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Cantu vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 77-68
23-25 18-15 20-10 16-18
Position#14
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game87.5
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game73.0
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Cantu v Pesaro
13 Apr 2025
KAN85
PES78
04 Oct 2020
KAN81
PES72
17 Apr 2020
KAN v PES
upcoming
19 Nov 2018
KAN87
PES90
26 Dec 2017
KAN92
PES73
16 Oct 2016
KAN77
PES68
27 Dec 2015
KAN90
PES65
03 May 2015
KAN83
PES67
27 Oct 2013
KAN93
PES78
17 Mar 2013
KAN74
PES62
26 May 2012
KAN69
PES78
20 May 2012
KAN74
PES47
18 May 2012
KAN78
PES72
29 Oct 2011
KAN66
PES71
01 May 2011
KAN63
PES55
28 Feb 2010
KAN81
PES93
07 May 2009
KAN71
PES75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caserta
#13
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H13/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A20/03
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H26/03
Lega A
Cremona
#4
L
85-95 OT
85
95
-10
A03/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A10/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H17/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
L
90-96
90
96
-6
A24/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
92-99
92
99
-7
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A09/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
18-20
32-21
16-10
20-16
16-20
9-25
20-11
22-19
21-24
21-19
8-14
21-21
9-20
19-12
21-17
23-10
11-19
14-24
27-26
18-10
25-11
11-18
35-34
25-26
22-24
22-22
21-24
21-23
18-16
29-14
21-26
27-20
22-25
21-24
22-30
17-21
17-23
14-15
8-17
161.9Avg total
80.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.087.5161.5-13.50%
Season at home (1)92.099.0191.0-7.00%
Season away (1)56.076.0132.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)80.581.4161.9-0.930%
Last 5 (5)83.284.6167.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.587.5172.0-3.025%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.982.1163.0-1.239%
vs Weaker (8)82.977.0159.9+5.950%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H13/03
Lega A
Cremona
#4
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A20/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
A03/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H10/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A17/04
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H24/04
Lega A
Torino
#15
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A04/05
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H02/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A09/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
23-16
21-18
16-17
20-12
19-21
23-26
10-18
16-18
16-17
19-18
20-19
24-14
15-31
22-22
26-20
17-20
17-15
18-9
18-21
17-23
27-16
14-22
20-21
26-25
24-22
22-22
24-21
12-17
21-20
18-24
15-22
20-14
19-9
12-18
25-22
19-21
21-20
21-12
18-30
157.0Avg total
79.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.573.0150.5+4.550%
Season at home (1)76.063.0139.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)79.083.0162.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)79.477.6157.0+1.850%
Last 5 (5)79.080.2159.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.081.4162.4-0.457%
vs Similar ◀ (23)75.077.4152.3-2.439%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
CantuPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caserta
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A20/03
Lega A
Venezia
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H26/03
Lega A
Cremona
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A03/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A10/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H17/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A24/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A09/10
Lega A
78.5Avg total
39.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.080.6+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.837.480.2+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)38.742.381.0-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.678.5+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.882.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.840.284.0+3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.841.581.3-1.739%-
vs Weaker (8)40.836.677.4+4.150%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H13/03
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A03/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H10/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A17/04
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H24/04
Lega A
Torino
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A04/05
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H02/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A09/10
Lega A
76.4Avg total
39.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.577.5+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.576.1+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.439.578.9-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.576.4+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.478.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.640.980.4-1.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)38.837.876.6+1.043%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀71%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 71% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.526.0
59.8%
51.1%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.54.5
20.0%
35.7%13.5
🏀 Free throws13.57.5
55.6%
74.0%7.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.523.0
49.5%
51.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.5
27.7%
35.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.512.0
68.6%
74.0%12.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LLWLWLLLLW
Pesaro
LWLWLWWLLW
#14
League position
#15
-17.8
Net rating
+7.2
96.3
Offensive rating
101.3
114.1
Defensive rating
94.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
46.8%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
20.0%
Turnover %
14.8%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
20.0%
3-point %
27.7%
72.1%
Assist %
40.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 101.3Defence114.1 · 94.1Shooting49.6% · 46.8%3-point %20.0% · 27.7%Ball care20.0% · 14.8%Off. rebounds29.4% · 28.0%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Cantu   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cantu wins
4
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
24/04/16Pesaro v Cantu96-90
27/12/15Cantu v Pesaro90-65
03/05/15Cantu v Pesaro83-67
04/01/15Pesaro v Cantu83-103
02/02/14Pesaro v Cantu82-79
27/10/13Cantu v Pesaro93-78
17/03/13Cantu v Pesaro74-62
18/11/12Pesaro v Cantu66-76
26/05/12Cantu v Pesaro69-78
24/05/12Pesaro v Cantu80-68
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/16ABrescia56-76
02/10/16HVenezia92-99
04/05/16HVarese89-79
24/04/16APesaro90-96
17/04/16HVirtus Bologna89-73
10/04/16ATrento75-79
03/04/16ACremona85-95 OT
26/03/16HVenezia72-76
20/03/16AOlimpia Milano65-72
13/03/16HCaserta92-69
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/16ATorino79-83
02/10/16HBrescia76-63
04/05/16ATorino66-83
24/04/16HCantu96-90
17/04/16AOlimpia Milano78-82
10/04/16HCapo d'Orlando70-65
03/04/16AVenezia100-96 OT
26/03/16HCaserta71-72
20/03/16ACremona72-77
13/03/16HSassari86-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.092.056.0
Allowed / game87.599.076.0
Point differential-13.5-7.0-20.0
Avg total161.5191.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.576.079.0
Allowed / game73.063.083.0
Point differential+4.5+13.0-4.0
Avg total150.5139.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia220100%91.580.5+11.0
2 Olimpia Milano220100%79.073.0+6.0
3 Sassari32167%84.777.0+7.7
4 Avellino32167%83.379.0+4.3
5 Varese21150%82.576.0+6.5
6 Pesaro21150%77.573.0+4.5
7 Cremona21150%82.078.5+3.5
8 Trento21150%75.573.0+2.5
9 Reggiana21150%80.579.0+1.5
10 Torino21150%83.082.5+0.5
11 Brindisi21150%75.075.0+0.0
12 Caserta21150%76.084.0-8.0
13 Brescia31233%70.776.0-5.3
14 Pistoia31233%74.383.7-9.3
15 Capo d'Orlando2020%67.077.5-10.5
16 Cantu2020%74.087.5-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu2318201677
Pesaro2515101868
← all games of the day
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