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Cartagena vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-82
10-22 17-21 18-18 27-21
Position#16
Record8-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#3
Record23-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game72.7
SpainPrimera FEBRound 33
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cartagena v Palencia
02 May 2026
CART72
PAL82
08 Nov 2024
CART67
PAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cartagena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CartagenaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A07/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
49-101
49
101
-52
A10/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H15/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H21/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A27/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A05/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H11/04
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A19/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H22/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A26/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
21-17
22-23
17-28
7-26
13-25
15-28
14-22
21-16
17-17
25-13
19-22
21-23
20-21
18-15
19-18
18-25
19-18
20-19
20-20
25-22
11-23
24-29
24-16
18-14
18-22
27-21
16-26
25-17
15-21
22-22
18-17
21-14
19-18
13-24
11-22
18-26
19-14
19-30
26-21
159.4Avg total
75.5Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.884.6158.4-10.727%
Season at home (15)74.481.8156.2-7.440%
Season away (15)73.387.3160.6-14.113%
Last 10 (10)75.583.9159.4-8.430%
Last 5 (5)77.883.8161.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)73.786.4160.1-12.825%
vs Similar (6)74.577.2151.7-2.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
97-74
97
74
+23
H20/02
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H06/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A11/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H14/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A21/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H27/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
53-81
53
81
-28
A05/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A18/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
93-90
93
90
+3
A21/04
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H25/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
30-22
20-16
24-17
22-18
14-17
16-16
25-15
21-21
24-14
24-25
22-14
19-23
28-13
33-22
19-29
21-21
18-17
9-6
23-13
20-19
28-12
16-11
18-20
10-13
13-24
9-22
21-22
16-17
18-13
21-25
17-12
23-16
22-26
34-21
14-27
24-15
19-17
27-21
22-17
155.5Avg total
82.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)83.172.7155.8+10.477%
Season at home (15)84.372.8157.1+11.580%
Season away (15)81.972.7154.6+9.373%
Last 10 (10)82.772.8155.5+9.990%
Last 5 (5)78.474.0152.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.084.0153.0-15.00%
vs Similar (2)87.084.5171.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)83.971.0154.8+12.985%
This opponent (Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
CartagenaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CartagenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A07/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
20-51
20
51
-31
A10/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H21/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A27/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A05/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H11/04
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A19/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/04
Primera FEB
76.9Avg total
36.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.542.978.4-7.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.441.777.1-6.327%-
Last 30 away (15)35.644.179.7-8.520%-
Last 10 (10)36.640.376.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.276.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.044.279.2-9.317%-
vs Similar (6)37.737.575.2+0.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H20/02
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H14/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A21/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H27/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A05/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A18/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/04
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H25/04
Primera FEB
77.0Avg total
41.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.836.379.1+6.680%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.935.979.8+8.187%-
Last 30 away (15)41.736.778.4+5.173%-
Last 10 (10)41.335.777.0+5.690%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.473.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.577.5-5.550%-
vs Similar (2)47.041.088.0+6.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.035.578.5+7.581%-
This opponent (Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cartagenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cartagena: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.1
51.5%
51.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.9
34.5%
33.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.611.6
65.9%
73.4%11.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.4
51.3%
51.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.4
36.6%
33.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.614.6
70.9%
73.4%14.6
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cartagena
LLWLLLWWLL
Palencia
WWWLWWWWWW
#16
League position
#3
-11.8
Net rating
+13.5
106.4
Offensive rating
113.7
118.3
Defensive rating
100.2
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.9%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.5%
3-point %
36.6%
61.9%
Assist %
53.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 113.7Defence118.3 · 100.2Shooting51.6% · 52.9%3-point %34.5% · 36.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Cartagena   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cartagena wins
3
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
03/10/25Palencia v Cartagena90-73
12/03/25Palencia v Cartagena88-71
08/11/24Cartagena v Palencia67-100
Cartagenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26AFuenlabrada82-91
22/04/26HZamora64-78
19/04/26AFibwi Palma80-77
11/04/26HHestia Menorca79-83
05/04/26AEstudiantes84-90
27/03/26ALeyma Coruna77-82
21/03/26HAlicante78-77
15/03/26HMelilla82-68
10/03/26AObradoiro CAB49-101
07/03/26AOviedo80-92
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HFibwi Palma92-70
21/04/26AOurense93-90
18/04/26AHestia Menorca72-67
05/04/26AObradoiro CAB53-81
27/03/26HMelilla82-62
21/03/26AGipuzkoa71-57
14/03/26HLeyma Coruna99-87
11/03/26ATizona Burgos91-74
06/03/26HZamora77-66
20/02/26HFuenlabrada97-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cartagena
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLWL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %27%40%13%
Points / game73.874.473.3
Allowed / game84.681.887.3
Point differential-10.7-7.4-14.1
Avg total158.4156.2160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %77%80%73%
Points / game83.184.381.9
Allowed / game72.772.872.7
Point differential+10.4+11.5+9.3
Avg total155.8157.1154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna3127487%90.478.3+12.1
2 Obradoiro CAB3026487%92.276.2+15.9
3 Palencia3023777%83.172.7+10.4
4 Estudiantes30191163%84.680.5+4.2
5 Gipuzkoa30181260%78.974.5+4.4
6 Fuenlabrada31181358%79.981.0-1.2
7 Oviedo30171357%82.178.1+3.9
8 Hestia Menorca30161453%80.176.7+3.5
9 Alicante30151550%82.181.6+0.5
10 Zamora30141647%83.886.0-2.2
11 Estela30121840%78.283.8-5.6
12 Ourense30111937%78.981.5-2.6
13 Fibwi Palma3092130%75.982.5-6.7
14 Tizona Burgos3082227%82.689.2-6.6
15 Palmer Basket3082227%72.983.2-10.3
16 Cartagena3082227%73.884.6-10.7
17 Melilla3072323%76.385.8-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cartagena1017182772
Palencia2221182182
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