Canberra vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Jul 2016

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 69-86

8-29 22-14 14-24 25-19

Position#8

Record9-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game83.0

Canberra

Southern Sabres 🏆

Position#11

Record7-9

FormLWLWW

Points / game79.6

Allowed / game85.3

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Canberra v Southern Sabres

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Southern Sabres winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

59-97

-38

H30/04

SEABL

Nunawading

76-88

-12

H07/05

SEABL

Bendigo

81-76

A14/05

SEABL

Dandenong

84-96

-12

A15/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

75-91

-16

A20/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

84-79

A21/05

SEABL

Dandenong

97-93

H28/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

86-76

+10

H04/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

82-77 OT

H18/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

88-87

H01/07

SEABL

14-23

13-28

21-23

11-23

25-21

17-23

16-20

18-24

21-17

15-16

20-25

25-18

26-18

18-23

19-29

21-26

24-22

21-20

10-28

20-21

20-22

27-22

26-15

11-20

23-17

27-21

24-26

23-29

25-18

15-28

25-15

21-15

15-17

19-16

24-16

6-15

17-17

20-18

30-29

21-23

167.2Avg total

81.2Scored

86.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	80.6	83.0	163.6	-2.4	56%
Season at home (8)	83.2	87.1	170.4	-3.9	62%
Season away (8)	77.9	78.9	156.8	-1.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	86.0	167.2	-4.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	82.4	169.8	+5.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	78.9	85.9	164.8	-7.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	79.0	73.0	152.0	+6.0	100%
vs Weaker (3)	73.7	68.0	141.7	+5.7	67%

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Spartans

71-114

114

-43

H30/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

91-77

+14

A08/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

77-109

109

-32

H15/05

SEABL

Geelong

80-87

-7

A27/05

SEABL

Albury

74-95

-21

H28/05

SEABL

Albury

73-82

-9

A04/06

SEABL

Geelong

89-76

+13

H19/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

69-73

-4

H25/06

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

100-93

100

H01/07

SEABL

Frankston

#14

79-72

A02/07

SEABL

21-22

16-30

18-40

16-22

25-17

16-16

22-21

28-23

26-34

15-23

20-28

16-24

18-27

23-19

19-15

20-26

20-18

25-27

12-31

17-19

25-15

15-22

13-28

20-17

19-21

22-22

23-21

25-12

20-13

14-22

21-10

14-28

22-22

25-19

34-22

19-30

15-20

18-13

21-23

25-16

168.1Avg total

80.3Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	79.6	85.3	164.9	-5.7	44%
Season at home (8)	82.4	90.4	172.8	-8.0	38%
Season away (8)	76.9	80.2	157.1	-3.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	87.8	168.1	-7.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	79.2	161.2	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	80.9	91.0	171.9	-10.1	27%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	79.3	78.7	158.0	+0.6	40%
vs Weaker (5)	83.2	78.0	161.2	+5.2	60%

This opponent (Canberra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CanberraSouthern Sabres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-1.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	19.8	22.1	41.8	-2.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	14.7	18.0	32.7	-3.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	17.3	37.7	+3.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.8	43.2	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.5	44.5	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.8	23.2	44.0	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.6	22.2	47.8	+3.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.4	38.9	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.3	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	23.3	19.0	42.3	+4.3	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	15.3	19.7	35.0	-4.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	22.7	44.5	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	19.1	36.1	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.0	23.7	44.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	14.4	16.2	30.6	-1.8	20%	-

CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

27-51

-24

H30/04

SEABL

Nunawading

42-44

-2

H07/05

SEABL

Bendigo

36-33

A14/05

SEABL

Dandenong

44-41

A15/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

45-42

A20/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

47-44

A21/05

SEABL

Dandenong

50-38

+12

H28/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

40-46

-6

H04/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

34-33

H18/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

37-35

H01/07

SEABL

80.9Avg total

40.2Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	41.6	79.4	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	41.7	78.6	-4.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	41.5	80.3	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	40.7	80.9	-0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	39.2	80.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	38.1	42.8	80.8	-4.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	35.7	37.0	72.7	-1.3	33%	-

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Spartans

37-52

-15

H30/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

41-33

A08/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

41-57

-16

H15/05

SEABL

Geelong

41-46

-5

A27/05

SEABL

Albury

45-45

H28/05

SEABL

Albury

40-37

A04/06

SEABL

Geelong

41-43

-2

H19/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

34-35

-1

H25/06

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

47-41

H01/07

SEABL

Frankston

#14

33-33

A02/07

SEABL

82.2Avg total

40.0Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	42.7	83.5	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	43.9	86.3	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	41.5	80.7	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	42.2	82.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	37.8	76.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	41.8	46.9	88.7	-5.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.5	38.7	78.2	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.0	38.4	78.4	+1.6	60%	-

This opponent (Canberra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.4	39.7	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	19.3	42.1	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	22.6	44.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	20.2	46.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	22.0	14.3	36.3	+7.7	100%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	15.0	36.0	+6.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.6	42.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	21.5	43.8	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.7	40.7	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	23.9	44.2	-3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.2	23.4	43.6	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	21.8	41.5	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.4	36.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	13.0	17.3	30.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	16.0	33.0	+1.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.7	41.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.2	18.4	41.6	+4.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	40.4	79.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	39.4	81.1	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	41.4	78.7	-4.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	44.0	83.2	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	40.6	82.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	40.3	42.7	83.0	-2.4	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	35.0	31.7	66.7	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.0	31.0	69.0	+7.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	41.7	81.5	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	42.5	83.7	-1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	40.9	79.4	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	45.6	85.9	-5.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	41.4	84.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.8	43.5	82.3	-4.7	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.8	40.0	79.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.2	39.6	82.8	+3.6	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Canberra wins

Southern Sabres wins

Date	Game	Score
10/07/15	Canberra v Southern Sabres	92-83
10/05/15	Southern Sabres v Canberra	85-88 OT

Canberralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/07/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	88-87
18/06/16	H	Kilsyth	82-77 OT
04/06/16	H	Melbourne Tigers	86-76
28/05/16	H	Dandenong	97-93
21/05/16	A	NW Tasmania	84-79
20/05/16	A	Hobart Chargers	75-91
15/05/16	A	Dandenong	84-96
14/05/16	A	Bendigo	81-76
07/05/16	H	Nunawading	76-88
30/04/16	H	Bendigo	59-97

Southern Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/07/16	A	Frankston	79-72
01/07/16	H	Ballarat	100-93
25/06/16	H	Kilsyth	69-73
19/06/16	H	Geelong	89-76
04/06/16	A	Albury	73-82
28/05/16	H	Albury	74-95
27/05/16	A	Geelong	80-87
15/05/16	H	Mt Gambier	77-109
08/05/16	A	BA CoE	91-77
30/04/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	71-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra

SEABL 2016

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	56%
Home	LWWWW	62%
Away	WWLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	56%	62%	50%
Points / game	80.6	83.2	77.9
Allowed / game	83.0	87.1	78.9
Point differential	-2.4	-3.9	-1.0
Avg total	163.6	170.4	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	12%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	80% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Southern Sabres

SEABL 2016

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	44%
Home	LLWLW	38%
Away	WWLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	44%	38%	50%
Points / game	79.6	82.4	76.9
Allowed / game	85.3	90.4	80.2
Point differential	-5.7	-8.0	-3.4
Avg total	164.9	172.8	157.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	25%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	0% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo	18	15	3	83%	85.8	72.3	+13.5
2	Hobart Chargers	18	14	4	78%	87.0	75.0	+12.0
3	Mt Gambier	18	12	6	67%	89.6	77.5	+12.1
4	Brisbane Spartans	17	10	7	59%	86.2	82.8	+3.4
5	Canberra	16	9	7	56%	80.6	83.0	-2.4
6	Geelong	18	10	8	56%	84.6	81.3	+3.3
7	NW Tasmania	17	9	8	53%	84.4	87.6	-3.2
8	Ballarat	16	8	8	50%	90.7	90.5	+0.2
9	Dandenong	16	8	8	50%	86.2	86.5	-0.2
10	Albury	18	8	10	44%	86.6	85.8	+0.8
11	Nunawading	16	7	9	44%	86.1	83.8	+2.3
12	Southern Sabres	16	7	9	44%	79.6	85.3	-5.7
13	Kilsyth	17	7	10	41%	73.9	80.9	-7.0
14	Frankston	17	5	12	29%	74.7	82.5	-7.8
15	Melbourne Tigers	17	2	15	12%	69.6	84.3	-14.6
16	BA CoE	9	1	8	11%	71.9	89.3	-17.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Canberra	8	22	14	25	69
Southern Sabres	29	14	24	19	86

← all games of the day

Canberra vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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