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Cantu vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-77
24-22 17-15 9-23 20-17
Position#2
Record16-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game72.2
Cantu
Italy
vs
Sebastiani Rieti 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record12-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game72.8
ItalySerie A2Round 22· PalaFitLineDesio
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cantu v Sebastiani Rieti
26 May 2025
KAN89
SEBA74
24 May 2025
KAN83
SEBA59
19 Jan 2025
KAN70
SEBA77
12 Nov 2023
KAN81
SEBA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 71
A17/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
67-90
67
90
-23
59avg 71
A01/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
81-51
81
51
+30
83avg 71
H08/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 71
H11/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 71
A15/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
56avg 71
H22/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
82-77
82
77
+5
82avg 71
A28/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
69-60
69
60
+9
66avg 71
H05/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
85-67
85
67
+18
82avg 71
H12/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
81-72
81
72
+9
72avg 71
A15/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
15-21
21-25
20-9
19-20
20-25
20-27
8-18
28-16
25-11
20-14
8-10
30-16
16-26
20-18
21-18
21-15
12-22
25-16
22-23
21-27
12-15
18-16
23-25
24-21
17-14
22-23
19-19
19-13
20-16
13-13
17-18
21-11
21-21
23-23
20-12
26-24
21-16
18-19
16-13
150.7Avg total
78.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.972.2151.1+6.676%
Season at home (10)80.066.0146.0+14.090%
Season away (11)77.877.9155.7-0.164%
Last 10 (10)78.272.5150.7+5.780%
Last 5 (5)78.271.8150.0+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)73.277.1150.4-3.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.169.5149.6+10.688%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
83-97
83
97
-14
70avg 67
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
77-66
77
66
+11
70avg 67
H24/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
62avg 67
A01/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
79-67
79
67
+12
72avg 67
H07/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
66avg 67
A13/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
76-65
76
65
+11
77avg 67
H22/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
96-91
96
91
+5
86avg 67
A29/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
65-64
65
64
+1
60avg 67
A05/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
56-66
56
66
-10
50avg 67
H11/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
67-72
67
72
-5
55avg 67
A15/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
24-20
17-27
18-22
17-23
22-12
14-15
24-16
15-19
19-18
22-19
13-18
23-16
17-19
21-19
18-13
15-17
25-14
12-16
12-17
32-15
9-14
16-16
19-20
21-24
23-16
30-27
22-24
17-17
7-18
17-13
24-16
9-21
16-15
11-12
20-18
13-20
11-17
28-12
15-23
149.6Avg total
74.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.672.8146.4+0.857%
Season at home (11)73.869.2143.0+4.673%
Season away (10)73.376.8150.1-3.540%
Last 10 (10)74.974.7149.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)72.071.6143.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)74.579.5154.0-5.00%
vs Similar (23)72.471.8144.2+0.657%
vs Weaker (5)78.072.0150.0+6.080%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
CantuSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A17/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A01/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H08/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H11/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A15/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H22/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H05/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H12/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A15/01
Serie A2
77.4Avg total
40.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.975.8+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.933.175.0+8.771%-
Last 30 away (16)38.338.276.6+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.677.4+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.676.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)35.338.473.7-3.121%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.133.677.7+10.488%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#16
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H24/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A01/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A13/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H22/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A29/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A05/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H11/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A15/01
Serie A2
72.2Avg total
35.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.636.671.2-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.736.871.5-2.138%-
Last 30 away (14)34.436.470.9-2.036%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.372.2-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)31.635.467.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.533.568.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (23)33.736.670.3-2.930%-
vs Weaker (5)38.638.076.6+0.660%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.8
50.3%
50.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
74.4%13.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.915.7
45.0%
50.1%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.6
76.0%
74.4%14.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
WWWWLWWWLW
Sebastiani Rieti
LLWWWLWLWL
#2
League position
#4
+7.2
Net rating
+0.0
104.4
Offensive rating
101.8
97.2
Defensive rating
101.8
50.3%
Effective FG%
46.3%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.9%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.6%
3-point %
31.8%
63.1%
Assist %
58.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 101.8Defence97.2 · 101.8Shooting50.3% · 46.3%3-point %33.6% · 31.8%Ball care17.0% · 17.9%Off. rebounds30.5% · 32.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Cantu   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cantu wins
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
06/10/24Sebastiani Rieti v Cantu68-74
21/01/24Sebastiani Rieti v Cantu74-96
12/11/23Cantu v Sebastiani Rieti81-66
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25AJuVi Cremona81-72
12/01/25HOrzinuovi85-67
05/01/25HNardo69-60
28/12/24AAssigeco Piacenza82-77
22/12/24HUdine74-83
15/12/24ARimini80-76
11/12/24HJuVi Cremona87-78
08/12/24HUrania Milano81-51
01/12/24APesaro67-90
17/11/24AForli76-71
Sebastiani Rietilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25ABrindisi67-72
11/01/25HUrania Milano56-66
05/01/25AForli65-64
29/12/24ARimini96-91
22/12/24HCento76-65
13/12/24AUdine81-85 OT
07/12/24HVigevano79-67
01/12/24ABasket Torino69-74
24/11/24HOrzinuovi77-66
17/11/24AJuVi Cremona83-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%90%64%
Points / game78.980.077.8
Allowed / game72.266.077.9
Point differential+6.6+14.0-0.1
Avg total151.1146.0155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (1)71% (7)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%73%40%
Points / game73.673.873.3
Allowed / game72.869.276.8
Point differential+0.8+4.6-3.5
Avg total146.4143.0150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini2117481%82.975.8+7.0
2 Udine2116576%82.973.7+9.2
3 Cantu2116576%78.972.2+6.6
4 Cividale2215768%80.076.5+3.5
5 Verona2113862%77.473.8+3.7
6 Urania Milano2113862%77.274.0+3.3
7 Fortitudo Bologna2112957%76.574.8+1.7
8 Sebastiani Rieti2112957%73.672.8+0.8
9 Avellino Basket2112957%78.278.2-0.0
10 Forli21111052%77.476.0+1.4
11 Pesaro21111052%78.779.7-1.0
12 Basket Torino2191243%75.776.6-1.0
13 Brindisi2191243%75.676.9-1.3
14 Orzinuovi2191243%78.080.4-2.4
15 Vigevano2171433%77.380.9-3.6
16 JuVi Cremona2171433%78.982.9-4.0
17 Libertas Livorno2271532%73.976.3-2.4
18 Cento2161529%70.377.6-7.3
19 Nardo2161529%72.380.7-8.4
20 Assigeco Piacenza2131814%74.580.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu241792070
Sebastiani Rieti2215231777
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