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Palencia vs Cartagena Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 88-71
22-15 23-19 26-19 17-18
Position#6
Record16-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#8
Record12-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game84.3
SpainPrimera FEBRound 24· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Other2024-25
Meetings · Palencia v Cartagena
03 Oct 2025
PAL90
CART73
12 Mar 2025
PAL88
CART71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cartagena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Real Valladolid
#16
W
90-75
90
75
+15
90avg 77
H28/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
78-84
78
84
-6
63avg 77
A04/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
68avg 77
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
83-59
83
59
+24
83avg 77
A18/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
89-88
89
88
+1
79avg 77
H01/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
96-95
96
95
+1
97avg 77
A07/02
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
85-87
85
87
-2
78avg 77
H12/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
79avg 77
A16/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
90-78
90
78
+12
81avg 77
H01/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 77
A08/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-10
14-25
30-19
22-21
24-18
20-26
18-22
16-18
24-27
18-19
24-18
13-11
24-19
13-14
25-13
21-13
19-20
26-20
22-19
22-29
22-28
20-20
23-21
31-26
24-21
20-18
18-22
23-26
21-21
27-21
22-23
17-20
23-15
16-18
24-18
27-27
22-26
29-22
19-20
13-24
167.8Avg total
86.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.080.1167.1+6.970%
Season at home (11)89.478.5167.8+10.982%
Season away (12)84.881.6166.4+3.258%
Last 10 (10)86.081.8167.8+4.270%
Last 5 (5)88.287.4175.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.986.6166.5-6.812%
vs Similar (6)80.786.0166.7-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.977.6167.5+12.288%
This opponent (Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CartagenaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCartagena
Date
Competition
Castello
#17
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
95avg 66
H29/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
84-112
84
112
-28
70avg 66
A04/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
87-78
87
78
+9
81avg 66
H12/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
87-73
87
73
+14
77avg 66
A18/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 66
H01/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
70-80
70
80
-10
57avg 66
H08/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
62-88
62
88
-26
58avg 66
A11/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
92-80
92
80
+12
72avg 66
H16/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
87-83 OT
87
83
+4
70avg 66
A02/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 66
H08/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
25-16
19-29
25-28
20-30
25-22
25-37
14-23
13-24
27-14
26-22
21-18
18-20
21-16
23-18
25-19
15-25
25-18
16-9
17-18
14-17
18-25
19-19
19-19
18-27
14-18
10-29
20-14
24-19
22-25
22-22
24-14
37-22
11-14
13-27
16-14
11-23
23-13
29-17
18-20
167.3Avg total
83.0Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.784.3163.1-5.652%
Season at home (12)79.679.2158.8+0.475%
Season away (11)77.890.0167.8-12.227%
Last 10 (10)83.084.3167.3-1.370%
Last 5 (5)78.480.8159.2-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.982.9157.9-8.044%
vs Similar (8)85.985.5171.4+0.462%
vs Weaker (6)77.069.3146.3+7.783%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
PalenciaCartagena
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Valladolid
#16
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H28/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A18/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H01/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A07/02
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A16/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H01/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A08/03
Primera FEB
83.8Avg total
43.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.982.2+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.538.481.9+5.179%-
Last 30 away (16)41.241.382.6-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.883.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.086.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.439.279.6+1.162%-
vs Similar (6)39.044.783.7-5.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.538.583.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CartagenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Castello
#17
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H29/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A04/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A18/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H08/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A11/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H16/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A02/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H08/03
Primera FEB
81.3Avg total
40.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.977.9-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.938.777.6+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.341.078.3-3.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.881.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.679.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.440.777.1-4.338%-
vs Similar (8)42.242.985.1-0.650%-
vs Weaker (6)37.033.770.7+3.367%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cartagenatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Palencia wins
0
Cartagena wins
DateGameScore
08/11/24Cartagena v Palencia67-100
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AReal Valladolid83-92
01/03/25HOviedo90-78
16/02/25AGipuzkoa87-85
12/02/25HSan Pablo Burgos85-87
07/02/25AAlicante96-95
01/02/25HFuenlabrada89-88
18/01/25AEstela83-59
10/01/25HZamora79-75
04/01/25AHestia Menorca78-84
28/12/24HReal Valladolid90-75
Cartagenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HGipuzkoa81-73
02/03/25ACastello87-83 OT
16/02/25HOurense92-80
11/02/25AObradoiro CAB62-88
08/02/25HEstudiantes70-80
01/02/25HZamora73-70
18/01/25AOviedo87-73
12/01/25HEstela87-78
04/01/25ASan Pablo Burgos84-112
29/12/24HCastello107-106 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%82%58%
Points / game87.089.484.8
Allowed / game80.178.581.6
Point differential+6.9+10.9+3.2
Avg total167.1167.8166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cartagena
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%75%27%
Points / game78.779.677.8
Allowed / game84.379.290.0
Point differential-5.6+0.4-12.2
Avg total163.1158.8167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)83% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos2321291%90.576.0+14.5
2 Fuenlabrada2421388%85.773.8+11.9
3 Estudiantes2421388%87.477.6+9.8
4 Real Betis2418675%83.174.5+8.6
5 Palencia2316770%87.080.1+6.9
6 Obradoiro CAB2213959%80.774.5+6.2
7 Tizona Burgos23131057%90.389.4+0.9
8 Cartagena23121152%78.784.3-5.6
9 Ourense24111346%82.783.4-0.7
10 Zamora24101442%78.782.5-3.9
11 Hestia Menorca2391439%74.777.1-2.4
12 Estela2381535%75.282.3-7.0
13 Oviedo2481633%77.381.7-4.4
14 Gipuzkoa2371630%75.879.8-4.0
15 Real Valladolid2371630%77.584.5-7.0
16 Alicante2471729%75.879.6-3.8
17 Castello2471729%80.288.5-8.3
18 Moron242228%72.683.8-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia2223261788
Cartagena1519191871
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