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Capo d'Orlando vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 79-76
21-18 10-10 25-20 23-28
Position#8
Record3-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#16
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game83.7
ItalyLega ARound 7
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Capo d'Orlando v Cremona
14 Jan 2018
KDO85
CRE95
13 Nov 2016
KDO79
CRE76
15 Nov 2015
KDO65
CRE69
15 Feb 2015
KDO57
CRE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capo d'Orlando winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#12
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A10/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H17/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A24/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H04/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A09/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A23/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
96-53
96
53
+43
H30/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
A05/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
15-17
9-18
21-18
17-16
21-21
28-20
15-25
24-23
14-21
13-20
18-21
13-16
18-14
11-12
16-23
20-11
21-22
12-20
12-18
15-23
22-15
12-24
20-22
23-26
25-13
16-17
26-21
25-31
14-14
15-16
22-24
25-17
23-14
21-13
27-9
25-18
18-24
16-20
19-16
152.0Avg total
75.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
Season at home (3)83.767.0150.7+16.767%
Season away (3)78.386.0164.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)75.976.1152.0-0.230%
Last 5 (5)84.277.6161.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)65.277.1142.2-11.912%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.172.8149.9+4.464%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H10/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A12/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A14/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
87-109
87
109
-22
A24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pistoia
#7
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H03/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A09/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H16/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A23/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A30/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H07/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
12-11
25-15
23-17
14-17
13-22
14-13
20-25
20-19
17-27
21-13
18-28
28-29
24-21
9-27
26-32
26-21
25-12
20-11
16-23
19-20
22-28
27-20
9-22
19-13
25-19
14-32
24-31
18-22
12-26
22-11
22-15
18-25
16-18
21-19
18-19
17-16
16-22
19-11
17-35
161.3Avg total
77.1Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.383.7162.0-5.317%
Season at home (3)79.382.0161.3-2.733%
Season away (3)77.385.3162.7-8.00%
Last 10 (10)77.184.2161.3-7.120%
Last 5 (5)76.687.0163.6-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.286.6158.8-14.40%
vs Similar ◀ (19)76.777.5154.2-0.853%
vs Weaker (4)67.567.2134.8+0.250%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -5.4-5.4
Capo d'OrlandoCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A10/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A24/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H04/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A23/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H30/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/11
Lega A
77.1Avg total
39.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.737.574.2-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.235.071.2+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)37.240.077.2-2.847%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.377.1+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.082.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.136.970.9-2.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.738.277.9+1.564%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H10/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A12/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A14/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pistoia
#7
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H03/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A09/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H16/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A23/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A30/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H07/11
Lega A
79.0Avg total
37.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.674.7-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.436.072.4+0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)35.741.577.2-5.829%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.279.0-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.878.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.045.480.4-10.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.237.074.2+0.242%-
vs Weaker (4)29.037.066.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.2
52.6%
51.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.4
35.6%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.411.8
76.6%
74.0%11.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.2
50.3%
51.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.8
34.9%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.813.6
81.0%
74.0%13.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capo d'Orlando
WWLWLLLLLL
Cremona
LLLLLWLLLW
#8
League position
#16
+6.5
Net rating
-9.7
105.6
Offensive rating
102.9
99.1
Defensive rating
112.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
51.1%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.8%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.6%
3-point %
34.9%
62.8%
Assist %
55.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 102.9Defence99.1 · 112.6Shooting52.9% · 51.1%3-point %35.6% · 34.9%Ball care18.7% · 20.8%Off. rebounds27.4% · 30.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Capo d'Orlando   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Capo d'Orlando wins
3
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
06/03/16Cremona v Capo d'Orlando74-73
15/11/15Capo d'Orlando v Cremona65-69
15/02/15Capo d'Orlando v Cremona57-74
02/11/14Cremona v Capo d'Orlando76-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/16ABrescia90-89 OT
30/10/16HCantu96-53
23/10/16ATrento76-85
17/10/16HTorino90-77
09/10/16AVenezia69-84
02/10/16HOlimpia Milano65-71
04/05/16HPistoia58-65
24/04/16AAvellino69-85
17/04/16HTrento81-82
10/04/16APesaro65-70
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/16HBrindisi69-84
30/10/16AVenezia73-81
23/10/16ATorino82-85 OT
16/10/16HCaserta82-95
09/10/16ATrento77-90
03/10/16HPistoia87-67
24/09/16AOlimpia Milano87-109
14/05/16AVenezia76-87
12/05/16AVenezia61-77
10/05/16HVenezia77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game81.083.778.3
Allowed / game76.567.086.0
Point differential+4.5+16.7-7.7
Avg total157.5150.7164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Cremona
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game78.379.377.3
Allowed / game83.782.085.3
Point differential-5.3-2.7-8.0
Avg total162.0161.3162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano660100%89.079.0+10.0
2 Avellino65183%80.274.7+5.5
3 Reggiana65183%83.778.7+5.0
4 Sassari64267%79.774.7+5.0
5 Caserta64267%80.880.3+0.5
6 Capo d'Orlando63350%81.076.5+4.5
7 Trento63350%76.574.8+1.7
8 Brindisi63350%80.078.5+1.5
9 Venezia63350%80.079.8+0.2
10 Pistoia62433%75.576.3-0.8
11 Torino62433%84.087.3-3.3
12 Varese62433%78.081.3-3.3
13 Pesaro62433%70.274.5-4.3
14 Cantu62433%74.283.0-8.8
15 Cremona61517%78.383.7-5.3
16 Brescia61517%76.784.5-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capo d'Orlando2110252379
Cremona1810202876
← all games of the day
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