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Cantu vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 82-83
28-24 18-17 13-12 23-30
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game83.0
Cantu
Italy
vs
Caserta 🏆
Italy
Position#13
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.3
ItalyLega ARound 7
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Cantu v Caserta
13 Nov 2016
KAN82
KAS83
13 Mar 2016
KAN92
KAS69
15 Mar 2015
KAN83
KAS72
08 Dec 2013
KAN84
KAS82
01 Apr 2013
KAN65
KAS66
20 Nov 2011
KAN86
KAS75
19 Mar 2011
KAN87
KAS76
03 Apr 2010
KAN81
KAS72
01 Feb 2009
KAN99
KAS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
A10/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
89-73
89
73
+16
no box
H17/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
L
90-96
90
96
-6
no box
A24/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
92-99
92
99
-7
122avg 101
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
56-76
56
76
-20
85avg 101
A09/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
77-68
77
68
+9
105avg 101
H16/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
90-69
90
69
+21
122avg 101
H23/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
53-96
53
96
-43
70avg 101
A30/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
103avg 101
A06/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
11-19
14-24
27-26
18-10
25-11
11-18
35-34
25-26
22-24
22-22
21-24
21-23
18-16
29-14
21-26
27-20
22-25
21-24
22-30
17-21
17-23
14-15
8-17
23-25
18-15
20-10
16-18
30-25
21-24
21-10
18-10
17-25
14-23
13-21
9-27
19-27
19-28
17-27
22-8
161.3Avg total
78.8Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.283.0157.2-8.833%
Season at home (3)86.378.7165.0+7.767%
Season away (3)62.087.3149.3-25.30%
Last 10 (10)78.882.5161.3-3.740%
Last 5 (5)70.679.8150.4-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.284.8169.0-0.733%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.380.8158.1-3.535%
vs Weaker (7)81.774.4156.1+7.357%
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H10/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
H17/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
55-73
55
73
-18
no box
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
78-75
78
75
+3
105avg 107
H02/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
74-93
74
93
-19
103avg 107
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
119avg 107
A16/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
74-65
74
65
+9
98avg 107
H24/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
107avg 107
A30/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
108avg 107
H06/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
17-23
23-21
21-20
20-26
17-25
24-7
26-34
13-19
11-9
15-17
16-28
20-15
11-19
21-10
21-26
18-14
22-23
20-26
18-12
23-20
12-23
19-27
20-23
13-19
19-25
32-14
31-24
22-13
19-18
13-19
20-15
12-28
24-27
25-20
19-25
23-17
18-19
22-13
21-18
158.6Avg total
78.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.880.3161.2+0.567%
Season at home (3)78.769.0147.7+9.7100%
Season away (3)83.091.7174.7-8.733%
Last 10 (10)78.280.4158.6-2.250%
Last 5 (5)81.481.4162.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.380.9155.2-6.621%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.876.3151.1-1.556%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
CantuCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A10/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H17/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A24/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A09/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H16/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H23/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A30/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A06/11
Lega A
82.7Avg total
40.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.280.0-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.737.481.1+6.371%-
Last 30 away (16)36.542.679.1-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.082.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.047.286.2-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.044.288.2-0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.641.379.9-2.635%-
vs Weaker (7)39.334.073.3+5.357%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H10/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H17/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H24/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A30/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/11
Lega A
76.0Avg total
35.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.176.2-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.938.176.1-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)34.442.076.4-7.620%-
Last 10 (10)35.540.576.0-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.878.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.043.279.2-7.221%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.337.373.6-1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.524.0
56.5%
51.1%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.35.3
29.1%
35.7%16.0
🏀 Free throws15.29.5
62.6%
74.0%9.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.7 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.8
48.8%
51.1%41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.2
37.7%
35.7%24.5
🏀 Free throws18.314.0
76.4%
74.0%14.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LLWWLLWLWL
Caserta
WLWWLWWLLL
#14
League position
#13
-11.6
Net rating
+1.1
100.6
Offensive rating
102.3
112.2
Defensive rating
101.2
52.6%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
21.1%
Turnover %
18.3%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.1%
3-point %
37.7%
61.4%
Assist %
47.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 102.3Defence112.2 · 101.2Shooting52.6% · 51.4%3-point %29.1% · 37.7%Ball care21.1% · 18.3%Off. rebounds30.9% · 25.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Cantu   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Cantu wins
3
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
13/03/16Cantu v Caserta92-69
22/11/15Caserta v Cantu71-73
15/03/15Cantu v Caserta83-72
22/11/14Caserta v Cantu95-107 OT
23/03/14Caserta v Cantu64-60
08/12/13Cantu v Caserta84-82
01/04/13Cantu v Caserta65-66
02/12/12Caserta v Cantu76-74 OT
07/03/12Caserta v Cantu58-75
20/11/11Cantu v Caserta86-75
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/16AReggiana77-90
30/10/16ACapo d'Orlando53-96
23/10/16HSassari90-69
16/10/16HPesaro77-68
09/10/16ABrescia56-76
02/10/16HVenezia92-99
04/05/16HVarese89-79
24/04/16APesaro90-96
17/04/16HVirtus Bologna89-73
10/04/16ATrento75-79
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/16HTrento84-67
30/10/16AOlimpia Milano80-100
24/10/16HPistoia74-65
16/10/16ACremona95-82
09/10/16AVarese74-93
02/10/16HReggiana78-75
04/05/16HTrento73-70
24/04/16ABrindisi55-73
17/04/16HAvellino87-92
10/04/16HReggiana82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game74.286.362.0
Allowed / game83.078.787.3
Point differential-8.8+7.7-25.3
Avg total157.2165.0149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game80.878.783.0
Allowed / game80.369.091.7
Point differential+0.5+9.7-8.7
Avg total161.2147.7174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano660100%89.079.0+10.0
2 Avellino65183%80.274.7+5.5
3 Reggiana65183%83.778.7+5.0
4 Sassari64267%79.774.7+5.0
5 Caserta64267%80.880.3+0.5
6 Capo d'Orlando63350%81.076.5+4.5
7 Trento63350%76.574.8+1.7
8 Brindisi63350%80.078.5+1.5
9 Venezia63350%80.079.8+0.2
10 Pistoia62433%75.576.3-0.8
11 Torino62433%84.087.3-3.3
12 Varese62433%78.081.3-3.3
13 Pesaro62433%70.274.5-4.3
14 Cantu62433%74.283.0-8.8
15 Cremona61517%78.383.7-5.3
16 Brescia61517%76.784.5-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu2818132382
Caserta2417123083
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