.75
Betano
1.75
+17.9pp
Won
Campbell -6
80.2%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+17.7pp
Won
Campbell -6.5
78.1%
1.55
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.52
-
-
+17.5pp
Won
Campbell over 72.5
82.6%
1.38
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
-
+17.1pp
Won
Campbell -7
77.5%
1.58
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
+17.1pp
Won
Campbell -7.5
75.3%
1.64
Marathon Bet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
-
+16.8pp
Won
Campbell -5
82.7%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+16.7pp
Won
Campbell -5.5
80.7%
1.44
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
+16.7pp
Won
Campbell over 71.5
85.1%
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
-
+16.6pp
Won
Campbell -4.5
83.2%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
+16.2pp
Won
Campbell (regulation)
89.2%
1.23
1xBet
1.24
Marathon Bet
1.23
Betano
1.22
-
-
+15.8pp
Won
Campbell -4
85.1%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+15.6pp
Won
Campbell +1.5
91.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+15.4pp
Won
Campbell -3.5
85.4%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
+15.3pp
Won
Campbell -1.5
89.3%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+14.8pp
Won
Campbell -1
90.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+14.7pp
Won
Campbell -3
87.0%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
+14.6pp
Won
Campbell -2.5
87.2%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
Betano
1.27
-
-
-
+14.3pp
Won
Campbell -2
89.1%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+13.8pp
Won
Campbell over 69.5
89.2%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+13.1pp
Won
Campbell win
90.6%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathon Bet
1.22
WilliamHill
1.22
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
+12.2pp
Won
Campbell over 70.5
87.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
Over 140
70.2%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+10.4pp
Won
Over 139.5
70.8%
1.52
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+10.2pp
Won
Over 139
72.3%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
Over 138.5
72.9%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Won
Over 137.5
74.9%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+9.4pp
Won
Campbell +6.5
96.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+9.1pp
Won
USC Upstate under 74.5
78.3%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+9.1pp
Lost
Over 137
76.4%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+8.9pp
Won
Over 136.5
76.8%
1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+8.7pp
Won
Over 138
74.4%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+8.7pp
Won
Over 136
78.3%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
Campbell +4.5
94.7%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
Over 135.5
78.7%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Won
Campbell +11.5
98.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Campbell +9.5
97.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Won
USC Upstate under 73.5
75.4%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Lost
Overtime: no
97.9%
1.02
WilliamHill
1.03
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Won
Over 133.5
82.1%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
USC Upstate under 78.5
87.8%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Won
USC Upstate under 72.5
72.2%
1.33
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Lost
Over 123.5
93.9%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Over 128.5
89.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
USC Upstate over 51.5
93.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
USC Upstate over 52.5
92.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
USC Upstate over 53.5
90.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Campbell under 97.5
94.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
USC Upstate over 54.5
88.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Won
USC Upstate under 76.5
83.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Lost
USC Upstate over 55.5
86.5%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
USC Upstate over 59.5
76.0%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Won
USC Upstate over 56.5
84.3%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Won
USC Upstate over 57.5
81.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-2.1pp
Won
USC Upstate over 58.5
79.0%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Won
USC Upstate over 60.5
72.7%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
Under 168.5
89.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Lost
Under 163.5
82.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-7.0pp
Lost
Campbell under 87.5
71.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-9.6pp
Lost
Under 158.5
73.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-11.0pp
Lost
USC Upstate +23.5
77.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-11.1pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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