Caserta vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2011

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 91-80

20-21 20-23 27-17 24-19

Position#15

Record3-3

FormWWLLL

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game75.7

Caserta 🏆

Olimpia Milano

Position#3

Record5-1

FormWWWLL

Points / game75.3

Allowed / game64.7

Lega ARound 8

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Caserta v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

68-74

-6

A23/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

74-85

-11

H01/05

Lega A

Teramo

#16

77-88

-11

A12/05

Lega A

Treviso

76-88

-12

H15/05

Lega A

Treviso

#14

85-84

H09/10

Lega A

Siena

69-65

A23/10

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

67-52

+15

H30/10

Lega A

Varese

82-85

-3

A06/11

Lega A

Pesaro

76-82

-6

H12/11

Lega A

Cantu

75-86

-11

A20/11

Lega A

22-18

11-20

24-21

11-15

15-24

26-17

13-20

20-24

14-22

16-22

17-23

30-21

28-23

22-23

16-20

10-22

20-18

20-20

19-21

26-25

18-18

10-17

20-8

21-22

17-16

22-8

10-13

18-15

23-27

14-23

26-14

19-21

21-20

16-20

20-21

19-21

21-22

20-17

13-23

21-24

153.8Avg total

74.9Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	75.7	75.7	151.3	+0.0	50%
Season at home (3)	76.0	72.7	148.7	+3.3	67%
Season away (3)	75.3	78.7	154.0	-3.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	74.9	78.9	153.8	-4.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	74.0	147.8	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	77.7	82.3	160.0	-4.6	29%
vs Similar (21)	79.0	77.9	156.9	+1.0	52%
vs Weaker (2)	83.5	82.0	165.5	+1.5	50%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

89-82

H20/10

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

79-64

+15

H23/10

Lega A

Real Madrid

78-85

-7

A27/10

Euroleague

Sassari

88-60

+28

A30/10

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#23

54-62

-8

H03/11

Euroleague

Casale Monferrato

#18

67-64

A06/11

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#22

81-76

A10/11

Euroleague

Siena

63-56

H13/11

Lega A

Partizan

#21

65-69

-4

H17/11

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

76-85

-9

A24/11

Euroleague

14-19

27-19

24-14

24-30

12-10

25-21

29-14

13-19

18-14

21-22

23-27

16-22

21-6

24-19

17-16

26-19

9-22

12-11

15-14

18-15

19-19

16-18

12-17

20-10

14-11

16-23

23-24

28-18

12-11

18-17

16-14

17-14

12-14

19-5

25-20

9-30

14-25

24-27

24-15

14-18

144.3Avg total

74.0Scored

70.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	75.3	64.7	140.0	+10.7	83%
Season at home (3)	77.0	65.0	142.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (3)	73.7	64.3	138.0	+9.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	74.0	70.3	144.3	+3.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	70.4	70.0	140.4	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	70.3	73.0	143.3	-2.7	33%
vs Similar (13)	73.4	71.2	144.5	+2.2	54%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	74.9	70.1	145.0	+4.7	64%

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.9	43.0	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.9	40.8	-3.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.1	0%	-
vs Similar (21)	21.8	21.3	43.1	+0.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	16.1	33.3	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	15.3	32.5	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	16.8	34.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.5	15.1	29.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	16.0	30.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	14.0	29.0	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (13)	16.6	17.0	33.6	-0.4	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.4	15.6	34.0	+2.7	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	19.9	42.6	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.7	36.4	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.0	33.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	57%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	17.3	36.3	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	18.3	39.7	+3.0	67%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.5	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	17.4	19.1	36.5	-1.8	36%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

33-38

-5

A23/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

41-41

H01/05

Lega A

Teramo

#16

30-44

-14

A12/05

Lega A

Treviso

50-46

H15/05

Lega A

Treviso

#14

40-38

H09/10

Lega A

Siena

28-35

-7

A23/10

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

39-24

+15

H30/10

Lega A

Varese

37-50

-13

A06/11

Lega A

Pesaro

37-40

-3

H12/11

Lega A

Cantu

41-39

A20/11

Lega A

77.1Avg total

37.6Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	40.7	81.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	40.7	85.6	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	40.7	77.6	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	39.5	77.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	37.6	74.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	38.9	43.6	82.4	-4.7	14%	-
vs Similar (21)	41.5	39.7	81.2	+1.8	52%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	41.5	82.5	-0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

41-38

H20/10

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

37-31

H23/10

Lega A

Real Madrid

39-36

A27/10

Euroleague

Sassari

45-25

+20

A30/10

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#23

21-33

-12

H03/11

Euroleague

Casale Monferrato

#18

35-37

-2

A06/11

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#22

30-34

-4

A10/11

Euroleague

Siena

30-28

H13/11

Lega A

Partizan

#21

31-19

+12

H17/11

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

38-52

-14

A24/11

Euroleague

68.0Avg total

34.7Scored

33.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	34.9	71.1	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.2	32.6	68.8	+3.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	37.2	73.5	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	33.3	68.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	34.0	66.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.3	32.3	68.7	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	36.8	35.6	72.4	+1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	35.7	34.8	70.5	+0.9	50%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.4	18.0	34.4	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	15.8	33.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.7	16.4	36.1	+3.3	71%	-
vs Similar (21)	17.0	18.0	34.9	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	17.7	35.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.5	38.3	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	21.7	38.7	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.3	15.7	35.0	+3.6	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.1	17.5	35.6	+0.6	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.5	39.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.1	22.3	41.4	-3.1	14%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.8	37.9	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.5	38.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.3	19.8	37.2	-2.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.1	17.9	38.9	+3.2	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	37.8	75.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.0	38.5	74.5	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	37.1	75.9	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	39.4	76.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	36.4	73.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	38.9	38.7	77.6	+0.1	43%	-
vs Similar (21)	36.4	37.2	73.7	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	40.5	83.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	36.0	73.5	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	36.0	73.7	+1.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	35.9	73.3	+1.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	37.0	76.3	+2.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	36.0	73.6	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.0	40.7	74.7	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	36.6	35.5	72.2	+1.1	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	39.1	35.4	74.5	+3.8	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
01/05/11	Caserta v Olimpia Milano	74-85
05/01/11	Olimpia Milano v Caserta	98-84
10/06/10	Caserta v Olimpia Milano	59-65
08/06/10	Olimpia Milano v Caserta	91-74
06/06/10	Olimpia Milano v Caserta	66-67
04/06/10	Caserta v Olimpia Milano	76-68
02/06/10	Caserta v Olimpia Milano	80-90
14/02/10	Olimpia Milano v Caserta	85-94
25/10/09	Caserta v Olimpia Milano	104-100 OT
08/02/09	Olimpia Milano v Caserta	81-51

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/11	A	Cantu	75-86
12/11/11	H	Pesaro	76-82
06/11/11	A	Varese	82-85
30/10/11	H	Casale Monferrato	67-52
23/10/11	A	Siena	69-65
09/10/11	H	Treviso	85-84
15/05/11	H	Treviso	76-88
12/05/11	A	Teramo	77-88
01/05/11	H	Olimpia Milano	74-85
23/04/11	A	Virtus Roma	68-74

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/11/11	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	76-85
17/11/11	H	Partizan	65-69
13/11/11	H	Siena	63-56
10/11/11	A	Spirou Charleroi	81-76
06/11/11	A	Casale Monferrato	67-64
03/11/11	H	Anadolu Efes	54-62
30/10/11	A	Sassari	88-60
27/10/11	A	Real Madrid	78-85
23/10/11	H	Virtus Bologna	79-64
20/10/11	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	89-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	50%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	75.7	76.0	75.3
Allowed / game	75.7	72.7	78.7
Point differential	+0.0	+3.3	-3.3
Avg total	151.3	148.7	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	83%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	83%	100%	67%
Points / game	75.3	77.0	73.7
Allowed / game	64.7	65.0	64.3
Point differential	+10.7	+12.0	+9.3
Avg total	140.0	142.0	138.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	6	5	1	83%	75.3	64.7	+10.7
2	Cantu	7	5	2	71%	74.3	66.7	+7.6
3	Siena	7	5	2	71%	73.7	66.9	+6.9
4	Pesaro	6	4	2	67%	71.3	71.3	+0.0
5	Biella	8	5	3	62%	74.9	71.5	+3.4
6	Varese	8	5	3	62%	77.4	77.1	+0.2
7	Venezia	7	4	3	57%	77.0	73.9	+3.1
8	Virtus Bologna	7	4	3	57%	79.0	79.1	-0.1
9	Avellino	7	4	3	57%	79.9	81.0	-1.1
10	Caserta	6	3	3	50%	75.7	75.7	+0.0
11	Sassari	6	3	3	50%	74.5	78.3	-3.8
12	Treviso	7	3	4	43%	76.0	76.3	-0.3
13	Virtus Roma	7	3	4	43%	74.9	78.4	-3.6
14	Cremona	7	2	5	29%	73.0	79.0	-6.0
15	Sutor Montegranaro	6	1	5	17%	73.3	79.0	-5.7
16	Casale Monferrato	7	1	6	14%	67.6	73.1	-5.6
17	Teramo	7	1	6	14%	68.9	74.9	-6.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	20	20	27	24	91
Olimpia Milano	21	23	17	19	80

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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