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Palencia vs Fuenlabrada Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 97-74
23-19 30-22 20-16 24-17
Position#3
Record14-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#6
Record12-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game81.2
SpainPrimera FEBRound 22
Other2025-26
Meetings · Palencia v Fuenlabrada
17 Jan 2027
PAL v FUE
upcoming
29 May 2026
PAL76
FUE51
17 May 2026
PAL83
FUE79
15 May 2026
PAL90
FUE52
20 Feb 2026
PAL97
FUE74
01 Feb 2025
PAL89
FUE88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fuenlabrada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
64-76
64
76
-12
40avg 75
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
93-86
93
86
+7
85avg 75
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
67-73
67
73
-6
58avg 75
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
81avg 75
H28/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
85-87
85
87
-2
76avg 75
H04/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H16/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
82-63
82
63
+19
81avg 75
A31/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
94-72
94
72
+22
91avg 75
A08/02
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
85-69
85
69
+16
83avg 75
H11/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
76-61
76
61
+15
71avg 75
A15/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
13-24
15-16
25-16
18-25
26-25
27-17
22-19
17-25
14-15
17-18
19-15
25-23
29-14
22-25
15-14
29-26
20-20
21-13
15-28
16-22
23-17
13-26
31-12
28-16
14-17
23-15
17-15
15-17
30-15
25-16
24-24
18-22
25-18
26-11
16-18
18-8
15-22
26-14
17-17
156.0Avg total
82.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.372.7156.0+10.670%
Season at home (10)81.773.3155.0+8.470%
Season away (10)84.972.1157.0+12.870%
Last 10 (10)82.074.0156.0+8.070%
Last 5 (5)84.068.4152.4+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)84.082.8166.8+1.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.674.4159.0+10.272%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuenlabrada
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
W
73-67
73
67
+6
65avg 75
H20/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 75
A28/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
88-75
88
75
+13
86avg 75
A04/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
79-61
79
61
+18
76avg 75
H11/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
88-79 OT
88
79
+9
no box
A18/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
72-69
72
69
+3
76avg 75
A31/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
81avg 75
H04/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
73avg 75
H07/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 75
A11/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
87-90
87
90
-3
86avg 75
H15/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
15-14
18-17
15-19
16-26
27-21
15-17
12-16
19-20
37-19
17-17
15-19
28-18
16-13
23-17
12-13
22-13
15-21
19-17
16-21
18-13
19-31
17-14
18-11
23-27
13-19
24-15
18-10
13-15
24-10
21-16
18-28
25-12
23-23
22-24
10-20
15-21
17-21
24-22
31-26
153.1Avg total
79.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.181.2161.3-1.260%
Season at home (10)80.576.6157.1+3.970%
Season away (10)79.785.9165.6-6.250%
Last 10 (10)79.174.0153.1+5.180%
Last 5 (5)78.675.6154.2+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.288.8161.0-16.512%
vs Similar (12)83.679.4163.0+4.275%
vs Weaker (10)83.578.5162.0+5.080%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
PalenciaFuenlabrada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H28/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H16/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A31/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A08/02
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A15/02
Primera FEB
79.5Avg total
40.4Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.337.681.8+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.635.880.4+8.887%-
Last 30 away (15)43.939.383.3+4.653%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.179.5+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.875.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.046.095.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (4)48.044.092.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)43.536.279.7+7.372%-
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H20/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A28/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A04/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H11/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A18/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A31/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H04/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H07/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A11/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H15/02
Primera FEB
78.4Avg total
41.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.282.4-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.539.978.4-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.586.4-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.478.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.476.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.245.983.1-8.612%-
vs Similar (12)41.140.281.3+0.842%-
vs Weaker (10)41.541.683.1-0.150%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.5
53.3%
51.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.9
34.4%
33.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.113.0
76.0%
73.4%13.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.6
48.9%
51.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.48.3
40.7%
33.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.413.8
67.6%
73.4%13.8
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWWWWLWLWL
Fuenlabrada
LWWWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#6
-7.3
Net rating
-15.2
108.6
Offensive rating
98.6
115.9
Defensive rating
113.8
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.2%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
13.5%
Turnover %
17.7%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.4%
3-point %
40.7%
65.8%
Assist %
62.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 98.6Defence115.9 · 113.8Shooting52.6% · 53.2%3-point %34.4% · 40.7%Ball care13.5% · 17.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Palencia   ■ Fuenlabrada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Palencia wins
2
Fuenlabrada wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25Fuenlabrada v Palencia73-67
01/02/25Palencia v Fuenlabrada89-88
11/12/24Fuenlabrada v Palencia82-73
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AOviedo76-61
11/02/26HPalmer Basket85-69
08/02/26AEstudiantes94-72
31/01/26AAlicante82-63
16/01/26HOurense83-77
04/01/26HObradoiro CAB85-87
28/12/25HTizona Burgos91-76
20/12/25AFuenlabrada67-73
17/12/25AFibwi Palma93-86
12/12/25HGipuzkoa64-76
Fuenlabradalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HAlicante87-90
11/02/26AFibwi Palma80-79
07/02/26HTizona Burgos76-69
04/02/26HOurense78-71
31/01/26AOurense72-69
18/01/26APalmer Basket88-79 OT
11/01/26HZamora79-61
04/01/26ACartagena88-75
28/12/25AHestia Menorca70-80
20/12/25HPalencia73-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeLWLWW70%
AwayWLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%70%70%
Points / game83.381.784.9
Allowed / game72.773.372.1
Point differential+10.6+8.4+12.8
Avg total156.0155.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fuenlabrada
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%70%50%
Points / game80.180.579.7
Allowed / game81.276.685.9
Point differential-1.1+3.9-6.2
Avg total161.3157.1165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2120195%93.077.8+15.1
2 Obradoiro CAB2017385%91.878.3+13.5
3 Palencia2014670%83.372.7+10.6
4 Gipuzkoa2012860%79.574.2+5.3
5 Alicante2012860%84.580.5+4.0
6 Estudiantes2012860%84.782.0+2.6
7 Fuenlabrada2012860%80.181.2-1.1
8 Hestia Menorca1911858%82.978.4+4.5
9 Oviedo21101148%82.280.2+2.0
10 Ourense2091145%82.281.8+0.5
11 Zamora2091145%85.788.0-2.4
12 Fibwi Palma2091145%77.581.0-3.5
13 Estela2081240%78.185.0-6.9
14 Cartagena1951426%73.485.1-11.7
15 Tizona Burgos2151624%83.089.2-6.2
16 Palmer Basket1931616%70.985.9-15.0
17 Melilla2021810%75.588.5-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia2330202497
Fuenlabrada1922161774
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