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Cantu vs Nardo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-60
19-13 20-16 13-13 17-18
Position#2
Record13-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game73.2
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#19
Record5-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game81.4
ItalySerie A2Round 19· PalaFitLineDesio
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
77avg 71
H06/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 71
A10/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
89-60
89
60
+29
92avg 71
H13/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 71
A17/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
67-90
67
90
-23
59avg 71
A01/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
81-51
81
51
+30
83avg 71
H08/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 71
H11/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 71
A15/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
56avg 71
H22/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
82-77
82
77
+5
82avg 71
A28/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
23-14
14-24
28-18
13-17
28-25
17-25
27-22
22-16
31-13
18-20
18-11
20-16
15-21
21-25
20-9
19-20
20-25
20-27
8-18
28-16
25-11
20-14
8-10
30-16
16-26
20-18
21-18
21-15
12-22
25-16
22-23
21-27
12-15
18-16
23-25
24-21
17-14
22-23
19-19
155.0Avg total
80.4Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.973.2152.2+5.772%
Season at home (8)80.866.6147.4+14.188%
Season away (10)77.578.5156.0-1.060%
Last 10 (10)80.474.6155.0+5.870%
Last 5 (5)80.873.0153.8+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)73.277.1150.4-3.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.470.6151.0+9.981%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
75-93
75
93
-18
69avg 63
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 63
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 63
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
74-92
74
92
-18
51avg 63
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
58-66
58
66
-8
52avg 63
A01/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
67-82
67
82
-15
49avg 63
H08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 63
H11/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
66avg 63
A15/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
62-85
62
85
-23
55avg 63
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 63
H29/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
16-22
19-24
18-26
11-21
15-25
24-23
26-17
20-13
15-11
17-25
16-25
25-25
20-24
15-24
14-19
13-17
19-23
15-10
11-16
23-23
17-14
18-30
9-15
25-21
10-21
27-19
22-16
14-18
9-17
28-16
20-20
21-27
20-18
5-23
16-17
19-24
16-25
20-17
20-18
153.6Avg total
71.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.481.4154.8-8.028%
Season at home (9)76.679.9156.4-3.344%
Season away (9)70.282.9153.1-12.711%
Last 10 (10)71.582.1153.6-10.610%
Last 5 (5)72.882.0154.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.681.4156.0-6.936%
vs Similar (16)76.579.4155.9-2.944%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
CantuNardo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#11
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H06/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H13/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A17/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A01/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H08/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H11/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A15/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H22/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/12
Serie A2
78.0Avg total
41.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.075.7+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.233.876.0+8.471%-
Last 30 away (16)37.538.075.5-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.578.0+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.677.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)35.338.473.7-3.121%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.633.977.5+9.681%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A01/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A15/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H29/12
Serie A2
76.0Avg total
35.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.477.6-3.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.537.677.1+1.967%-
Last 30 away (15)34.843.278.0-8.420%-
Last 10 (10)35.041.076.0-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.676.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.140.676.7-4.636%-
vs Similar (16)38.140.278.3-2.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.4
50.4%
50.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.7
36.1%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.213.5
70.3%
74.4%13.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.5
47.4%
50.1%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.2
35.9%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.910.0
67.1%
74.4%10.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
WLWWWLWWLW
Nardo
LLLWLLLLLL
#2
League position
#19
+7.3
Net rating
-14.8
106.8
Offensive rating
95.9
99.6
Defensive rating
110.7
52.0%
Effective FG%
50.2%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.7%
Turnover %
21.2%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.1%
3-point %
35.9%
67.3%
Assist %
45.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 95.9Defence99.6 · 110.7Shooting52.0% · 50.2%3-point %36.1% · 35.9%Ball care16.7% · 21.2%Off. rebounds29.2% · 24.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Cantu   ■ Nardo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cantu wins
0
Nardo wins
DateGameScore
25/02/24Nardo v Cantu75-80
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24AAssigeco Piacenza82-77
22/12/24HUdine74-83
15/12/24ARimini80-76
11/12/24HJuVi Cremona87-78
08/12/24HUrania Milano81-51
01/12/24APesaro67-90
17/11/24AForli76-71
13/11/24HFortitudo Bologna89-60
10/11/24AVigevano85-89
06/11/24HAvellino Basket83-71
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HForli75-84
21/12/24AUrania Milano62-85
15/12/24ACento76-82 OT
11/12/24HCividale84-77
08/12/24HRimini67-82
01/12/24AOrzinuovi58-66
17/11/24AAvellino Basket74-92
13/11/24HBasket Torino68-74
10/11/24AVerona76-86
06/11/24AAssigeco Piacenza75-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %72%88%60%
Points / game78.980.877.5
Allowed / game73.266.678.5
Point differential+5.7+14.1-1.0
Avg total152.2147.4156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (1)71% (7)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL28%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%44%11%
Points / game73.476.670.2
Allowed / game81.479.982.9
Point differential-8.0-3.3-12.7
Avg total154.8156.4153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine1814478%83.273.6+9.7
2 Rimini1814478%83.277.0+6.2
3 Cantu1813572%78.973.2+5.7
4 Cividale1812667%79.276.0+3.2
5 Verona1811761%76.973.1+3.8
6 Urania Milano1811761%77.874.6+3.2
7 Forli1811761%78.175.3+2.8
8 Sebastiani Rieti1811761%75.473.7+1.7
9 Avellino Basket1810856%77.577.8-0.3
10 Fortitudo Bologna189950%74.874.5+0.3
11 Orzinuovi189950%78.879.8-0.9
12 Pesaro189950%77.178.6-1.6
13 Libertas Livorno1871139%74.375.8-1.5
14 Brindisi1871139%75.377.0-1.7
15 Basket Torino1871139%75.678.2-2.6
16 JuVi Cremona1871139%79.982.4-2.6
17 Vigevano1851328%77.581.6-4.1
18 Cento1851328%69.877.6-7.8
19 Nardo1851328%73.481.4-8.0
20 Assigeco Piacenza1831517%74.980.4-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu1920131769
Nardo1316131860
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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