Virtus Roma vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Apr 2011

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 74-68

18-22 20-11 21-24 15-11

Position#9

Record12-14

FormLLWWL

Points / game78.1

Allowed / game75.7

Virtus Roma 🏆

Caserta

Position#13

Record12-14

FormWLLWL

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game80.3

Lega ARound 27

Domestic2010-11

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

80-70

+10

H20/02

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#21

87-76

+11

A23/02

Euroleague

Treviso

72-86

-14

A27/02

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

82-69

+13

H03/03

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

80-62

+18

H06/03

Lega A

Cremona

#12

70-83

-13

A20/03

Lega A

Varese

#11

78-84

-6

A27/03

Lega A

Teramo

#16

76-60

+16

H03/04

Lega A

Biella

#15

85-78

H10/04

Lega A

Sassari

85-86

-1

A17/04

Lega A

26-18

9-18

12-15

33-19

20-14

17-27

28-14

22-21

27-25

18-19

12-26

15-16

21-17

21-25

18-6

22-21

18-17

18-18

20-8

24-19

24-24

10-21

18-23

18-15

19-15

9-24

20-21

30-24

18-19

19-7

21-18

18-16

19-22

26-15

19-21

21-20

20-23

21-15

16-22

28-26

154.9Avg total

79.5Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	78.1	75.7	153.7	+2.4	46%
Season at home (13)	80.6	72.1	152.7	+8.5	69%
Season away (13)	75.5	79.2	154.8	-3.7	23%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	75.4	154.9	+4.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	78.2	157.0	+0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	65.7	79.4	145.1	-13.7	14%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	75.6	75.5	151.1	+0.2	45%
vs Weaker (12)	84.8	77.2	161.9	+7.6	67%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

61-69

-8

A27/02

Lega A

Nymburk

#28

88-80

H01/03

Eurocup

Brindisi

#17

90-76

+14

H06/03

Lega A

Cantu

76-87

-11

A19/03

Lega A

Unics Kazan

84-90

-6

H23/03

Eurocup

Cremona

#12

95-79

+16

H27/03

Lega A

Unics Kazan

77-79

-2

A30/03

Eurocup

Varese

#11

77-92

-15

A03/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

77-70

H10/04

Lega A

Avellino

75-83

-8

H17/04

Lega A

13-21

20-16

16-13

12-19

24-24

27-14

13-29

24-13

21-15

31-24

24-19

14-18

17-21

21-26

24-18

14-22

18-22

26-24

16-15

24-29

31-23

21-23

18-13

25-20

17-26

18-20

24-17

18-16

20-21

16-23

16-25

25-23

23-16

25-18

12-11

17-25

23-27

16-18

13-18

23-20

160.5Avg total

80.0Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	80.8	80.3	161.0	+0.5	46%
Season at home (13)	82.8	78.8	161.7	+4.0	62%
Season away (13)	78.7	81.7	160.4	-3.0	31%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	80.5	160.5	-0.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	80.6	160.8	-0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	82.0	87.6	169.6	-5.6	20%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	78.4	77.5	155.9	+0.9	57%
vs Weaker (4)	86.0	76.2	162.2	+9.8	75%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.9	19.3	37.1	-1.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.6	19.8	40.5	+0.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.8	19.8	41.7	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	20.6	43.5	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	21.9	40.2	-3.5	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.6	42.3	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.6	45.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	24.2	42.0	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.3	21.5	42.8	-0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	19.5	36.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	20.2	37.4	-3.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.9	35.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.4	33.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	14.7	20.6	35.3	-5.9	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	16.3	19.7	36.0	-3.5	18%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.8	18.7	37.4	+0.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.9	39.8	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	19.5	42.6	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.4	23.4	46.8	+0.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.4	17.9	37.2	+1.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.2	19.0	44.2	+6.2	100%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

35-36

-1

H20/02

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#21

37-41

-4

A23/02

Euroleague

Treviso

45-44

A27/02

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

42-42

H03/03

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

36-35

H06/03

Lega A

Cremona

#12

34-45

-11

A20/03

Lega A

Varese

#11

28-39

-11

A27/03

Lega A

Teramo

#16

37-26

+11

H03/04

Lega A

Biella

#15

45-37

H10/04

Lega A

Sassari

41-38

A17/04

Lega A

76.3Avg total

38.0Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	39.2	76.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	37.4	75.3	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	41.0	77.9	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	38.3	76.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	37.0	74.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	32.6	39.9	72.4	-7.3	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	36.9	39.5	76.5	-2.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (12)	40.6	38.5	79.1	+2.1	58%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

33-37

-4

A27/02

Lega A

Nymburk

#28

51-38

+13

H01/03

Eurocup

Brindisi

#17

52-39

+13

H06/03

Lega A

Cantu

38-47

-9

A19/03

Lega A

Unics Kazan

44-46

-2

H23/03

Eurocup

Cremona

#12

52-46

H27/03

Lega A

Unics Kazan

35-46

-11

A30/03

Eurocup

Varese

#11

36-44

-8

A03/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

48-34

+14

H10/04

Lega A

Avellino

39-45

-6

H17/04

Lega A

85.0Avg total

42.8Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	40.2	81.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.0	40.1	86.1	+5.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	40.3	77.6	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	42.2	85.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	43.0	85.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.2	47.6	88.8	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	40.7	39.3	80.0	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.8	35.5	80.2	+9.2	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	19.1	36.1	-2.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.4	18.7	35.1	-2.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.5	18.5	35.9	-1.0	27%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.9	17.1	38.0	+3.8	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.7	36.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	17.1	35.1	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	18.1	37.1	+0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	17.8	35.4	-0.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.8	33.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	16.8	17.1	33.9	-0.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.8	19.8	42.5	+3.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	18.5	40.3	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.7	42.8	+3.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.7	20.9	37.6	-4.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.3	17.5	38.7	+3.8	73%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.2	21.6	44.8	+1.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	37.9	77.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	35.3	77.3	+6.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	40.5	77.7	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	37.1	78.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	41.2	83.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	33.1	39.6	72.7	-6.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.7	35.9	74.6	+2.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (12)	44.2	38.7	82.8	+5.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	37.8	75.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	37.4	75.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	38.1	75.0	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	38.3	75.5	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	37.6	75.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.8	40.0	80.8	+0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	36.0	36.7	72.7	-0.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.2	40.8	82.0	+0.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
02/01/11	Caserta v Virtus Roma	68-60
25/05/10	Virtus Roma v Caserta	74-83
23/05/10	Caserta v Virtus Roma	78-76
21/05/10	Caserta v Virtus Roma	70-65
16/05/10	Caserta v Virtus Roma	85-69
24/01/10	Virtus Roma v Caserta	83-64
25/01/09	Caserta v Virtus Roma	74-79
12/10/08	Virtus Roma v Caserta	83-81 OT

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/11	A	Sassari	85-86
10/04/11	H	Biella	85-78
03/04/11	H	Teramo	76-60
27/03/11	A	Varese	78-84
20/03/11	A	Cremona	70-83
06/03/11	H	Olimpia Milano	80-62
03/03/11	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	82-69
27/02/11	A	Treviso	72-86
23/02/11	A	Petrol Olimpija	87-76
20/02/11	H	Avellino	80-70

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/11	H	Avellino	75-83
10/04/11	H	Sutor Montegranaro	77-70
03/04/11	A	Varese	77-92
30/03/11	A	Unics Kazan	77-79
27/03/11	H	Cremona	95-79
23/03/11	H	Unics Kazan	84-90
19/03/11	A	Cantu	76-87
06/03/11	H	Brindisi	90-76
01/03/11	H	Nymburk	88-80
27/02/11	A	Virtus Bologna	61-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	46%
Home	WWWWW	69%
Away	LLLLL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	46%	69%	23%
Points / game	78.1	80.6	75.5
Allowed / game	75.7	72.1	79.2
Point differential	+2.4	+8.5	-3.7
Avg total	153.7	152.7	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	62%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Caserta

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	46%
Home	WWWWL	62%
Away	WLLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	46%	62%	31%
Points / game	80.8	82.8	78.7
Allowed / game	80.3	78.8	81.7
Point differential	+0.5	+4.0	-3.0
Avg total	161.0	161.7	160.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	23%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	25% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	12%	15%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	90.0	88.0	+2.0
2	Siena	26	24	2	92%	84.3	71.4	+12.9
3	Cantu	27	20	7	74%	77.4	71.2	+6.1
4	Olimpia Milano	27	19	8	70%	80.0	76.5	+3.6
5	Treviso	25	13	12	52%	76.3	74.0	+2.3
6	Avellino	26	13	13	50%	80.5	79.6	+0.9
7	Varese	26	13	13	50%	79.4	81.3	-1.8
8	Virtus Bologna	27	13	14	48%	77.7	77.9	-0.2
9	Virtus Roma	26	12	14	46%	78.1	75.7	+2.4
10	Caserta	26	12	14	46%	80.8	80.3	+0.5
11	Sassari	26	12	14	46%	81.4	83.6	-2.2
12	Pesaro	26	12	14	46%	72.7	75.9	-3.2
13	Cremona	26	11	15	42%	79.3	79.0	+0.3
14	Sutor Montegranaro	26	10	16	38%	78.5	79.8	-1.4
15	Biella	26	9	17	35%	79.8	83.2	-3.4
16	Brindisi	26	8	18	31%	73.7	81.6	-7.9
17	Teramo	26	8	18	31%	73.9	83.0	-9.1
18	Champion All Stars	1	0	1	0%	88.0	90.0	-2.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	18	20	21	15	74
Caserta	22	11	24	11	68

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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