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Cantu vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-66
25-10 21-15 17-19 18-22
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game83.1
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game78.8
ItalySerie A2Round 9· PalaFitLineDesio
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cantu v Sebastiani Rieti
26 May 2025
KAN89
SEBA74
24 May 2025
KAN83
SEBA59
19 Jan 2025
KAN70
SEBA77
12 Nov 2023
KAN81
SEBA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
A03/06
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
H06/06
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
90-87
90
87
+3
77avg 86
A30/09
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
89-90
89
90
-1
79avg 86
H07/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
81-70
81
70
+11
73avg 86
A11/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
108-77
108
77
+31
112avg 86
H16/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
95-78
95
78
+17
96avg 86
A21/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
97-84
97
84
+13
99avg 86
A28/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
96-83
96
83
+13
88avg 86
H01/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
78-96
78
96
-18
67avg 86
A05/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
22-21
15-12
25-22
15-14
24-15
18-26
10-20
25-27
21-19
23-25
21-16
23-23
17-25
24-22
25-20
30-20
21-12
23-15
7-23
23-21
36-19
29-19
20-18
19-19
19-16
22-23
35-20
19-29
32-22
29-15
17-18
25-21
28-22
16-16
27-24
21-34
24-17
19-22
14-23
169.8Avg total
87.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.883.1174.9+8.675%
Season at home (3)97.783.3181.0+14.367%
Season away (5)88.283.0171.2+5.280%
Last 10 (10)87.882.0169.8+5.860%
Last 5 (5)94.883.6178.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.078.0173.0+17.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.272.2144.4+0.040%
vs Weaker (19)88.278.5166.7+9.774%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
W
75-67
75
67
+8
73avg 82
A01/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
80avg 82
H08/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
88-89
88
89
-1
90avg 82
A11/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
90-70
90
70
+20
82avg 82
H15/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
92-97
92
97
-5
88avg 82
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
81avg 82
H29/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
78-82
78
82
-4
75avg 82
H01/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
90-65
90
65
+25
82avg 82
A05/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-7
19-15
16-27
21-18
28-25
23-13
18-19
22-27
20-30
20-17
29-26
19-16
24-25
21-16
20-18
25-11
17-22
26-19
19-23
30-33
20-27
27-15
17-13
21-21
21-20
23-19
19-10
15-33
25-15
15-20
22-10
28-20
164.9Avg total
86.1Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.178.8164.9+7.462%
Season at home (4)86.078.0164.0+8.075%
Season away (4)86.279.5165.8+6.850%
Last 10 (8)86.178.8164.9+7.462%
Last 5 (5)87.078.0165.0+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)91.084.0175.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker (7)85.478.0163.4+7.457%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
CantuSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/06
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H06/06
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A30/09
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A11/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H16/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A28/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H01/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/11
Serie A2
88.0Avg total
45.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.939.082.9+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.038.983.9+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)42.839.181.9+3.753%-
Last 10 (10)45.942.188.0+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)49.244.093.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.035.073.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.337.074.3+0.340%-
vs Weaker (19)47.740.387.9+7.474%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
W
38-22
38
22
+16
A01/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H08/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H01/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A05/11
Serie A2
81.6Avg total
43.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)43.538.181.6+5.488%-
Last 30 at home (4)46.840.086.8+6.8100%-
Last 30 away (4)40.236.276.5+4.075%-
Last 10 (8)43.538.181.6+5.488%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.683.4+4.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)51.038.089.0+13.0100%-
vs Weaker (7)42.438.180.6+4.386%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.1
52.2%
50.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.7
40.3%
34.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws21.816.7
76.6%
74.2%16.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.1 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.4
52.0%
50.3%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.012.4
49.5%
34.1%37.1
🏀 Free throws22.215.2
68.5%
74.2%15.2
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LWWWWWLWLL
Sebastiani Rieti
WLWLWLWW
#4
League position
#7
+8.8
Net rating
+10.0
117.7
Offensive rating
117.2
108.9
Defensive rating
107.3
55.9%
Effective FG%
61.8%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
14.8%
Turnover %
19.2%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
40.3%
3-point %
49.5%
64.3%
Assist %
52.6%
60%
Form (last 10/8)
62%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 117.2Defence108.9 · 107.3Shooting55.9% · 61.8%3-point %40.3% · 49.5%Ball care14.8% · 19.2%Off. rebounds27.7% · 24.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/8)60% · 62%
■ Cantu   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cantu wins
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
No previous meetings.
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23AAgrigento78-96
01/11/23HBasket Torino96-83
28/10/23AUrania Milano97-84
21/10/23ATrapani95-78
16/10/23HLuiss Roma108-77
11/10/23ALatina81-70
07/10/23HTreviglio89-90
30/09/23AJuVi Cremona90-87
06/06/23HPistoia67-75
03/06/23APistoia77-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23ALuiss Roma90-65
01/11/23HUrania Milano78-82
29/10/23HJuVi Cremona85-76
21/10/23AMonferrato92-97
15/10/23HLatina90-70
11/10/23ATreviglio88-89
08/10/23HBasket Torino91-84
01/10/23AAgrigento75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%67%80%
Points / game91.897.788.2
Allowed / game83.183.383.0
Point differential+8.6+14.3+5.2
Avg total174.9181.0171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game86.186.086.2
Allowed / game78.878.079.5
Point differential+7.4+8.0+6.8
Avg total164.9164.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna770100%84.471.6+12.9
2 Trapani98189%91.980.9+11.0
3 Cantu86275%91.883.1+8.6
4 Udine86275%80.172.0+8.1
5 Forli86275%81.074.0+7.0
6 Verona86275%76.471.2+5.1
7 Basket Torino96367%86.282.0+4.2
8 Sebastiani Rieti85362%86.178.8+7.4
9 JuVi Cremona85362%87.280.9+6.4
10 Treviglio85362%83.483.2+0.1
11 Trieste85362%77.477.4+0.0
12 Urania Milano95456%87.686.2+1.3
13 Nardo84450%81.487.8-6.4
14 Assigeco Piacenza83538%83.081.8+1.2
15 Cividale83538%76.076.9-0.9
16 Agrigento83538%74.177.2-3.1
17 Cento83538%77.181.4-4.2
18 Rimini82625%74.477.1-2.8
19 Monferrato82625%82.086.0-4.0
20 Vigevano82625%79.587.1-7.6
21 Orzinuovi92722%73.379.3-6.0
22 Luiss Roma92722%75.087.2-12.2
23 Chiusi81712%60.672.4-11.8
24 Latina81712%76.989.5-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu2521171881
Sebastiani Rieti1015192266
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