Geelong vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 May 2016

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 87-80

27-18 19-23 15-19 26-20

Position#4

Record7-3

FormLWWWW

Points / game86.7

Allowed / game79.2

Geelong 🏆

Southern Sabres

Position#11

Record4-5

FormWWLWL

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game87.4

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Geelong v Southern Sabres

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Southern Sabres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Spartans

73-55

+18

H01/04

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

87-60

+27

H08/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

90-73

+17

A16/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

74-97

-23

H22/04

SEABL

Canberra

74-78

-4

A24/04

SEABL

Dandenong

85-87

-2

A30/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

96-88

A01/05

SEABL

Albury

97-94

A07/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

97-87

+10

H14/05

SEABL

Albury

94-73

+21

H21/05

SEABL

15-8

21-14

15-22

22-11

27-16

17-19

17-16

26-9

17-13

25-29

24-22

24-9

21-20

14-22

23-25

16-30

25-22

21-14

13-27

15-15

19-14

31-33

19-23

16-17

27-12

20-27

21-21

28-28

30-19

30-25

21-26

16-24

19-27

26-14

30-16

22-30

23-14

20-19

30-19

21-21

165.9Avg total

86.7Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	86.7	79.2	165.9	+7.5	70%
Season at home (5)	85.0	74.4	159.4	+10.6	80%
Season away (5)	88.4	84.0	172.4	+4.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	86.7	79.2	165.9	+7.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	93.8	85.8	179.6	+8.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.0	86.3	158.3	-14.3	33%
vs Similar (10)	83.6	82.6	166.2	+1.0	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	87.1	77.5	164.6	+9.5	82%

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

74-77

-3

H16/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

53-81

-28

A01/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

73-83

-10

A02/04

SEABL

Nunawading

88-94 OT

-6

H08/04

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

90-87

A16/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

91-69

+22

H17/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

76-73

A24/04

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

71-114

114

-43

H30/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

91-77

+14

A08/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

77-109

109

-32

H15/05

SEABL

21-23

23-12

19-16

11-26

10-20

15-23

17-25

11-13

25-20

13-22

21-21

14-20

18-25

20-19

31-18

15-22

24-27

30-18

16-25

20-17

17-13

24-25

32-21

18-10

31-27

12-16

20-16

13-14

21-22

16-30

18-40

16-22

25-17

16-16

22-21

28-23

26-34

15-23

20-28

16-24

164.8Avg total

78.4Scored

86.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	78.9	87.4	166.3	-8.6	44%
Season at home (4)	81.8	96.5	178.2	-14.8	25%
Season away (5)	76.6	80.2	156.8	-3.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	86.4	164.8	-8.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	88.4	169.6	-7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	80.0	94.1	174.1	-14.1	17%
vs Similar (12)	82.4	81.2	163.6	+1.2	42%
vs Weaker (6)	83.5	79.7	163.2	+3.8	50%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongSouthern Sabres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.7	41.4	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.0	39.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	20.4	42.9	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	16.5	38.8	+5.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	17.2	40.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	21.3	39.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.2	18.8	40.9	+3.4	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.3	44.8	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	22.1	43.5	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	22.5	46.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.6	46.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.4	25.2	46.6	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.3	19.3	41.7	+3.0	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.3	22.3	47.7	+3.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.0	41.4	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.6	44.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	23.6	49.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.1	19.9	43.1	+3.2	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	19.3	36.4	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.0	38.6	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.0	24.4	44.4	-4.4	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	15.0	15.8	30.8	-0.8	33%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Spartans

36-22

+14

H01/04

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

44-35

H08/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

42-42

A16/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

35-42

-7

H22/04

SEABL

Canberra

46-36

+10

A24/04

SEABL

Dandenong

50-47

A30/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

47-39

A01/05

SEABL

Albury

60-44

+16

A07/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

45-41

H14/05

SEABL

Albury

43-33

+10

H21/05

SEABL

82.9Avg total

44.8Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	39.7	82.8	+3.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	37.7	79.5	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.5	41.6	86.1	+2.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	38.1	82.9	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	40.8	89.8	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.0	43.3	77.3	-9.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.3	40.2	82.5	+2.1	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	45.3	38.7	84.0	+6.6	82%	-

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

44-35

H16/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

25-43

-18

A01/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

38-42

-4

A02/04

SEABL

Nunawading

38-44

-6

H08/04

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

54-45

A16/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

41-38

H17/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

43-43

A24/04

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

37-52

-15

H30/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

41-33

A08/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

41-57

-16

H15/05

SEABL

83.4Avg total

40.2Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	43.1	84.6	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	44.4	86.7	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	41.8	82.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	43.2	83.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	44.6	85.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	41.4	49.6	91.0	-8.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	42.2	39.1	81.3	+3.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.3	38.2	78.5	+2.2	67%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.1	40.1	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.0	45.2	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	21.7	43.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.1	19.9	38.9	-0.8	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.6	42.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.1	44.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	25.2	47.6	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	42%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	19.3	39.6	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.0	44.6	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	21.3	37.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.1	18.5	40.6	+3.6	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	21.8	39.7	-3.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	19.1	35.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	18.5	40.7	+3.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	39.6	80.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	38.6	81.1	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	40.5	79.5	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	41.1	83.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	45.0	89.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.0	43.0	81.0	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.7	40.6	81.3	+0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.2	38.4	79.5	+2.8	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	41.7	80.8	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	42.4	82.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	40.9	79.6	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	42.2	80.0	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	43.8	84.4	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.2	43.7	81.9	-5.4	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.8	40.8	79.6	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.7	39.5	81.2	+2.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

Southern Sabres wins

Date	Game	Score
16/05/15	Southern Sabres v Geelong	88-93

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/05/16	H	Albury	94-73
14/05/16	H	Hobart Chargers	97-87
07/05/16	A	Albury	97-94
01/05/16	A	Melbourne Tigers	96-88
30/04/16	A	Dandenong	85-87
24/04/16	A	Canberra	74-78
22/04/16	H	Mt Gambier	74-97
16/04/16	A	Frankston	90-73
08/04/16	H	Kilsyth	87-60
01/04/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	73-55

Southern Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/16	H	Mt Gambier	77-109
08/05/16	A	BA CoE	91-77
30/04/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	71-114
24/04/16	A	Melbourne Tigers	76-73
17/04/16	H	Frankston	91-69
16/04/16	A	Ballarat	90-87
08/04/16	H	Nunawading	88-94 OT
02/04/16	A	NW Tasmania	73-83
01/04/16	A	Hobart Chargers	53-81
16/08/15	H	Dandenong	74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

SEABL 2016

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	70%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	WLLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	70%	80%	60%
Points / game	86.7	85.0	88.4
Allowed / game	79.2	74.4	84.0
Point differential	+7.5	+10.6	+4.4
Avg total	165.9	159.4	172.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	80%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Southern Sabres

SEABL 2016

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	44%
Home	LWLL	25%
Away	LLWWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	44%	25%	60%
Points / game	78.9	81.8	76.6
Allowed / game	87.4	96.5	80.2
Point differential	-8.6	-14.8	-3.6
Avg total	166.3	178.2	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	25%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	11%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hobart Chargers	10	8	2	80%	87.8	74.1	+13.7
2	Bendigo	11	8	3	73%	85.3	70.7	+14.5
3	Brisbane Spartans	11	8	3	73%	86.5	80.2	+6.3
4	Mt Gambier	10	7	3	70%	90.3	79.3	+11.0
5	Geelong	10	7	3	70%	86.7	79.2	+7.5
6	NW Tasmania	10	6	4	60%	86.6	85.4	+1.2
7	Ballarat	9	5	4	56%	91.3	90.3	+1.0
8	Nunawading	12	6	6	50%	88.1	83.8	+4.3
9	Kilsyth	10	5	5	50%	73.8	79.5	-5.7
10	Albury	11	5	6	45%	88.1	86.1	+2.0
11	Dandenong	11	5	6	45%	84.6	85.3	-0.6
12	Southern Sabres	9	4	5	44%	78.9	87.4	-8.6
13	Canberra	12	5	7	42%	78.0	82.9	-4.9
14	Frankston	10	2	8	20%	72.6	83.6	-11.0
15	Melbourne Tigers	11	1	10	9%	67.2	84.2	-17.0
16	BA CoE	7	0	7	0%	72.0	93.3	-21.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	27	19	15	26	87
Southern Sabres	18	23	19	20	80

← all games of the day

Geelong vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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